Chen Zeqiang:4.19Analysis of the latest trend of gold and precise trading strategies for gold and crude oil

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

Investment itself has no risk, only out of control investments have risk

Message interpretation:

Tuesday（4month19）Asian time slot, spotgoldNarrow volatility, currently trading at1975Near the US dollar; Affected by the ongoing escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, risk aversion has intensified, and gold prices rose briefly on Monday1998.39dollar/Ounces, but the Federal Reserve has strengthened multiple interest rate hikes50With an expectation of one basis point, the US dollar is very strong and has once again hit a nearly two-year high, causing gold prices to approach strong resistance levels before giving up their gains. However, it is expected that there is still room for further escalation of risk aversion in the short term, and there is still a chance for bulls to move again towards2000Launch an impact at the checkpoint.

Meiyou Current Report107.31dollar/Barrel; Oil prices rose more than on Monday1%As the conflict between Russia-Ukraine conflict continued, the interruption of Libyan production intensified people's concern about the global supply tension during the crisis in Ukraine; Oil prices maintain a bullish tone in the short term.

Gold trend analysis:

Yesterday, the gold price started to rise after a slight correction in the morning session, and in the afternoon, it remained at the average price line1983The frontline platform has risen again, reaching a peak of1994Frontline decline1987.5Pull directly to the rear of the US market1998After the official decline, the lowest point in the trading fell to1976.1The daily chart closed with a hammer line with a longer upper shadow, and yesterday we1980.2and89.6Many orders are also profitable.

From the current market view, the daily chart has a hammer line with a longer upper shadow line, starting from singleKIt seems like a turning pointKAnd today happens to be the verification of this rootKCan we end this wave of upward trend? If the middle of the day breaks through the bottom and this wave of upward trend ends, otherwise it's just a relayKSo today's closing is crucial, and yesterday's price broke through80Closing at80Next, it's a bit dramatic. Breaking through the upward trend after a week of volatility is just a one night stand. The next day, you will know how the flowers bloom. Therefore, the focus of the early trading is on the trend line of horizontal pressure. If there is a failure, we will continue to test the bottom line support. If there is no break, there is still a chance to move up30It remains to be observed whether today is the end or the end of the trend, but subjectively, we need to adjust it by going online in minutes and going online in hours, without breaking the bottom of the second downward testKFrom a linear perspective, it appears to be a main bearish trend, which means that it is either empty or not just empty at a certain point. At least it needs to be corrected before being empty, followed by breaking the short-term upward trend line before being empty. Therefore, based on this comprehensive analysis, it can be concluded that

In terms of operation:1997Defensive in1987-93Suppressing the empty space, weakness is84Nearby, break through1970Backdraft1975Add space, look65-62Break the position to see54-50.As for the uncertainty of multiple trading positions, (focus on the short-term trend line turning point)KThe basic framework for long trading is as follows, specifically combined with real-time offline prompts on the market.

Analysis of Silver Technology

Current pressure26.8After a continuous decline, stabilization, and rebound in the region, the current rebound is still relatively strong, but26.8The upward pressure is obvious and cannot be adjusted at any time. There is a bit of room for the decline in demand for silver industry in the later stage. When gold stabilizes, it is still the first to long silver. Currently, with the tariff adjustment, we can also rebound and participate in short selling. If we continue to rebound26.2Nearby, there can be empty layouts waiting for adjustments, as for silverTDJust follow the trend of spot buying and selling, of course, the pressure is concentrated now5450If encountering a direct short entry game and adjusting again, try not to participate in other positions as much as possible, and now switch between top and bottom5350Regional pressure continues to short5450Loss is sufficient. Directly encountering4800Multiple regional batches, available in stock22Try a shorter layout nearby.

　　crude oiltechnical analysis

Crude oil opened short yesterday107.180dollar/The barrel experienced a volatile rise after opening, reaching its highest point108.522dollar/Bucket hovering, breaking new lows, lowest given105.9Horizontal stabilization and rebound107.2Interval oscillation. The international situation is heating up again, and crude oil risk aversion is heating up. Yesterday, there was a jump in the sky and a high opening. After digesting the impact of the news, there was a fall back to fill the gap. The high point of crude oil in the day appeared in the golden ratio61.8It is highly likely that the position of the bulls did not break through the intraday decline, and the daily level still maintains a bullish and strong position, structurally belonging to theBwavecThe rebound trend is still bullish, so today's support will focus on retracing the low point105.8USD support. In summary, the crude oil weekly closed with a bullish candlestick, reversing the previous bearish trend and strengthening. Today's operation is mainly focused on a pullback layout with multiple orders, with attention from above110.6-113.9US dollar, strong resistance level at116.8USD, Focus on Downward Support105.8-104.2USD.

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting