Guo Shengshan:4.21早间黄金原油行情解析及操作建议附解套

　投资的路很漫长，要学会淡然，你会发现，过于在意行情的波动 ，反而会适得其反，市场往往的技术与消息是充满矛盾的，需要少说话多倾听。无论你今天怎么用力，明天的落叶还是会飘下来，市场本无常，无常是资本市场的一种常态，要学着习惯适应这种无常。

Don't let emotions affect the operation in trading

　　goldTrend analysis:

Thursday(4month21day)，现货黄金重新走低，刷新近两周地位至1938.60dollar/盎司，因受美联储积极收紧货币政策预期支撑，美元指数在创下一周低位至99.813后反弹，有望结束调整，确认100关口支撑，并重新走强。高通胀和工人短缺对企业来说几乎没有喘息的机会，要求美联储决策者迅速地转向支持加快升息步伐。

　　黄金探底回升反弹，目前还是在短期线附近运行，短期线还进一步走平粘合，这样看日线短期其实方向不明，如果日线这两天能继续保持反弹上涨，那么多头就完全回来了，若今天冲高回落，还会再次探底，那么短期很可能还会继续震荡向下，具体要看今天怎么走，看看是持续反弹，还是冲高回落再次探底，策略上当然还是低多为主，激进的可以在1955-1940区域内寻找回调企稳做多机会。稳健的可以先观望。还有近期乌俄战争局势可能升级，这样可能会让黄金突然大涨，不过目前看黄金反应平淡，说明大战似乎并没有真正开始，否则黄金不可能没反应。当然如果大战发生，黄金大涨之后，一旦大战平息，黄金也会大幅回落，不过都不会概率大格局上的中长期上涨，只是改变了中间的节奏。建议还是低多为主。

Golden operation strategy:

Suggestions1940Nearby, stop loss1933, Objective1950-1958

Suggestions1960Near empty, stop loss1967, Objective1946

　　crude oilLatest trend analysis:

　　美油承压震荡回修，昨晚行情也因美元持续走强以及市场对能源需求前景的担忧导致油价出现大幅回落，低点跌至99.8一线，后半夜行情虽有止跌回弹，相对下跌幅度，回弹幅度还是很小，导致日线收得一实体饱和阴线，贯穿跌破20日线，这样的状态也预示行情很有可能回归此前的弱势下跌趋势。根据日线结构以及小时图结构，日内美油是很有可能延续下跌调整的，日内上方则关注20Daily line103.5附近短压回弹，如果行情回到20日线上方站稳，则阴线影响力降低，而如果行情持续在20日线下运行，则延续下跌概率将大大增加。此外明凌晨美futures原油将进行移仓换月，受此影响，日内行情也容易出现异常波动，所以保守者日内可暂作观望，规避异动风险。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注105.5-106.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102.0-99.8Frontline support.

　　-Interpretation of Nestled Orders- 　　

　　  　　1.Investors who hold high positions can use the rebound market to unwind and exit, or reduce their positions when they encounter high positions; Once the market changes, the covered orders will immediately stop losing and be eliminated, and reverse positions will be established to compensate for losses;

　　2.Investors with mid range hedging can temporarily wait and see, do not rush to cut orders. If there is an opportunity in the market, they can reduce their positions appropriately and increase their positions based on trend analysis combined with technical analysis to make up for losses;

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

The above article was created by Guo Shengshan's teamgos1678Write my own interpretation of world economic news,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.