Guo Shengshan:4.8周线收官，黄金多空难以抉择，黄金原油最新...

goldLatest Market Analysis

Thursday(4month7day)In the early morning trading of the European market, spot gold suddenly rose sharply in the short term, and the current trading volume of gold has risen to1928dollar/Around ounces. Today, the market needs to pay attention to the release of the minutes of the European Central Bank's monetary policy meeting. Brad, Evans, and Bostic from the Federal Reserve have successively delivered speeches, paying attention to their attitude towards the aggressive monetary policy tightening signal announced in the early morning. Follow US for intraday news as of4month2Pay attention to the changes in the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the current week, and follow the speeches of Federal Reserve Chairman Brad of St. Louis, Chicago Fed Chairman Evans, Atlanta Fed Chairman Bostick, and New York Fed Chairman Williams; Pay attention to the situation in Russia and Ukraine and relevant news on Western sanctions.

Federal Reserve early this morning2Point announced3According to the monthly meeting minutes, the Federal Reserve believes that the monthly reduction950100 million US dollars（600US $100 million treasury bond bonds+350USD100mnMBS）The asset ceiling may be appropriate and supports the use of3Adjust in stages for months or a moderately longer period of time to reach the upper limit of scale reduction, possibly as early as5Starting this process in month; Many Federal Reserve officials have stated that it may be necessary to1Multiple or multiple interest rate hikes50If it weren't for the conflict in Ukraine, many Fed members would have demanded3Monthly interest rate hike50Basis points. After the announcement of the minutes, US stocks fell first and then rose, and the US dollar hit a daily high on the sword index100Gateway. Spot gold rose and fell in the short term, with little volatility in the closing day. Analysts pointed out that although the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve is not conducive to the trend of gold, the current situation in Russia and Ukraine remains tense, which provides a boost to gold prices. On Wednesday, the White House announced a new round of sanctions against Russia, targeting major financial institutions, senior government leaders, and their relatives. British Foreign Secretary Truss announced that Britain would impose a new round of sanctions on Russia. President of the European Commission von der Leyen said that the European Commission had put forward a proposal for new sanctions against Russia and would launch the fifth round of sanctions package against Russia as soon as possible after the proposal was adopted.

Technical Analysis of Gold: Gold Yesterday Little Yang StarKNarrow width sorting and leveling, highest exploration1933.30First line pressure, minimum to1915.Overall maintained at4Running within the range of Houbrin Road, the daily line is contracting and fluctuating, and is still in a structural downward wave structure1890It is a key defensive point in the short term, with some areas accumulating momentum to form a break in the turbulence. Gold hit the bottom and rebounded again in the European market yesterday and in the early morning, with consecutive highs on Tuesday and Wednesday. However, the bull trend did not form a continuation, which is a test for bearish investors. You can see it all1915-16Strong support on the front line, multiple tests will definitely break, and the difficulty is to break the limit appropriately. However, one thing can be certain is that the more severe the market is, the larger the market after breaking the limit. Thursday, Friday, and next week's opening are key time points, which are the easiest to form a break, so the thinking continues to be high.4Yesterday, the hours remained mostly fluctuating between the upper and lower tracks of the Bollinger Road, coupled with the contraction of the previous day's range, which has led to local convergence and volatility for two consecutive trading days. The continuity of long and short positions is not strong, and repetition is the main theme of this week. The overall trend tends to fluctuate and accumulate momentum downward. But to fully open the space, it requires breakdown1890low point. From a technical perspective, yesterday's European impact1933At a glance, if the US market and the early morning correction have not broken the high, then yesterday's European high and the early morning correction high are the watershed of intraday strength. If the trend is brewing to decline, we must not break the high again, breaking the high point in the early morning1927It may fluctuate and break through1933高点甚至反转可能。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上郭晟衫建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1936-1940Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1908-1910Frontline support. I will prompt you on the specific operation strategy in the disk and pay attention to it in a timely manner. The recent market turbulence has been significant, with opportunities and risks coexisting. Control risks and increase profits.

　　白银方面，昨日最高正好反抽到做空的位置，但是利润并不大，波幅太有限了。今日整体思路仍然是逢高做空，操作上反抽给到24.7Short selling nearby, loss24.95Location, target view23.95-23.8Near.

　　　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis

Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday（4month7During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting96.52dollar/桶；油价周三下跌超4%，EIA数据显示美国原油库存增加，且此前IEA表示将从储备中释放石油，以应对供应趋紧，同时美联储会议记录发出鹰派信号，提振美元。分析师表示，市场似乎主要是围绕美联储和EIA的库存报告做出反应，美联储给了美元一些力量，油价下跌体现了这一点。分析人士表示，从长远来看，利用有限的供应来填补石油市场流量的减少，可能无法成功压低油价。高级分析师表示，美国每日释放100万桶战略石油储备，而俄罗斯产量可能每日减少200万桶，难以填补缺口。主要石油消费国表示将从储备中释放石油，以应对供应趋紧，令油价承压。总体来看，受到IEA释放储备原油的影响，加之美联储鹰派表态，油价有望回落至95关口；但俄乌谈判依然复杂限制油价跌幅，油价短线受相关消息影响，95关口或波动较大。

　　原油技术面分析：原油从日线上来看，原油昨日先扬后抑，尾盘收低回落，原油昨日惯性反弹后承压回落，最高至105.70承压，回测至100.0下方，且收盘在低位，日线收成中阴K线，回吐前一日的上涨空间2/3.日线仍处于酝酿下跌C浪。下方关键的支撑点仍在93.30.由于均线指标还未完全拐头，所以震荡拉锯的时间较长，伴随着反复的探高回落蓄势拉动指标。操作上同样保持高空主思路，先短线后结合空间来转波段性下看。日线中阴K线收低。日线构造C浪下跌结构当中，维持高空是主思路。

　　4小时一波四小连阳反弹之后，双阴K线下挫，大阴K线下挫快，反弹节奏慢，弱势震荡中的走法，反弹修正时间久，但空间持续不足。整体维持在下行趋势线之内运行，而此前构造的短线台阶下行通道也未改变，昨日先反弹后承压，进行蓄势走低，今日短线依旧看空为主，双均线又拐头形成压制。今日进一步下行后，下方关注93.50低点，目前在酝酿单边下跌趋势当中。首个防守就是前期低点，触及后可能伴随反弹，但后市看好破位，日内短线操作维持反弹空，今日阻力99.80-100.0间是首个空点，其次是101.80。经过昨日的反弹修正后再下挫收低，今日亚盘会先延续弱势，避免踏空点位，亚盘先积极短线进场，上去再适当补空。经过昨日的反弹修正后再下挫收低，今日亚盘会先延续弱势。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注100-101Resistance, short-term focus below95-96Frontline support.