Guide Metallographer:4.25今日黄金能否下跌至90，让我们拭目以待

　　时间，会沉淀最真的情感；风雨，会考验最暖的陪伴。走远的，只是过眼云烟；留下的，才是值得珍惜的情缘。来得热烈，未必守得长久；爱得平淡，未必无情无义。眼睛看到的或许是假象，心的感受才最真实。时间告诉我们，简单的喜欢，最长远；平凡的陪伴，最心安；懂你的人，最温暖。想成为大树，就不要和小草去比！短期来看，草的生长速度和树相比，肯定是草的长势明显，但是几年过后，草换了几拨，而树依旧是树。所以这个世界上只有古树、大树，却没有古草、大草。投资一样如此，重要的不是一时的快慢，而是持久的发展力。一个内心不够自信和强大的人，往往需要靠发脾气来提高自己的气场，这是一种自卑的潜在表现。真正内心强大的人是极其柔软的，善于掌控局面者可做到淡定与从容，高人似水，善利万物

LatestgoldMarket trend analysis

　　基本面，金价本周承压，主要因美联储再度向市场释放强硬的紧缩观点，市场对美联储加速加息的预期升温，这给了金价沉重的压力。不过，美国通胀高企，全球经济前景遭下调，俄乌冲突等因素将限制金价下行。市场又迎来一系列美国重磅经济数据的考验，其中包括美国一季度GDP初值数据，同时有关俄乌冲突等地缘事件，以及市场对美联储最新的加息预期变动，投资者也要保持关注。美债收益率走高，将会提高持有黄金的机会成本，从而给金价下行压力。市场本周骤然浮现出对美联储未来单次加息75个基点的押注，很大程度上与圣路易斯联储主席布拉德的鹰派表态有关。

　　4小时周期整体处于震荡下行阶段，局部收圆顶形态后再次录得黄昏之星变体形态，后市看跌情绪较高，但成交量放量于行情呈现异常，且处于短线支撑1928附近，建议后市谨慎追空；日线周期于1980附近收圆顶形态后，局部再次录得下降三法形态，但行情再次来到支撑密集区间。黄金4小时线的实体断崖式下行，阴线实体也是直接击穿支撑位1936-1938一线，同时也是击穿震荡区域，k线出现比较弱势下行，布林带轨道向下运行，开口进一步的加大。综上所述原金油总结：黄金上周震荡走低，周线收录大阴线，回吐前期涨幅，后市延续看空，周一操作上考虑反弹做空为主，上方关注1940-1955USD resistance, follow below1915-1900USD support.

　　黄金今日还是继续干空不变，此前1940的盘整支撑，破位后转化为多头反弹的反向阻力，此位置下，黄金就是跌势，早盘反弹此位置下继续空！下方的目标则是此前一直没有破位的1910位置，跌破后将是1890甚至更低！

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　目前来看，此时大阴有所破位通道下轨，下方关注100.5支撑，能否撑住以及能否回归通道之内，决定它是继续震荡反复还是短期走弱打压；强支撑还是关注99.1（618分割位置），也是多头的命脉点；因此，接下来支撑留意101.5and99.5两处，该位置得到支撑后，油价有望去考验前高105.4高点，进一步突破后将再次开启上涨格局。原油本周上涨遇阻，周线收阴线，趋势偏空，下周指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期关注103.5-104.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below99.5美元支撑，下破就需要关注96.0USD support.

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