Guo Shengshan:4.6现货黄金原油今日晚间行情走势及操作思路

很多人总是会想我们没日没夜的挣扎在这个市场上是为了什么？无非就是抓住机会分一分市场这块蛋糕。而事实上并没有那么容易，很多人说自己没有财运，渐渐地对市场产生了难以磨灭的恐惧，每一次诱多每一次诱空，你从来没有错过，每一次正确的感觉你却不敢下单，因为你害怕，所以正中了市场的下怀。不是市场的套路太深，说到底还是你太天真，在你每次欣喜的自以为经过你再三的考虑认为时机已经成熟的时候，你可曾想过有个词语叫做事不过三？难在行情,Trapped in cooperation,死于误导。

　　goldtechnical analysis

　　首先恭喜1944昨天一路做空三倍再次一单20美金下跌利润到手，不止一次强调大格局周期月线出现反转做空信号形态，月线上影线都是130多美金幅度，显然是空头控制盘面，月线如果继续走多头趋势，必须强势突破2075区域，才能摆脱双顶颓势，但是现在来看，技术面上影线单月反转，反弹无力，上影线三分之一1973区域都是渴望不及，基本面美联储加息缩表同步开启，乌克兰危机逐步尾声避险没有以前强烈，疫情出现疫苗也是避险消退，所以黄金后期冲高都是属于洗盘诱多，黄金如何波动都是无法走出我们天图预期，比如经过2008年两房危机，有着15年实盘操作经验的我们来说，经历过太多地缘避险，最终消息过后，一地鸡毛，这些避险作用每次都是能源和资本财富再次分配。2008年两房危机导致欧洲债务危机，黄金推升1920区域，伴随2011天量美元逆回购，开启炒作美联储加息，黄金1920经历6年震荡下跌到1045区域，那么现在黄金2074月线有望双顶雏形，这些就是告诉你随时开启大跌震荡下行，显然基本面技术面都是足以出现牛市行情走势。多空必须灵活转换，交易要有自己的思路趋势格局，不要追风，因为相对历史高位以上价格，谁也不知道，你天天吹在月球和嫦娥喝酒跳舞，我们只能羡慕的呵呵但是你可以通过历史去看身后的路，要不暴风雨过后你自己在沙滩那个奔你懂的！昨日破位1935区域和均线说明空头再次控制盘面，伴随7亿卖单砸盘出逃，以及ETF减持，都是说明黄金后期不乐观。目前日线继续做头肩顶形态没有变，天图走势和分析一目了然，最近1915reach1950区域震荡明显，每次冲高回落，高点不断下移，现在看黄金压力下移1935区域，就是说反弹1935上又是再次做空区域，也许弱势昨日反弹一步到位，也许1930不到都是开启下跌，这就是顺势交易，当然激进早盘波动不大你可以凌晨反弹高点1926参与空。如果破位1910Basically, back to1800时代，趋势出来那就是暂时放弃做多，还是做空为主，就是大规模做多也是等4月加息鞋子落地再说。这就是交易有理有据，进退自如。当然避险暂时的，随时乐观情绪都是闪崩，毕竟美元加息和缩表长期利空存在，所以反弹做空为主大涨大空，小涨小空，破位下跌反弹追空，这个是主旋律。综合上述操作思路如下：

Pressure:1930----1966    Support:1896----1860

　　黄金破位下跌多单暂时回避，不要为了几颗芝麻丢了西瓜，基本压力下移1930reach1935区域择机做空，当然遇到每一个压力位置都是空8dollar1945损就好。激进早盘1926reach1930附近可以参与空1940Loss1915reach1896reach1860区域。目前既然市场互相驱逐外交人员最后避险冲高回落完成，多单暂时回避，如果没有资金避险什么都是可能，就如crude oil可以跌到负40区域一样，黄金只是调整美元的工具仅此而已。挂单1935.8三倍空继续等待。

Analysis of Silver Technology

　　TDYesterday, it rose and fell, and now the pressure is moving down410Of course, there may be a rebound in the middle of the region today, but it may not necessarily arrive410It's about starting a decline, after all, it's a rebound, so today it's aggressive398Just leave the regional batch layout empty403Loss, as for long opening360Nearby, players can participate in game rebounds.

Current pressure26.8After a continuous decline, stabilization, and rebound in the region, the current rebound is still relatively strong, but26.8The upward pressure is obvious and cannot be adjusted at any time. There is a bit of room for the decline in demand for silver industry in the later stage. When gold stabilizes, it is still the first to long silver. Currently, with the tariff adjustment, we can also rebound and participate in short selling. If we continue to rebound25.Nearby, there can be empty layouts waiting for adjustments, as for silverTDJust follow the trend of spot buying and selling, of course, the pressure is concentrated now5150If encountering a direct short entry game and adjusting again, try not to participate in other positions as much as possible, and now switch between top and bottom5150Regional pressure continues to short5250Loss is sufficient. Directly encountering4800Multiple regional batches, available in stock22Try a shorter layout nearby.

Technical analysis of crude oil

　　现在原油冲高回落更多还是欧洲针对制裁俄罗斯的原油存在分歧，毕竟德国能源原油57%Relying on Russia while also using natural gas80%依靠俄罗斯，如果制裁牺牲德国经济瘫痪显然这个是不可能的，在有其他欧洲国家依赖也不少，等真到自己国内开启分歧甚至出现大规模的游完时候，就有戏看了，甚至一些人提示能源远离政治，听听多可笑，连艺术甚至一只猫都是收到制裁，你能源需要的可以远离显然是坑，所以原油必然是冲高回落，近期因为沙特避险原油再次冲高，现在考验118压力，这个和前期分析一致，米国最后禁止原油进口，最大利多出现没有突破130It indicates that stress manifests when things reach their extreme. Rebound and continue to short to meet the second gap92Area, in other words113Give you a light warehouse without hesitation, even if it's empty1Ten thousand dollars0.1The layout is also acceptable, and the total warehouse should not exceed0.3Then wait for the market news to ease, or the bulls will experience a final crazy flash crash, following the bearish trend40The same trend, now accelerating to catch up with the top, what you need to do is not to chase too much and prevent a sudden start to fall. radical104Participated in the empty space nearby, encountered again in the stable midline109.8Near the area, the central line has been opened for short selling, after all, the pressure is gradually moving downwards, and the following is running92Go. First encounter92reach90区域择机多！

Whether it's yesterday's market, today's market, or tomorrow's market; The observer continues to observe, the worried continue to worry, the afraid continue to fear, and the profitable continue to make money; Any current situation is testing our psychological resilience, and any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest, survival of the fittest, one thinks, two does, three succeeds, one waits, two looks, three falls; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!