Guide Metallographer:4.12黄金最新行情分析，提前布局才是”巅峰“

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday(4month11day)，国际金价回落，缘于美元指数因美联储积极加息的前景而走强。但市场对俄罗斯袭击乌克兰东部新的担忧给黄金带来支持，金价后市料升破1958美元。市场押注美联储将采取积极措施遏制通胀飙升，美元指数上周五(4month8day)为近两年来首次突破100整数关口，并创2020year5New high since the beginning of the month100.191。美元走强使得黄金对其他货币持有者的吸引力降低。上周现货黄金上涨22.18USD or1.15%。一方面，乌克兰战争产生的地缘政治风险，以及不断上升的通胀为贵金属提供支撑，另一方面，我们看到美联储的立场越来越强硬，在其中一个因素明显超过另一个因素之前，金价可能会维持在当前区间内。黄金对美国利率和美债收益率上升高度敏感，这增加了持有非孽息黄金的机会成本，同时推高了美元。通胀和利率上升的对立力量可能是影响第二季度黄金走势的最大因素 。整体来看，鉴于金价目前仍运行在中线的1880-1966区域，且美联储鹰派呼吁加快加息步伐，并尽快开始缩减资产负债表，以遏制快速上升的通胀，美指暴涨对金价构成压制。

　　黄金从技术面来看，金价上周五震荡上扬，最低触及1926.7一线企稳回升，日内多次下探均在5Daily moving average and10日均线处获得良好支撑，美盘强势收复20日均线并刷新了本周高点，最终收盘在1947.35dollar/盎司，日线收成三连阳；金价强势收复20日均线并收于近两周来最高水平，且本周一直运行在近期震荡区间的下轨1915上方，同时10日均线向上勾头，上穿5日均线结成金叉，表明金价初步摆脱近期震荡偏空的格局，短线趋势转强，本周有望冲击3month24日高点，同时也是中线区间的上轨1966，而一旦突破该位置，中线涨势将得到确认。日线级别震荡；KDJGolden fork operation,MACD也有金叉趋势，金价在多次测试1915附近支撑后小幅走高，回升至21日均线上方，短线看涨信号有所增加，初步阻力在3month31Daily high point1949.72附近；进一步阻力在3month24Daily high point1966.03附近。如果顶破该阻力，则有望进一步试探2000关口附近阻力。鉴于目前金价在1950附近受阻，如果金价回落至10Daily moving average1931.50下方，则削弱短线看涨信号。 综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南老师建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1967-1975Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1945-1940Frontline support.

　　crude oiltechnical analysis

　　现在原油冲高回落更多还是欧洲针对制裁俄罗斯的原油存在分歧，毕竟德国能源原油57%Relying on Russia while also using natural gas80%依靠俄罗斯，如果制裁牺牲德国经济瘫痪显然这个是不可能的，在有其他欧洲国家依赖也不少，等真到自己国内开启分歧甚至出现大规模的游完时候，就有戏看了，甚至一些人提示能源远离政治，听听多可笑，连艺术甚至一只猫都是收到制裁，你能源需要的可以远离显然是坑，所以原油必然是冲高回落，近期因为沙特避险原油再次冲高，现在考验118压力，这个和前期分析一致，米国最后禁止原油进口，最大利多出现没有突破130It indicates that stress manifests when things reach their extreme. Rebound and continue to short to meet the second gap92Area, in other words113Give you a light warehouse without hesitation, even if it's empty1Ten thousand dollars0.1The layout is also acceptable, and the total warehouse should not exceed0.3Then wait for the market news to ease, or the bulls will experience a final crazy flash crash, following the bearish trend40The same trend, now accelerating to catch up with the top, what you need to do is not to chase too much and prevent a sudden start to fall. radical101Participated in the empty space nearby, encountered again in the stable midline109.8Near the area, the central line has been opened for short selling, after all, the pressure is gradually moving downwards, and the following is running92Go. First encounter92reach90Multiple regional options.

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