Guide Metallographer:2.22今日黄金暴跌，是否能够考虑做多？

　　做任何事情都必须拥有一个良好的心态，投资也不例外。心态平和时，思路往往比较清晰，面对行情的波动能够客观的看待和分析，才能够理性操作。

　　昨日晚间，鲍威尔在国际货币基金组织会议上关于全球经济的讨论中表示，鉴于美国通胀目前大约是美联储2%目标的三倍，美联储略微加快行动步伐是适宜的。美联储将在5月的会议上讨论加息50Basis points, interest rate hike50个基点将是美联储选项之一。鲍威尔还表示预计今年还会有一系列加息举措。近期，由于鲍威尔和其他许多美联储官员言论表现偏于鹰派。市场预计，美联储可能至少在5Month and6月会议上将加息50个基点。因此，在鲍威尔讲话后，市场担忧美联储的货币政策会愈发激进，gold价格维持低位形成反复震荡整理。

From spot gold4小时图看，昨日金价小幅刷新回落低点，下方1940一线支撑效果明显，短时间内价格进一步下破较为困难，MACD指标双线出现粘合迹象，如果晚间价格能站稳1950一线位置的话，MACD指标将有机会发出金叉变盘信号，有望进一步往上方1957-1960关键反压区间反弹，但如果后市价格失守1940一线位置的话，MACD指标双线的死叉将再度打开，后市将有机会迎来深度回落过程。晚间操作上激进做空看跌为主！

　　晚间黄金具体操作策略：反弹1937附近做空，止损：1943, look at the goal1925-1916

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Friday（4month22During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting103.58dollar/桶；油价周四上涨，受助于市场担心供应会收紧，欧盟正考虑可能禁止从俄罗斯进口石油，这会进一步限制全球石油贸易；欧盟仍在考虑针对俄罗斯入侵乌克兰实施石油禁令。美国财政部长叶伦周四表示，欧盟需要对全面禁止进口俄罗斯能源持谨慎态度，因为这可能导致油价飙升。石油输出国组织(OPEC)周四对国际货币基金组织(IMF)指导委员会表示，油价急升在很大程度上是由于乌克兰危机，这是表明该组织不会采取进一步行动增加供应的最新信号。OPECyesIMFC表示，油价一直在上涨，尤其是今年3月，主要是因为东欧不断升级的地缘政治紧张局势，以及对这可能导致大规模石油供应短缺的担忧，再加上贸易混乱。IMFC会议是IMF和世界银行理事会春季会议的一部分。OPEC表示，该组织和盟友组成的OPEC+联盟已经表明，该联盟致力于在乌克兰危机期间确保石油供需基本面保持平衡，以支撑全球经济。OPEC还强调了乌克兰危机和疫情持续造成的短期负面影响，并补充道：“大宗商品价格强劲上涨，再加上持续的供应链瓶颈和新冠疫情相关的物流限制，正在加剧已经处于高位的全球通胀。总体来看，地缘紧张局势存加剧风险，欧盟或进一步制裁俄罗斯，为油价多头助力，临近周末，投资者需要关注俄乌冲突地缘局势相关消息的不确定性。

　　原油技术面分析：原油昨日短线走得反复，空间不算大，但拉锯的幅度较大，最低102.20一带启稳，摸高105.42高点后再承压收在低位，日线收盘小阳星K线，空间走得不大，拉锯的频率大，给人一种空间走得很大的错觉。日线星K线整理局部钝化。今日周线收官之作，震荡收尾思路对待。4小时此前高位滑落后，昨日没能延续，反向收复104.00前一日高点，但收盘依旧不强势，短线伴随着阴阳转换的迹象。后市可能遭遇更大幅度的回调 日线震荡；均线交织，MACDBonding,KDJ金叉但初步拐头向下，短线走势变数较大，初步留意100.95-104.50The regional breakthroughs are as follows:55Daily moving average support and5日均线阻力。鉴于周四油价探底回升，100Gateway and55日均线失而复得，短线略微偏向多头，进一步阻力在4month5Daily high point105.59附近，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。如果油价上行受阻，并回落至隔夜低点99.88下方，则增加短线看空信号。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注104.2-104.7Frontline resistance, short-term focus below100.5-100.0Frontline support.

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