Guide Metallographer:4.5黄金还会跌吗？后市多头是否还有机会

Tuesday（4month5Asian period, spotgoldNarrow volatility, currently trading at1929.85dollar/盎司附近，西方国家可能因俄罗斯入侵乌克兰而对俄实施更多制裁，并称战事还将持续数月，令市场避险情绪有所回升，给金价提供支撑，不过，隔夜美国和欧洲股市反弹，本周还将迎来美联储会议纪要，大概率会偏向鹰派，令金价涨幅受限，短线金价的下行风险仍未完全排除。

　　美国国务院称，美国准备与盟国和合作伙伴共同对俄罗斯实施额外制裁。下一阶段的冲突可能会持续很久，将在未来几天宣布额外的军事援助，在快速高效地向乌克兰提供支持，俄罗斯将继续使用其军事力量试图征服乌克兰地区，冲突可能不仅仅持续几周，可能是几个月，本周我们将宣布对俄罗斯的进一步制裁。

　　一名美国高级国防官员表示，俄罗斯已经将基辅周围大约三分之二的军队进行了重新部署，将其中许多部队在白俄罗斯整合，预计将进行*、补给，并重新部署到乌其他地方。该美国官员对记者表示，美国估计，在撤离之前，只有不到20个营级战术群专注于基辅。这还不到克里姆林宫为入侵部署的营级战术群的六分之一。官员估计，从基辅周围撤出的俄军很可能会改道前往乌东部，但仍不能确定。本交易日关注澳洲联储利率决议、美国2月贸易数据和美国3monthISMNon manufacturingPMI数据，另外西方国家的进一步制裁的相关消息需要予以留意，重点关注市场对美联储会议纪要的预期变化。

Gold trend analysis:

　　黄金方面、昨日黄金亚盘震荡下跌，那么早间高点就是日内强弱分水岭，午后测试1916附近支撑企稳破高，破高并不意味着反转走强，如果走强不会反复测试1915-16支撑，所以日内走势一定是震荡，欧盘前也及时调整震荡高抛低吸思路。

　　日线形态依然属于下跌修正，随着俄乌多伦谈判局势逐渐明朗，美联储收紧货币政策，黄金修正完毕开启新一轮下跌可能性比较大，只是下跌的时间可能是空头筹码被洗出局，市场开始看多的时候。从短期形态来看、昨日美盘触及1924企稳，但在1936.5附近呈现反复承压，短期走势再次陷入整理。凌晨反抽1934附近不破高进行小区间横盘整理，短线操作方面并不明朗。由于昨日美盘呈现反复承压，早间黄金回落破位凌晨修正低点，短线可以考虑先空看回落，欧盘的强弱是关键，如果走弱，一定不能破凌晨1934高点，破位将震荡上行修正，空单必须回撤调仓。如果欧盘下破1924低点短线转弱延续空即可。午后操作可以考虑1930.5附近空，稳健的等欧盘走势明朗美盘布局一次。

　　黄金具体策略建议：黄金反弹1935-1937附近分批做空（买跌），止损5Points, target1925-1915Nearby, break down and take a look1910frontline

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

Tuesday（4month5日）亚洲时段，美油微涨，现报105.09element/桶；油价周一上涨超4%，欧洲国家对俄罗斯能源行业实施制裁的压力增大，俄乌地缘局势不确定性风险增加，投资者担心石油供应愈发紧张，在维也纳举行的重启伊朗核协议的谈判暂停，为油价提供了支持。日内重点关注美国2Monthly Trade Account, USA3monthISMNon manufacturingPMI、美联储官员讲话、国际能源署（IEA）或宣布释放1.2亿桶原油；北京时间周三4:30publishAPIdata

　　美原油市场早盘低开在98.291The market will first decline after the position is given97.272的位置后行情震荡拉升，美盘最高触及到了103.049After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at102.74的位置后行情以一根下影线较长的大阳线收线，而这样的形态收尾后，日线阳包阴有反弹需求，原油今日操作上指南金师建议：低多为主，高空为辅。如果回落给出100.5Multiple stop loss99.7, look at the goal104and105.5压力离场准备空。

Free benefits within the technical guidance group:The market is constantly changing every day,We have a strong analysis team, and every order we make is carefully considered and judged,To ensure that every order can be profitable and eliminated!Two to three orders per day do not require overnight prosperity,Just ask for the safety of falling into the bag!Profit is very high,I scored nine points alone,One point depends on luck,Eight points rely on strength!One or two days is luck,What about that week?Two weeks?Whether it is within the circle or in a group strategy,Or major financial websites,Team teachers are all current price lists!Daily analysis team technical guidance group, real-time announcement of daily market trends and push notifications,Real time current price list: Each entry is reasonable, evidence-based, publicly available, and can be accessed for free for group experience and inspection!

　　(Add Guide Gold Master（wx：zns1555）After,Free application for direct group experience. Daily current price3-5single)I solemnly promise to add my friend to the guide's gold teacher,Just let me shout if you want me to,I can also tell you the correct single making techniques and mentality,Various solutions for lock orders. This is the key to turning your losses into profits!

① Daily updates:Market trends and intraday reminders,Opportunities for warehouse building.

② Featured columns:Private Q&A,solution τ,Analyze the trend of the day.

③ Welfare delivery:Golden Short Line Opportunity Layout,Continuous tracking(Band opening)。

④ New fan benefits:Trading tactics《KThe King of Online Trading,Teach you how to do a good job in the short term