指南金师：身在黄金市场不可轻言成功，懂得及时功成身退

　　不谋全局者不足谋一城，市场风云，变幻莫测，定其心，观其势，谋定而后动，不乱于心，不困于情，运筹帷幄之中，方能决胜千里之外。

　　goldMarket analysis:

Spot Gold Thursday（4month21日）承压于美国国债收益率上升和风险偏好的增强，亚市盘初开盘触及日内高位1957.62dollar/盎司后展开下行，盘中呈持续下行；欧市盘中，黄金扩大跌幅，刷新日内低位1936.40dollar/盎司，但仅触及日内低位后立即回升反弹；直至美盘，黄金收复1950美元位置上方后小幅回落，收于1951.28dollar/ounce.

　　黄金技术面来分析，日线上，隔日黄金受阻于MA5日均线展开下行，再次刺破中轨20日均线后回升，录得带下影线的小阴，日线上，今日MA5日均线仍处于压制之中，或将继续下行；4小时上，隔日黄金继续延续低位运行，并再刷新后回升持于低位横盘，当前布林带处于开口期，MAAfter moving out of the golden cross, the moving averageMA5拐头向下形死叉，KDJThree lines forward for random indicators,MACD指标底背离，快慢线向上弯钩，综合来看，日内黄金尽管有回升需求，但上方均线压制较强，日内操作建议1955-1960附近做空，激进者也可依托1950-1955附近提前进场做空。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

　　1955-1960Short nearby, stop loss5US dollars, look at the target1930-1940附近；激进者依托1950-1955附近提前进场做空

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Friday（4month22During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting103dollar/桶；油价周四上涨，受助于市场担心供应会收紧，欧盟正考虑可能禁止从俄罗斯进口石油，这会进一步限制全球石油贸易。欧盟仍在考虑针对俄罗斯入侵乌克兰实施石油禁令。美国财政部长叶伦周四表示，欧盟需要对全面禁止进口俄罗斯能源持谨慎态度，因为这可能导致油价飙升。高级分析师表示， “现在的交易不像几周前那么容易，你必须承担更多风险，这可能是设计好的，这些对冲基金和算法基金的交易量更大。”OPEC表示，该组织和盟友组成的OPEC+联盟已经表明，该联盟致力于在乌克兰危机期间确保石油供需基本面保持平衡，以支撑全球经济。上周，美国原油出口量增至逾40010000 barrels/日，部分抵消了美国和欧洲国家制裁造成的俄罗斯原油供应减少。由于OPEC+难以实现其生产目标，加之美国原油库存在截至4month15日当周大幅下降，石油市场供应依然吃紧。 总体来看，地缘紧张局势存加剧风险，欧盟或进一步制裁俄罗斯，为油价多头助力，临近周末，关注俄乌冲突地缘局势相关消息的不确定性。

　　原油从技术面来看，原油昨日短线走得反复，空间不算大，但拉锯的幅度较大，最低102.20一带启稳，摸高105.42高点后再承压收在低位，日线收盘小阳星K线，空间走得不大，拉锯的频率大，给人一种空间走得很大的错觉。日线星K线整理局部钝化。今日周线收官之作，震荡收尾思路对待。4小时此前高位滑落后，昨日没能延续，反向收复104.00前一日高点，但收盘依旧不强势，短线伴随着阴阳转换的迹象。K线结构阳吞阴再配合回吐收低，局部拉锯暂时看不出单边方向。震荡行情中，点位为王，方向其次。先确定日内大概的区间再伺机而动。同时来回拉锯中，多空超短线不持久恋战，灵活把握及时落袋。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注104.8-105.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below100.5-100.0Frontline support.

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