Guide Metallographer:2.25今日周一黄金走势分析及操作建议

In thegoldSilvercrude oil这个市场博弈，讲究的是一个学习参与的过程和后期长期稳健获利的结果。一旦产生亏损，要及时总结原因出现在哪里，要让亏损的资金产生它的价值。我想，你每做一笔交易，有理有据的进场，且严格遵守这个市场的规则，在一个正确的引导之下，实现长期稳健获利的目标是很容易实现的。精准的走势分析，专业的团队技术分析，负责的指导老师，全程行情实时追踪，盈利离你还会远吗！机会总是留给有准备的人，但同样也留给会选择的人真实的实力给你展示，切实的利润让你开心！如果你在投资路上遇到了困扰，找不到方向长期处在亏损中，不妨可以和指南金师聊聊，成功不是靠运气，选择大于努力！愿你认识我始于文字，合于性格，陷于技术，久于善良，终于人品

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　　【短期油价依然没有方向性趋势】WTI原油日内跌幅达2.49%Current report99.53dollar/桶；布伦特原油日内跌2.40%Current report103.60dollar/桶。华闻futures点评认为，近期因为市场关注美联储加息的节奏问题，导致股市开始回调，特别是欧美骨市均出现调整，带动市场情绪发生变化，担忧流动性紧缩后导致经济下行。因此，商品市场也开始调整，原油也随之走弱。但考虑到市场供应端依然紧张，流畅性下跌暂时动力不足，且市场已经对美联储加快缩紧货币政策进行了定价，因此短期油价虽然以弱势为主，但依然没有方向性趋势。

　　技术面上，黄金上周保持扫荡式运行，后半周下探守住1937-1939区域，上探压制1955-1958范围，最终白银带头下跌，牵动黄金跌破低点，而黄金的下跌过程也是偏向于扫荡式的，在触及上周四提及的1933-1932范围获得支撑反弹拉升到达1946-1947区域，也就是破低拉升17美元，才继续跌20美元破低，扫荡式向下。

　　那么这里反弹确定的阻力点1946-1947便是本周的第一道分界线压力，其次就是上周五的分界线和顶底转换的1958-1960范围。下方支撑关注趋势线沿线位置1915也是前期的依托起涨点范围，中间隔着一个1924的支撑点，继续往下便是1908呀，以及1890区域了。

　　上周五尾盘黄金低位横盘1930关口结束当天的行情，今日周一开盘，价格继续保持低位横盘震荡走低。若是在早盘直接续跌破低，则今日的高点将是重要强弱分界线，守住高点保持延续性再看新低，失守高点转为扫荡，扩大震荡的区间。这也是早盘续跌需要关注的两个重点：高点和延续性。

　　4.25Golden Strategy:1--1940-1941Empty, stop loss1946, Objective1933-1930

　　2--1915-1916Multiple, stop loss1910, Objective1923-1927

Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;

Monday（4month25日）亚洲时段，油价延续跌势，现报100.54dollar/桶；在欧盟计划进一步加强对俄能源禁令之际，俄罗斯向欧盟国家的石油出口却持续反弹。美国《华尔街日报》22日报道称，最近几周俄罗斯加大向主要客户——欧盟的石油运输量，4月至今，荷兰、希腊等国的俄石油进口量大幅飙升。《华尔街日报》称，一个“不透明的市场”正在形成。来自俄罗斯港口的石油越来越多地被运送到“不明目的地”，截至4月已经有超过1110万桶石油被装载到没有预定路线的油轮上。德媒认为，欧洲对能源的现实需求迫使其继续大量买入俄石油，贸易交易商正在使用一种古老的方法将俄罗斯石油“瞒天过海”运往欧洲港口。国际货币基金组织(IMF)第一副总裁戈皮纳特表示，如果西方国家因俄对的战-争而扩大对俄制裁，且能源价格继续上涨，该组织可能进一步下调全球经济增长预期。乌俄冲突“绝对有可能”成为一场“长期僵持的冲突。总体来看，全球经济担忧、疫情影响需求，以及欧洲交易商或购买俄石油，为油价空头助力，关注美国国务卿和防长对基辅的访问相关消息，是否使得地缘局势存更多不确定性风险。

　　原油技术面分析；原油上周探高回落收低，周阳单阳摸高后快速转阴，摸高没有持续性，且隔周不延续。短线收低之后，本周倾向于走回落，周线回吐，日线稍显钝化。K线实体略小，在整理中酝酿单边。4The hour chart was lowered in the sawing process,109.90The high point forms a downward wave shape and rebounded last week105.40Secondary pressure, which can be considered as localBThe wave rebounds at a high point, and after breaking low, it becomes a small levelCThe wave continues, and with last Friday's seesaw decline, the probability of breaking the low and continuing this week is high, with a weaker short-term trend.1The hour chart is repeatedly sorted and finally closed at a low position, and sawing is the norm. The closing determines the continuation of the strength of the next day. With the closing price at a low level, the short-term trend is relatively weak today, and the critical point is also the second highest point105.40.做为小时图的台阶下跌通道运行，综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注103.0-104.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below98.0-97.0Frontline support.

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