成功不是靠运气，选择大于努力，始于文字，终于人品

Life is always about making choices and waiting for results. The road cannot always be smooth, there will always be obstacles, mediocrity is not the goal that everyone pursues. The investment market is also the same, it cannot be smooth sailing, and windfall profits are everyone's dream, but there are always various temptations and traps along the way. Accustomed to unilateral behavior, one is always stifled by shocks and washes, which is the law of the market. In the face of life, we are making choices. We can't make a detour, we can't make a river, we always have to resort to other methods. And the market, too, should not blindly pursue operation. Some markets may see profits, but they may not necessarily be able to earn profits.

Wednesday(4month20day)In stockgold在创下4month8Recently, it has reached a new low1938.90dollar/盎司后反弹转升，尽管越来越多的美联储官员推动加大年内升息力度，但美元指数在101整数关口遭遇卖压。此外，地缘政治形势恶化也有利于资金避险需求流入黄金市场。美联储是否能在对抗通胀方面获得成功，很大程度上取决于其无法控制的力量，即乌克兰战争导致的通胀飙升。

　　黄金结构分析：

　　第一种大结构：黄金目前走的是1998高点的调整结构，黄金从1890Up to1998一线，有100多美金的涨幅，中途有单边、震荡、三角收敛但就是没有大型的回踩调整结构，目前1998回踩最低给到1939一线，这波行情可以视为调整，从大结构来讲，调整还未结束，后期预计还会低点，成交密集区在1920-1930Area;

　　第二种结构中期结构：黄金至1998回踩触及1939一线，可以视作这波调整的第一个波段，第一波段走完以后，中途会有反弹修正，因为即使再强势的空头，一根阴K到底，那也是不可能的，所以若1939低点成立，黄金短期还会有继续向上修正的动作，目前高点1955，也才修正了15美金，上方还有空间。综合这两种结构，回归到我们操作上来，上方反弹触及阻力区域继续做空，下方探底做多；做震荡式下跌结构、高点继续看调整、低点博反弹修正。

　　上方反弹触及1962-1963Short on the front line, stop loss at1970Target point1945-1948frontline.

　　若继续走低下方1942-1943一线做多一次，止损放在1935Target point1955-1958。

　　crude oilRelated information:

　　根据美国能源情报署EIA在其最新的钻井生产力报告中称，美国页岩油产量下月将增加13.210000 barrels/天，达到86510000 barrels/天。不过，EIA最近下调了对全年石油产量的预测，至年底时的总产量为120110000 barrels/天，而此前的预测为120310000 barrels/Days.EIA本周报告称，二叠纪页岩生产商已经连续20个月清点DUCstock.DUC利用率是页岩行业健康状况的重要指标，因为它们是能最快投入运行的。它们正在被利用是一个好消息。坏消息是，新钻井远远落后于DUC利用率。根据EIAData,3月份二叠纪DUC库存降至1309This is from2017year2The lowest since the beginning of the monthDUC数字，这种不平衡可能最终导致产量增长放缓。

Analysis of International Crude Oil Trends:

　　今日原油低位震荡，开盘在102.552dollar/桶，油价低位震荡，高点给到103.579美元，最低点在101.92美元徘徊。原油日线走势图上看，原油反弹108.36承压回落一路下跌至101.5附近日线收大阴线。今日原油反弹关注105.6附近压力，若不上破油价有可能出现承压概率。

　　四小时级别上看，目前Bwavec的反弹走势大概率还未全部结束，当前属于93.0-109.8的短期调整走势，整体的回落重要支撑关注101.5水平支撑，然后需要关注黄金分割61.8%nearby99.20，万一直接跌破99.20就要考虑回归前期区间底部的可能。综上所述指南金师总结：原油现阶段支撑关注两个价位101.5-99.4美元，预期是对于前期上涨浪调整，今日操作上考虑高空低多策略，上方关注104.5-106.5USD resistance, follow below101.5-99.4美元支撑，趋势关注破点破线。

　　今日实盘在102.1-101.9分批多单，获利在103.0附近，随后在102.8附近多单，获利在103.3Near.

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