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Guo Shengshan:4.7黄金白银连日震荡破位在即今日走势分析!

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The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion and disorderly placing of orders. A person who doesn't know where to go is facing in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be against the wind!People who also do not understand trading, no matter how long they short, once the market fluctuates, it is a disaster free! There is no fancy language here, only tangible trading and clear and straightforward operations. The market has only one direction, not long or short, but the right direction. Reasonable risk control+Good investment returns allow every individual investor to find the true joy of investing, instead of constantly increasing losses due to their daily hard trading. I have always believed that choice is more important than effort. A good mentor and technical team should not only bring profits to customers, but also be responsible for them. Individual investors, relying solely on their own efforts to face the market, are prone to being caught off guard when faced with sudden rises and falls. However, if someone can see the situation clearly and provide direction outside the circle, they can do better.

Message face:

  今日周四,市场需关注欧洲央行公布货币政策会议纪要,美联储票的布拉德,埃文斯和博斯蒂克相继发表讲话,关注他们对凌晨公布的激进货币政策收紧信号的态度。

  技术面上,gold连续三个交易日均是扫荡,涨多少跌多少,跌多少又涨回多少,价格来回跑,不延续性是黄金最大的特色。现在形态收窄到最小化,也是静待突破的时候了,实现突破后,四小时形态也将形成开口放量的动作,预计空间在25-30美元范围。1915支撑是昨日提及的重点,反复测试多次形成弹开的支撑作用,强支撑在后续行情突破后将转为强阻力,支撑阻力相互转换,这一点在价格突破后需要重点留意。

Gold trend analysis:

  日线结构上,昨日所收阴线回到均线带下方,这样的走势是迎合技术需要的,反倒隔夜如果拉升收阳,那么后期走势就很不好判断。目前行情处在均线带下方运行,隔夜拉升冲高也未能突破20日线压力,所以目前均线带带来的压制作用还是很有效的,日内可继续关注行情对均线带的测压过程,只要行情不站回到均线带上方,则近期黄金将会有很大的概率再出现一波回撤,下找区间下沿支撑1900-1890的可能性。目前5、10、20日线已经分别调降至1927、1930、1938一线,日内有回弹的情况时着重关注测压动作,下方继续关注此前几次调整低点1917-15支撑测试,预期跌破的可能性会比较大,如果明凌晨美联储会议纪要偏鹰,也会加大黄金跌破的可能性,届时下方可再看1910、1900Nearby support testing.

  结合小时图结构,隔夜冲高回落走势将行情打回弱势的原形,而后半夜行情震荡状态也锁定了目前行情技术上依旧偏弱的事实。日内预期行情会有一定的回弹,但是空间上受阻概率大,上方关注1927/28附近,而上方主要压力依旧可看1933-35、1938-40区域,下方则先关注1917-15争夺,如果日内持续横盘震荡,则晚间行情出现再度下跌,且跌破1917-15的概率也增加,届时下方可再看1910、1905-00区域回撤。日内主思路依旧以技术上的看空为主,但是依旧需要注意目前基本面的不稳定因素,尤其是俄乌局势很有可能出现突发的消息风险。

  黄金操作建议:建议1930-1932空;1936补空,止损1942Above, look at the target1920-1910;多单根据盘面布局;

  crude oil

  原油方面则是国际能源署再传消息释放原油储备,油价大跌超5%,

  今日操作建议

  空单:激进可在100轻仓开空,稳健依旧等反弹101.3-101.8开空,102.8补空,止损104, Objective96.6-95.6离场

Multiple orders:93.5Going long,90.5补仓多,88.5补仓多,止损86.5, look at the goal101.5减仓。105.0离场

In this ever-changing market, the ups and downs of the market are not determined by personal subjective will, but are filled with more than empty battles. Victory and failure always accompany each other. However, one thing is that the trend of the market will determine the future direction, setting, positioning, controlling positions, and achieving success in the trilogy. Therefore, choice far outweighs effort, choosing a good teacher will benefit greatly, and I have always been there.

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