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Guide Metallographer:4.4gold1938空一波,黄金走势分析操作建议

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Monday(4month4day)In stockgold总体持稳,尽管上周公布的美国就业报告文件,提振了美联储激进加息的预期并利好美元走强,但乌克兰危机恶化则支撑黄金避险魅力。俄罗斯因入侵乌克兰而遭受的制裁正在使供应链问题变得更糟,而以石油、天然气为代表的大宗商品价格飙升可能会推动物价全面进一步高涨,黄金对抗通胀的魅力短期内很难消退。虽然俄乌冲突可能为金价上涨吹来新的春风,但现在更明显的是,影响黄金走势的主要因素已经转向美元走势,美联储加速升息面临的越小,金价后市上涨越艰难。

Gold trend analysis:

  上周周K大阴K收线带有一定的下影线,日线来看,上周整体数一个先跌后涨在延续调整的震荡回调格局,虽然上周五非农数据利多,但整体依然属于震荡偏弱!日线来看承压5天线延续偏弱形态明显,4H来看同样承压5天线均线慢跌回撤处于通道内偏弱整理,下方一旦进一步破位将会进一步打开下行空间,小时线来看整体属于震荡偏弱!所以,操作上来说,反弹依然高空为主,当然如果趋势直接下破,那么届时做空的位置可能就会越来越低,中期来看下方至少需要看跌至1890一带上周低点下方!

  黄金,早盘回撤临近4小时的布林带下轨1915受到支撑再度探底回升,短线来说还是在通道内反复震荡!短线反复震荡,操作上围绕布林带通道上下轨道去做拦截,目前小时线来说反弹到中轨1932附近压力,所以围绕1933可以空一个,下方下破1915之后可以继续留仓下看1900水平以及下方!如果后面继续反弹突破还有反弹动能,那么届时空单转个短线对待,或者看情况要不要回撤在考虑短线跟多一个,届时只能临盘而定!操作上指南金师认为黄金周初以4小数1915-1940区间对待高空低多。更多的还是以高空为主。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

Gold1938Short selling, stop loss1945, look at the goal1928-23;

Gold1915Long, stop loss1908, look at the goal1930-34

  crude oil走势分析——

  原油日内先在98附近震荡回弹,测压至100.7一线后,欧盘时段又出现一波回撤,跌至98.3/2附近,但随后又再度回弹,目前回升至101附近。周线收报大阴,但价格还在关键上行通道上轨支撑上运行;日线同样如此,守住通道支撑,则不代表行情走弱发展,维持上周原判,认为它处于底部的震荡运行,支撑98-97,一旦企稳则容易震荡反攻,继续维持大区间内宽幅来回运行,4小时处于台阶弱势下跌当中,次高点在108.80.此位是空头防守。而下行趋势线的阻力下移至105.60.布林道中轨的阻力在103.5-104.6附近,短线空头趋势出现反弹。综上所述指南金师总结:原油整体维持在一个震荡走弱格局中,今日操作上考虑反弹做空为主,上方关注104.6-107.8美元阻力,意外上破就需要关注108.7水平阻力位,下方关注100.0-98.0dollar/Bucket support.

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

  反弹空为主,低多为辅,上方关注104-104.5USD resistance, follow below100-98.0USD support.

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