Guide Metallographer:2.24下周黄金提前布局，机会是留给有准备的人

I really like the sentence spoken by Shakyamuni Buddha: "No matter who you meet, he is the person you should appear in your life, not by chance. He will definitely teach you something. So I also believe: "No matter where I go, it's always the place I should go, experience something I should experience, and meet the person I should meet." Everyone reading this article, thank you for meeting you!

　　goldNext week's market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Friday(4month22day)进入欧市盘中，欧元也承压下滑，美元坚挺重返101关口，黄金则维持跌势，跌幅接近10美元，测试1929支撑位，本周周线或下跌。指标美国10Annual bond yield(Yield rate)延续涨势，因美联储官员对收紧政策的态度强硬，巩固了美联储将大幅升息以对抗通胀的观点。美联储主席鲍威尔周四在国际货币基金组织(IMF)会议上，称赞前主席沃尔克于八十年代大幅加息并成功击败通胀，市场解读为鲍威尔打算大手加息。黄金对美国短期利率上升和收益率上升高度敏感，后者增加了持有非收益黄金的机会成本。表示，美元走强也可能令黄金承压，而地缘政治不确定性仍是支撑因素。金价处于这两股矛盾潮流的中间。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金本周持续走弱，二次回落再次低点，周四凌晨破位美盘反抽高点，短期节奏偏震荡。周五欧盘开跌口1953.5一线，凌晨和亚盘连续测试，短期分水岭非常明确。早间依托1953阻力位布局短空，最低下跌至1941附近，空头始终未形成延续，短期再次陷入焦灼。午后破位1953.5前面反复测试高点，短期节奏上还是循环震荡，从周一高位回落，周二连续下跌破位前面阶梯上涨形态，短期已经呈现见顶，而且目前市场对于美联储加息50个点预期增强，再次触及可能会形成刺破，所以下周一操作上依旧采取阻力位去布局空。

Gold currentlyk线大阴线强势下行，直接沉入海底了，大阴线的实体更是击穿了1938-35区域，之前就提到，击穿这个支撑位，自然就是调整方向，知行合一，要做到这四个字，确实很难。金价四小时线的实体断崖式下行，阴线实体也是直接击穿支撑位1938一线，同时也是击穿震荡区域，这是排山倒海的下行，50均线直接垂直下行了，macd能量柱再次位于零轴下方，k线也是再次被布林带中轨摁在地板上摩擦，k线也只能气喘嘘嘘，布林带轨道向下运行，开口进一步的加大。综上所述，黄金下周短线操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，短期上方重点关注1945-1950Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil message surface:4month22During the Japanese Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting103.58dollar/桶；油价周四上涨，受助于市场担心供应会收紧，欧盟正考虑可能禁止从俄罗斯进口石油，这会进一步限制全球石油贸易；欧盟仍在考虑针对俄罗斯入侵乌克兰实施石油禁令。美国财政部长叶伦周四表示，欧盟需要对全面禁止进口俄罗斯能源持谨慎态度，因为这可能导致油价飙升。石油输出国组织(OPEC)周四对国际货币基金组织(IMF)指导委员会表示，油价急升在很大程度上是由于乌克兰危机，这是表明该组织不会采取进一步行动增加供应的最新信号。OPECyesIMFC表示，油价一直在上涨，尤其是今年3月，主要是因为东欧不断升级的地缘政治紧张局势，以及对这可能导致大规模石油供应短缺的担忧，再加上贸易混乱。IMFC会议是IMF和世界银行理事会春季会议的一部分。OPEC表示，该组织和盟友组成的OPEC+联盟已经表明，该联盟致力于在乌克兰危机期间确保石油供需基本面保持平衡，以支撑全球经济。OPEC还强调了乌克兰危机和疫情持续造成的短期负面影响，并补充道：“大宗商品价格强劲上涨，再加上持续的供应链瓶颈和新冠疫情相关的物流限制，正在加剧已经处于高位的全球通胀。总体来看，地缘紧张局势存加剧风险，欧盟或进一步制裁俄罗斯，为油价多头助力，临近周末，投资者需要关注俄乌冲突地缘局势相关消息的不确定性。

　　原油技术面分析；原油昨日短线走得反复，空间不算大，但拉锯的幅度较大，最低102.20一带启稳，摸高105.42高点后再承压收在低位，日线收盘小阳星K线，空间走得不大，拉锯的频率大，给人一种空间走得很大的错觉。日线星K线整理局部钝化。今日周线收官之作，震荡收尾思路对待。4小时此前高位滑落后，昨日没能延续，反向收复104.00前一日高点，但收盘依旧不强势，短线伴随着阴阳转换的迹象。后市可能遭遇更大幅度的回调 日线震荡；均线交织，MACDBonding,KDJ金叉但初步拐头向下，短线走势变数较大，初步留意100.95-104.50The regional breakthroughs are as follows:55Daily moving average support and5日均线阻力。鉴于周四油价探底回升，100Gateway and55日均线失而复得，短线略微偏向多头，进一步阻力在4month5Daily high point105.59附近，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。如果油价上行受阻，并回落至隔夜低点99.88下方，则增加短线看空信号。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路指南金师建议上方短期重点关注105.0-106.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below99.5-100.0Frontline support.

Trading is like warfare, where both offense and defense are necessary. Defense is based on retreat, while offense is based on advance. When risk outweighs profit, a perfect retreat is far more significant than a partial victory. The highest level of trading is short positions. Only short positions can calm down, only meditation can observe battles, and only observation can serve as a referee, thus distinguishing between strong and weak trends. As long as one stands in line with the strong and weak teams, profit is just a passing act. Therefore, the first thing a trader needs to learn is to spend most of their time observing, rather than participating. They don't need to participate every time, they only want to turn the tide of trading once. There is no one in this world who lives easier than anyone else, but the strong. Even if they fall, they must smile, never cry out for pain when they fall, or turn on the light when they are afraid of the dark. The strong are not born, they have only experienced more setbacks.

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