Guide Metallographer:2.23下周黄金该如何操作，指南已经替你想好策略

Core values of trading: Trading is like warfare, where both offense and defense are necessary. Defense is based on retreat, while offense is based on advance. When risk outweighs profit, a perfect retreat is far more significant than a partial victory. The highest level of trading is short positions. Only short positions can calm down, only meditation can observe battles, and only observation can serve as a referee, thus distinguishing between strong and weak trends. As long as one stands in line with the strong and weak teams, profit is just a passing act. Therefore, the first thing a trader needs to learn is to spend most of their time observing, rather than participating. They don't need to participate every time, they only want to turn the tide of trading once. There is no one in this world who lives easier than anyone else, but the strong. Even if they fall, they must smile, never cry out for pain when they fall, or turn on the light when they are afraid of the dark. The strong are not born, they have only experienced more setbacks.

　　goldNext week's market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Friday(4month22day)进入欧市盘中，欧元也承压下滑，美元坚挺重返101关口，黄金则维持跌势，跌幅接近10美元，测试1929支撑位，本周周线或下跌。指标美国10Annual bond yield(Yield rate)延续涨势，因美联储官员对收紧政策的态度强硬，巩固了美联储将大幅升息以对抗通胀的观点。美联储主席鲍威尔周四在国际货币基金组织(IMF)会议上，称赞前主席沃尔克于八十年代大幅加息并成功击败通胀，市场解读为鲍威尔打算大手加息。黄金对美国短期利率上升和收益率上升高度敏感，后者增加了持有非收益黄金的机会成本。表示，美元走强也可能令黄金承压，而地缘政治不确定性仍是支撑因素。金价处于这两股矛盾潮流的中间。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金本周持续走弱，二次回落再次低点，周四凌晨破位美盘反抽高点，短期节奏偏震荡。周五欧盘开跌口1953.5一线，凌晨和亚盘连续测试，短期分水岭非常明确。早间依托1953阻力位布局短空，最低下跌至1941附近，空头始终未形成延续，短期再次陷入焦灼。午后破位1953.5前面反复测试高点，短期节奏上还是循环震荡，从周一高位回落，周二连续下跌破位前面阶梯上涨形态，短期已经呈现见顶，而且目前市场对于美联储加息50个点预期增强，再次触及可能会形成刺破，所以下周一操作上依旧采取阻力位去布局空。

Gold currentlyk线大阴线强势下行，直接沉入海底了，大阴线的实体更是击穿了1938-35区域，之前就提到，击穿这个支撑位，自然就是调整方向，知行合一，要做到这四个字，确实很难。金价四小时线的实体断崖式下行，阴线实体也是直接击穿支撑位1938一线，同时也是击穿震荡区域，这是排山倒海的下行，50均线直接垂直下行了，macd能量柱再次位于零轴下方，k线也是再次被布林带中轨摁在地板上摩擦，k线也只能气喘嘘嘘，布林带轨道向下运行，开口进一步的加大。综上所述，黄金下周短线操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，短期上方重点关注1945-1950Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

　　美油昨日整体震荡，虽晚盘时段有一波异动拉升，上方测压至105.4，但随后很快回落至10Daily line102附近，后半夜又反复出现震荡回弹，日线最终收得小阳，收于均线夹层内。从日线以及小时图结构上看，美油昨日走势很凌乱，导致行情出现如此混乱的状态，原因也是受基本面无序的影响。鉴于目前美油震荡状态，日内保守者暂时选择观望为宜，多看少动，或待晚间根据进一步情况再做打算。日内激进则继续关注上方104.5附近短压，可在104.0-2、104.5/6轻仓再尝试搏短空，但鉴于昨日凌乱状态，日内参与务必极轻仓，且务必带好止损，暂设止损105Above, look down at the target103.5-0区域先改保本止损，回撤102.3-0再做减仓，且可保留部分持单看做波段级别回调预期。

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