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Life is always about making choices and waiting for results. The road cannot always be smooth, there will always be obstacles, mediocrity is not the goal that everyone pursues. The investment market is also the same, it cannot be smooth sailing, and windfall profits are everyone's dream, but there are always various temptations and traps along the way. Accustomed to unilateral behavior, one is always stifled by shocks and washes, which is the law of the market. In the face of life, we are making choices. We can't make a detour, we can't make a river, we always have to resort to other methods. And the market, too, should not blindly pursue operation. Some markets may see profits, but they may not necessarily be able to earn profits.
【goldTrend Analysis
Wednesday(4month20day),现货黄金在创下4month8Recently, it has reached a new low1938.90dollar/盎司后反弹转升,尽管越来越多的美联储官员推动加大年内升息力度,但美元指数在101整数关口遭遇卖压。此外,地缘政治形势恶化也有利于资金避险需求流入黄金市场。美联储是否能在对抗通胀方面获得成功,很大程度上取决于其无法控制的力量,即乌克兰战争导致的通胀飙升。
黄金昨天跌破1960关口最低跌至1942附近,收出明显阴线,目前看日线短期很可能见顶,将出现回调,但回调只是短期的,中长期还是看涨,一旦短期回调结束,还是会继续开始上涨,并且未来将突破新高,因此回调后反而会给我们更好的布局多单机会,耐心等待。短期日线既然有所转空,那就先在日内反弹高空,等待这一波回调差不多了再平空做多。
跌破了1960后,接下来的下方目标是1940-1930支撑区域,极限是1900关口,所以可以关注1940-1930企稳布局多单机会,如果这里都撑不住,那就等到1900关口企稳再布局多单。今天日内先反弹可以高空,关注1960Nearby pressure, pay attention below1940-1930支撑,先到这里企稳可以低多。
Golden Operation Concept
Suggestions1940Nearby, stop loss1933, Objective1955-1960突破目标1968
crude oilLatest trend analysis:
Analysis of crude oil message surface:4month20During the Japanese Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting102.26dollar/桶;油价周二下跌近5%,此前国际货币基金组织(IMF)下调经济增长预期并就通胀上升发出警告,引发了需求担忧,悲观的前景加剧了美元处于两年高位带来的压力,油价或短线震荡偏空。虽然美国API数据显示库存下降,但IMF下调经济预期,悲观的经济前景,引发需求的担忧,油价或短线震荡偏空,关注晚间EIAdata
技术面:近期原油多次测试93附近支撑都未能有效跌破,加之对俄的制裁可能会造成有史以来最严重的石油供应冲击之一,而且不可能取代这些产量,并暗示将不再增产。导致原油依托93支撑迎来反弹回升,重回100大关之上关,并且125—116连接的下行趋势线也被突破。目前原油冲高109位置受阻出现回落,再次跌回100附近,代表高位压力也严重,涨势的延续性被打断。不过下方93位置双底也存在强势支撑,现在就重点关注100大关这个分水岭位置,看能不能得以支撑了。综上所诉:原油今日操作上指南金师建议低多为主,上方关注107-109One line of resistance, pay attention below100-98Frontline support.
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