Yu Yue on Jin:4.25黄金原油空头持续下跌多单还有救吗？在线...

     The financial trading market should be aware of the overall trend and follow the trend; To strategize and understand the gains and losses. To make investments, we must first acknowledge and accept the uncertainty of the market, only in this way can we find ways to solve the uncertainty of the market. Furthermore, it must be clear that dealing with uncertainty comes at a cost, and one should not expect to avoid it through luck. Market forecasting can reduce the cost of dealing with uncertainty, but it cannot be completely avoided. Technical analysis relies on statistics and probability, rather than relying solely on luck! According to the 28 laws of the market, it is destined that only a few will remain. Do not leave the investment market with losses that could have lasted for a long time. It is not advisable to buy a lesson with real gold and silver. Once you learn, your principal will be running out.





　goldLatest market analysis:



　　黄金最新行情分析：周一（4month25日）亚洲时段，现货黄金在近两周低位附近徘徊，目前交投于1928美元附近，俄谈判代表证实与乌进行了“几次长时间对话”，令避险情绪降温，而美联储加速收紧政策的迹象提振了美国国债收益率，帮助美元指数周线三连阳，屡次刷新逾两年高点，令金价录得三月中旬以来最大单周跌幅。调查显示，市场对黄金后市的看涨情绪明显下降。分析师表示：“避险金属需要新的基本面刺激来加剧投资者和交易员的担忧，但这种情况并未发生。我们看到的横盘走势……引发了一些技术性抛售。”市场分析师表示，随着投资者对美联储激进的收紧货币政策计划做出反应，金价可能面临进一步的抛售压力。因美联储再度向市场释放强硬的紧缩观点，市场对美联储加速加息的预期升温，提振美元，打压金价，不过，美国通胀高企，全球经济前景遭下调，俄乌冲突等因素将限制金价下行。本周，市场又迎来一系列美国重磅经济数据的考验，其中包括美国一季度GDP初值数据，同时有关俄乌冲突等地缘事件，以及市场对美联储最新的加息预期变动，投资者也要多多关注。



　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金上周五顿挫中收低下行，开盘价几乎是日内高点，击穿此前低点1936之后走弱，盘中虽有反复顿挫，连续的拉锯反弹再承压回落收低。日线收成中阴K线。随着日K线的收低延续，本周继续看向下60日线寻求支撑。也是布林道的底轨处，首个低点在1916附近。其次就是1890. and1890是浪形延续的关键防守点，是进行C浪下跌延续还是下探启稳回升，此位是重中之重。4Hour from1998高点形成一个短周期下跌浪形，上周反弹在1958一带承压形成B浪高点，而破低1936之后形成小周期级别的C浪延续，随着上周五的拉锯整理，周尾K线形态收在低位，那么本周开盘就会先行走弱延续，先延续浪形空间释放，再边整理边拉动指标向下。目前K线结构向下，均线指标还是凌乱发散当中，拐头向下需要时间，节奏上可能还是震荡下跌呈现。1小时伴随着拉锯整理向下，小台阶震荡下跌前一高点在1945。也是小时图布林道中轨的临界点，此位是今日的强弱分界点，1945之下反弹择机看空。突破则会改变弱势，届时再调整思路。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上余越论金建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1930-1935Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1910-1905Frontline support.



　　crude oilLatest market analysis:



Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（4month25日）亚洲时段，油价延续跌势，现报100.54dollar/桶；受累于全球经济增长疲软、利率上升以及疫情将打击需求的前景，且欧洲贸易交易商正在使用一种古老的方法买进俄石油。国际机构下调今年全球原油需求预期，美联储大幅度加息预期升温，以及全球抗疫依然面临严峻考验，打压原油需求前景。不过，欧洲禁运俄罗斯原油，欧佩克没有进一步增产迹象，始终支持油价。诸多机构仍然看好油价后市前景。市场分析师表示：“在我入行以来，市场上下波动2%，还认为‘这没什么可解读的’，这种情况并不常见。这不正常，但这就是很长一段时间以来的情况。”摩根士丹利将对第三季布伦特油价的预估上调10USD to per barrel130美元，理由是俄罗斯和伊朗的供应减少导致今年的“供应缺口扩大”，可能会超过短期需求受阻的影响。摩根士丹利一份落款日期为4month21日的报告称：“受石油市场正在与GDP下修、大量释放战略石油储备作斗争等影响。”总体来看，全球经济担忧、疫情影响需求，以及欧洲交易商或购买俄石油，为油价空头助力，关注美国国务卿和防长对基辅的访问相关消息，是否使得地缘局势存更多不确定性风险。



　　原油从技术面来看，原油上周探高回落收低，周阳单阳摸高后快速转阴，摸高没有持续性，且隔周不延续。短线收低之后，本周倾向于走回落，周线回吐，日线稍显钝化。K线实体略小，在整理中酝酿单边。4The hour chart was lowered in the sawing process,109.90The high point forms a downward wave shape and rebounded last week105.40Secondary pressure, which can be considered as localBThe wave rebounds at a high point, and after breaking low, it becomes a small levelCThe wave continues, and with last Friday's seesaw decline, the probability of breaking the low and continuing this week is high, with a weaker short-term trend.1The hour chart is repeatedly sorted and finally closed at a low position, and sawing is the norm. The closing determines the continuation of the strength of the next day. With the closing price at a low level, the short-term trend is relatively weak today, and the critical point is also the second highest point105.40.做为小时图的台阶下跌通道运行，周初依托次高点做防守先行看空，初步阻力在101.20-101.60一带分别看空。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路余越论金建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注100.3-100.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below97-97.5Frontline support.





   The market has given you an opportunity to overturn, but if you fail to seize it, you will have to find a reason from yourself. It is important to change your mindset at any time when making transactions. If you are in the wrong direction, you must correct it in a timely manner. If you don't have confidence, let me give you confidence. I can't guarantee that you will make millions at once, it's all untrue. In short, if you win, I will accompany you to conquer the world. If you lose, I will accompany you to rise again. I am Yu Yue discussing gold, and I will speak for myself. My strength awaits you to experience.!



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    This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yyLj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.