Guide Metallographer:4.14黄金今日走势横盘，多空如何选择？

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

Thursday（4month14At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1975Near the US dollar; Previously, gold prices had been rising for six consecutive months, reaching a new high in nearly a month on Wednesday1981.49dollar/盎司，不断上涨的消费者物价增强了黄金作为通胀对冲工具的吸引力，投资者似乎选择忽视美联储即将加息的问题。美国3Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)录得逾12年来最大升幅，因商品和服务需求强劲，这是通胀持续高企的最新迹象，可能迫使美联储大幅收紧货币政策。美国劳工部周三公布的数据还显示，工业品出厂时的核心通胀压力强劲，令市场怀疑周二公布的3Monthly consumer price index(CPI)中，扣除食品和能源的核心商品价格下降情况是否会持续下去。分析师预计美联储下月将升息50个基点，并很快开始削减资产组合。尽管市场预计欧洲央行周四的会议不会调整利率，但市场人士将期待欧洲央行行长拉加德发表更鹰派的言论，可能暗示将在今年晚些时候升息。货币市场目前的价格走势显示，欧洲央行将在12月前升息约70个基点。指南金师认为市场可能已消化了欧洲央行在即将召开的会议上的鹰派情绪，但这种基调将难以跟上美联储应对通胀的激进态度。因为黄金以美元计价，美元的下跌，一般情况下，会有利于金价上涨。整体来看，乌克兰警告俄军发动新的攻势，美国3monthPPIChuangyue12年最大升幅，凸显美联储抗通胀是场硬仗，地缘局势担忧和通胀担忧有望给金价提供进一步上涨动能，

　　黄金昨日延续上涨收高，美元冲高回落，金价刷新近期新高位1981.30dollar|Ounces, after inertia reached a high point, fell into shock, and the rhythm belonged to an upward trend, but the continuity was not strong. It stopped when it reached a new high slightly. It is not a strong unilateral upward rhythm. The daily line forms a six consecutive positive trend, driving the attached pictureMACDindex0The golden fork of the shaft hooks upwards. The lunar line is in the middle of the touch up shadow line. The daily trend is upward. Tomorrow, due to Easter, the market will be closed all day. Today, the official week will be closed early. The short line rhythm still tends to continue to oscillate, with some brushing high but not strong persistence, with a walking style of one high and one step back.4The hourly chart is temporarily stable above the mid track and is more organized. Due to the slow growth of the structure and the support of the mid track, the short-term rhythm belongs to a fluctuating upward trend. It is not advisable to be bearish too early before falling behind the mid track,1The upward trend line of the hour chart supports upward movement1962.It was also yesterday's low and stable point. Short term support based on the rising line for defense, stepping back first, and putting the defensive point at the critical point1955.此位失守再调整思路，短线多空切换频繁，盘中需要结合空间形态灵活应对。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1990-1995Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1960-1955Frontline support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　美油昨日先居高震荡，晚盘行情再度出现回弹，高点最终测压至104.4一线，日线再收得一阳，站稳10日线上，测压至20日线附近。按照日线结构，短线美油有可能会进一步的延续回弹，今日或将再收一阳，但是目前原油的上涨因素很难界定，主要可能也还是受俄乌局势担忧影响。而小时图上，美油上涨有进入短线趋势末端的趋向，即日内可先有回修，而后再度拉升一波的可能，但拉升后是停留在高位震荡，还是选择回测支撑，则很难去做判断。

　　日内美油保守还是选择观望为宜，激进则可在回踩102.7-5、102附近轻仓尝试短多，统一带止损101.5, look at the goal103.8-104附近减仓，剩余持单再看105附近测试减离，且行情若测压至105-105.5区域有承压表现时，可再考虑轻仓短空。

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