Guide Metallographer:2.20今日晚间黄金行情走势分析及操作建议

I really like the sentence spoken by Shakyamuni Buddha: "No matter who you meet, he is the person you should appear in your life, not by chance. He will definitely teach you something. So I also believe: "No matter where I go, it's always the place I should go, experience something I should experience, and meet the person I should meet." Everyone reading this article, thank you for meeting you!

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday(4month19day)亚市尾盘，受强势美元打压，现货黄金维持跌势，金价现报1978dollar/盎司附近。因为美联储官员强化年内多次加息50个基点的预期，美国国债收益率大涨，美元指数持续上涨，刷新近两年高点，令黄金多头有所顾忌。不过鉴于俄乌局势依然紧张，双方的交火程度有所加强，避险情绪仍给金价提供支撑，如果美元涨势放缓，金价仍有机会向2000关口发起冲击。整体来看，尽管受美联储激进加息预期提振，美元创下两年新高，令金价第一次上破2000关口受阻，但俄罗斯对乌军集中的108个区域发动打击，炮击了315个乌军事目标，地缘局势担忧和通胀担忧挥之不去，多头仍有机会再次试图上破2000Resistance near the checkpoint.

　　黄金走势分析及操作建议

　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金昨日承压重挫收低，最高反弹1982附近承压，欧美盘时段由于美元强势，黄金受挫，击穿1960打破了近期的震荡上升防守点，最低跌至1943dollar|盎司。日线收成大阴线，回吐近三个交易日的涨幅，从日线的结构来看，此前的反弹是小碎阳慢性上涨，上涨慢下跌快的走法。也显示出短期摸高动能不足，月线可能只是回补上影线而并非强势收复，随着日线的收低回落，阴吞阳，日内短线走弱。

　　4小时一波连阴极弱的单边下挫放量，从1998形成首个顶部，二次反抽1982再次承压，形成了一波连阴式的放量，击穿1960后的多空转换，今日阻力点在1960.此位是强弱分界点，破位后的顶底转换。均线指标目前还是向上发散，亚欧盘预计还需要时间震荡修正，拉动指标拐头向下再进一步延续下行。1小时图布林道中轨压力下移至1963.以及昨晚尾盘的反抽高点1967形成共振压制。

CurrentlyK线形态较弱，可能亚盘会惯性走出新低，但持续性是一个问题，毕竟昨日下挫后还来不及修正，均线指标未完全拐头。可能先惯性摔跌，摔出新低后再进行反弹修正，在反弹中择机高空看延续。综合来看，晚间黄金操作上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注1960-1965Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1938-1934Frontline support.

　　黄金短线操作建议

Empty order strategy:

Gold rebound:1955-1958附件分批做空（买跌）十分之二仓位，止损6Points, target1950-1940Nearby, break down and take a look1935-30frontline

Multiple order strategy:

Gold Callback1936-1938Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1945-1950Nearby, break down and take a look1955-60frontline.

　　crude oilAnalysis of the latest market trend

Monday(4month18day)欧洲时段，国际油价自早盘创下的3月末以来高位回落，受到中国数据走弱的利空，但乌克兰危机和利比亚设施停摆继续加深市场对供应紧张的担忧。进一步加剧压力的是，利比亚上周日停止了其El Feel油田的生产。而Zueitina油港的两名消息人士表示，在抗议者要求总理Abdulhamidal-Dbeibah接管这些油田后，石油出口已暂停。El FeelandZueitina两处设施停摆将削弱利比亚石油产出。在最近一次停电之前，利比亚石油产量平均为每天121Ten thousand barrels.El Feel遭遇的不可抗力将使这个北非国家的石油日产量减少了70000桶。俄乌谈判陷入僵局，俄罗斯原油出口受阻，OPEC不愿意增产支持油价，但疫情的担忧和能源储备的释放施压油价。油价仍处在震荡区间。在潜在下行风险方面，一方面，需关注以美国为主的IEA成员国原油抛储利空还在发酵，美欧库存有边际回升的可能。另一方面，随着美联储面对高通胀压力就加息、缩表给出了更为激进的表态，美元指数向上突破100大关，对油价的压制依旧较强。

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别震荡上涨；均线多头排列，MACD初步金叉，KDJ金叉，油价短线偏向多头，目前正试探3month30Daily high point108.75附近阻力，如果顶破该阻力，则有望进一步试探3month24Daily high point116.64Nearby resistance. In the short term,3month28Daily high point112.93附近也存在一些阻力。鉴于复活节交投可能受到限制，在阻力位附近也可能会有一些多头获利了结，需要提防短线回调的可能性；初步支撑在4month5Daily high point105.59Nearby, then21Daily moving average104.23Nearby support.5The daily moving average is supported by102.79附近，如果回落至该位置下方，则削弱短线看涨信号。油价维持震荡，但当前价格仍然运行在长期均线上方，主要技术指标都偏向多头。投资者以逢低吸纳为主。综合来看，今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注109.8-110Resistance, short-term focus below103.5-104Frontline support.

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