Guide Metallographer:3.30黄金走势分析，白银操作建议

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

Wednesday（3month30During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1920美元附近；周二金价一度跌至1890附近，俄罗斯-乌克兰和平谈判取得进展的迹象，提升了市场风险偏好，美股创两个半月新高，削弱了对贵金属的避险需求；不过，两年/10年期美债收益率曲线两年半来首次倒置，敲响经济衰退警钟，吸引逢低买盘给金价提供支撑。许多人认为，两年期和10年期国债收益率曲线出现倒置，是一个可靠的信号，表明一到两年后可能会出现经济衰退。虽然2019year8Month and9月初的短暂倒置之后，2020年经济确实出现了衰退，但没有人预见到新冠疫情会导致企业倒闭和经济崩溃。投资者担心，随着物价以40年来最快速度上升，美联储大幅升息以对抗飙升的通胀的举措将削弱经济增长。联邦基金futures交易商预计，美联储的指标利率到明年2月份将升至2.61%Currently0.33%。整体来看，俄乌会谈引发的避险降温已经基本被市场消化，市场多空消息掺杂，多空博弈将会加剧，本周还将迎来美国3月份非农就业报告，一些投资者可能逐步观望，这可能会限制金价的交投空间；短线金价偏向维持震荡走势。

　　黄金技术面分析；黄金日线下探收高回归区间震荡，浪形空间首次下挫放量但未收低，均线指标凌乱发散当中，日线级别的拐头或许还要些时日。目前还处于回测拉锯当中。昨日收平后显示出短期在1895-1890支撑依旧较强。短线可能还将伴随反复。4小时下探触及270单位均线启稳反抽，与此前的低点1895形成双针探底回升。同时也是日线布指南道下轨的支撑处，结合K线的收平，短期仍重点关注1895-1890支撑的得失，短期不跌破还会在区间内来回拉锯，4小时图均线指标还未完全拐头，暂时还不是单边行情。1小时图一波低位连阳反弹，几乎尽数收复了前一日的下跌失地，相当于开盘在中性位置。短线离高低点都有一定距离，损位不好设置，亚盘先行观望。待欧盘后结合形态灵活应对。

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Wednesday（3month30During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting105.49dollar/Barrel; Oil prices fluctuated significantly on Tuesday, with a slight drop during the session100As a result, former Moscow stated that it would significantly reduce military operations near the Ukrainian capital Kiev and hinted at considering direct talks between Putin and Zelensky. However, Russian negotiators stated that promising to reduce some military operations does not mean a ceasefire, and oil prices closed higher than1.6%，且哈萨克斯坦石油供应持续中断，主要产油国没有表现出急于大幅增产的迹象。石油输出国组织(OPEC)和其盟友组成的OPEC+联盟关键成员国沙特和阿联酋周二表示，OPEC+不应参与政治，目前该联盟面临越来越大的压力，要求成员国就俄罗斯入侵乌克兰采取行动。自俄罗斯于2month24日入侵乌克兰以来，OPEC+面临着越来越大的压力，要求其增产。俄罗斯是OPEC+中最大的产油国，西方国家对俄实施了制裁，限制了其石油出口。总体来看，油价受俄乌谈判取得进展，且还存在些许不确定性的影响，波动将加大，但地缘紧张局势整体看呈降温形势，油价或震荡偏空；早间APIData shows a decrease in US crude oil inventory, with a focus on the evening within the dayEIAData, if inventory further decreases, oil prices may rise in the short term; Continue to monitor the follow-up development of the situation in Russia and Ukraine.

　　原油技术面分析；原油昨日下探回升收高，拉锯幅度较大，先是反弹107.80Under pressure in the region, the US market quickly fell to98.50.Stable recovery in the late trading session, with the daily line closing at a small crossKLine.VA roller coaster style saw shake. The oscillating saw walked out of the space of the band. Opportunities accompany risks. The daily line has leveled off and partially returned to a neutral position with oscillations,4Hourly double negative decline accompanied by double positive rebound and recovery, with a partial decline and recovery before closing at a neutral position, currently off the high point116.0.And low points93.30They all have a certain distance,93.30The low point is the continuation boundary point of the wave shaped space, and if this position is missed, it will enter the daily level adjustment. Of course, the current position still has a long distance, coupled with the uncertainty of the news surface, which increases the frequency of short-term tug of war. and4小时均线指标依旧凌乱发散当中，并没有形成单边压制。短线暂时还是维持震荡思路对待，先确定日内大概区间，再定操作位，综合来看：今日原油操作思路上指南金师建议以回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注108.0-109.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below101.0-100.0Frontline support