Guo Shengshan:4.8黄金原油暴涨暴跌最新行情分析及今日操作建议

The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion and disorderly placing of orders. A person who doesn't know where to go is facing in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be against the wind!People who also do not understand trading, no matter how long they short, once the market fluctuates, it is a disaster free! There is no fancy language here, only tangible trading and clear and straightforward operations. The market has only one direction, not long or short, but the right direction. Reasonable risk control+Good investment returns allow every individual investor to find the true joy of investing, instead of constantly increasing losses due to their daily hard trading. I have always believed that choice is more important than effort. A good mentor and technical team should not only bring profits to customers, but also be responsible for them. Individual investors, relying solely on their own efforts to face the market, are prone to being caught off guard when faced with sudden rises and falls. However, if someone can see the situation clearly and provide direction outside the circle, they can do better.

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of gold news: Thursday(4month7day)，国际金价维持窄幅区间震荡走势，尽管美联储重申其打击通胀的积极立场，但乌克兰冲突的不确定性限制了黄金跌幅。乌克兰希望对俄罗斯实施具有足够经济破坏力的制裁，但欧盟成员国对此存在分歧。隔夜公布的美联储3月会议纪要显示，决策层准备积极行动以阻止通胀。“许多”与会决策者表示，他们原本准备在将到来的政策会议上大幅升息50个基点，以努力控制物价，不过与乌克兰战争相关的不断增加的风险让他们在3月没有大幅升息。欧洲央行今日稍晚将公布3月会议纪要，不太可能包括这种鹰派计划，不过可以让人们了解决策者在控制通胀飙升和经济增长放缓方面的微妙平衡。

Technical Analysis of Gold: Gold Yesterday Little Yang StarKNarrow width sorting and leveling, highest exploration1933.30First line pressure, minimum to1915.Overall maintained at4Running within the range of Houbrin Road, the daily line is contracting and fluctuating, and is still in a structural downward wave structure1890是短期关键的防守点，局部在震荡中蓄势形成破位。日内短线区间与昨日日评相符。昨日在上轨处1930一线短空看至1915目标也有部分落袋。4Yesterday, the hours remained mostly fluctuating between the upper and lower tracks of the Bollinger Road, coupled with the contraction of the previous day's range, which has led to local convergence and volatility for two consecutive trading days. The continuity of long and short positions is not strong, and repetition is the main theme of this week. The overall trend tends to fluctuate and accumulate momentum downward. But to fully open the space, it requires breakdown1890低点。日内短线操作仍在布林道上轨处择机高空，阻力1938-1943。1Hour chartK线拉锯钝化，均线指标凌乱发散，在酝酿单边方向的前夕，伴随着来回洗盘的震荡走法，在洗盘的行情中，卡点比方向更关键，所以今日黄金趋势上郭晟衫建议主思路依旧以区间震荡偏空为主，建议上方短期重点关注1943-1948Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Thursday(4month7day)，国际油价从上一交易日触及的三周低点反弹，尽管此前一些石油消费国宣布释放大量紧急储备原油，但对供应紧张的担忧仍给市场前景蒙上阴影。国际能源署(IEA)署长比罗尔周三(4month6day)表示，除美国外的IEA成员国同意释放6000万桶石油储备，而华盛顿上周已经宣布将释放1.8亿桶油储，这些行动旨在为俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后的高油价降温。分析师和交易员表示，即使释放紧急石油储备，供应仍然紧张。国际能源署成员释放石油反映了因俄罗斯入侵乌克兰而制裁俄罗斯石油的强烈政治决心，但这不足以填补实际的供应短缺。银行分析师说，最新的释储行动加上国际能源署在3month1日宣布的协同释储，相当于从5Month to2022年底每天有100万桶的额外供应，这将在短期内限制价格。他补充说：“预计在2023年需要重新补充储备，在基本供应前景不变的情况下，这增加了远期市场的紧张程度，使价格风险倾向上行。”对俄制裁并没有涉及原油，且IEA大幅度抛售原油储备，这给油价短期下行压力，但从中长期角度来看，全球原油市场供需仍不平衡。目前油价是短线回调，中长线看多的走势。

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别来看震荡；MACDDead fork,KDJDead fork,21日均线依然压制油价，目前初步失守55日均线支撑，短线偏向继续试探3month15Daily low point93.53附近支撑；进一步支撑参考2month25Daily low point90.06Nearby, strong support reference100Daily moving average, currently at87.89Nearby2month18日低点。如果93.53下破未果，并向上顶破21Daily moving average104.22附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。进一步阻力参考3month30Daily high point108.75附近。短线的话，在顶破5Daily moving average99.80前（或参考100关口附近阻力），后市略微偏向空头。油价的整体k线的收缩震荡有向下突破的势头，不过油价短期下行空间似乎也比较有限，因为当前价格仍然运行在长期均线上方。投资者看空，但中长线以看多为主。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注99.0-99.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below94.3-93.8Frontline support.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.