Yu Yue on Jin:3.30黄金原油晚间行情如何操作，低位空单如何...

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昨日，美元指数大跌，欧美股市大涨，有关俄乌和平谈判取得进展的报道提振了市场乐观情绪，美股创两个半月新高，削弱了对贵金属的避险需求；不过，两年/十年期美债收益率曲线两年半来首次倒置，敲响经济衰退警钟，吸引逢低买盘给金价提供支撑。虽然俄乌谈判未能达成停火协议，但为两国元首会晤提供了一条可能的途径。俄表示，其正在减少在基辅和切尔尼希夫附近的军事活动，其首席谈判代表还表示俄将采取措施“降级”冲突。



gold昨日走出了深“V”的行情，价格一度短暂刺穿1900一线，价格下跌的比较迅速，在俄乌局势可能出现重大缓和之际，刺激了风险偏好和战争可能结束的乐观情绪。昨晚公布的美国3月消费者信心从一年低点反弹，因就业市场乐观情绪升温，但在高通胀背景下升息可能损及未来六个月的汽车购买，并限制消费者支出。



Analysis of the latest gold market:



Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday（3month30During the Asian period, spot gold is currently fluctuating and1920Nearby, Tuesday spot gold deepVReverse and rebound to1920Near the checkpoint, there was a sharp drop during the session1.7%Refresh2month25Since the low point of the day1889.98dollar/ounce; The signs of progress in peace negotiations in Ukraine have weakened demand for precious metals; However, Russian negotiators have stated that promising to reduce some military actions does not necessarily mean a ceasefire. We have seen a free fall in metal prices, which has stimulated risk appetite and optimism that the war may end at a time when there may be a significant easing in the situation between Russia and Ukraine. Due to bets that the Federal Reserve will significantly raise interest rates to combat a surge in inflation, the indicator10The yield on one-year US Treasury bonds remains close to multi-year highs. Strategists predict that the current gold price will be anchored at1900Around US dollars. These negotiations may break down and see gold prices rebound to1950The level of the US dollar. The signs of progress in peace negotiations in Ukraine have weakened demand for precious metals; However, Russian negotiators have stated that promising to reduce some military actions does not necessarily mean a ceasefire.



Technical analysis of gold: From a daily level perspective, gold prices have been continuously declining in the early trading session, and their intensity has continued to reach the European market. Therefore, this trend seems to have similarities with last week. The Asian and European markets have fallen, and once they rebound and correct before the US market, there will be a second downward trend after the US market. After the second downward process, they will stabilize and then pull up and rebound, and overall, there will be interval fluctuations; resistance1930Next, it is also expected that the gradual decline of the medium rail will come under pressure, and it will also be the counter pressure point after the trend line support broke last Friday. The recent market trend of spot gold tends to fluctuate, although the stagflation of gold has not filled the gap position in the previous period, then this gap will be left for the future market. Yesterday's impact on gold after opening1958.4After the US dollar started to decline unilaterally, the overall rhythm once again shifted to a volatile and weak trend. Currently following below Gold1890The first support for the US dollar, currently the market is approaching this front line. Next, the support will move downward and focus on it1876Horizontal USD support, resistance rebounds and repairs1920-1930Or the amplitude may be limited.



Expecting a bearish mentality during the golden day, waiting for opportunities for backtracking to follow the bearish trend, and selecting a point at1930/32First line, but the highest within the day is only given1928Nearby, falling unilaterally1910There is a presence on the front line, and the aftermarket is basically in the1913/14After hovering nearby, it directly fell back, so the retreat continued in the evening, and the rebound was fruitless,1918Directly follow the sky to see the continuation of the decline, and if there is a downward opportunity, directly break through and explore, until1890First line, achieve profit and exit. Overall, a round of correction actions began to form after the initial high, but the increase did not continue. After the high, it directly oscillated and fell, forming a continuous action, thus breaking the previous low point1895First line, to the current low level1890一线，晚间关注反弹上行的力度在择机二次跟空进而继续看回落，短期回撤力度加大，那么顺势跟随是为主的布局方式。空头永远比涨幅来的快，所以短期确立了方向接下来关注的是反弹机会，在做二次参与。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上余越论金建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1935-1940Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1910-1905Frontline support.



　　crude oilLatest market analysis:



Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday（3month30During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting105.49dollar/Barrel; Oil prices fluctuated significantly on Tuesday, with a slight drop during the session100As a result, former Moscow stated that it would significantly reduce military operations near the Ukrainian capital Kiev and hinted at considering direct talks between Putin and Zelensky. However, Russian negotiators stated that promising to reduce some military operations does not mean a ceasefire, and oil prices closed higher than1.6%Moreover, Kazakhstan's oil supply continues to be disrupted, and major oil producing countries have shown no signs of urgency to significantly increase production. Market analysts said, "Due to expectations for peace talks between Ukraine and Russia, oil prices are once again under pressure, and negotiations may lead to the West relaxing or avoiding sanctions on Russian oil. If a successful ceasefire is achieved, it may also increase the prospects of restarting Iran's nuclear agreement    Previously, Moscow stated that it would significantly reduce military operations near the Ukrainian capital Kiev and hinted at considering direct talks between Putin and Zelensky; However, negotiations between Russia and Ukraine failed to reach a ceasefire agreement on Tuesday, and the United States is waiting for signs of a cooling down in the situation and cautioning against rushing to believe progress has been made. Overall, the oil price is affected by the progress made in the Russia Ukraine negotiations and there is still some uncertainty, which will increase the volatility. However, the overall geopolitical tension is showing a cooling trend, and the oil price may fluctuate and be empty; morningAPIData shows a decrease in US crude oil inventory, with a focus on the evening within the dayEIAData, if inventory further decreases, oil prices may rise in the short term; Continue to monitor the follow-up development of the situation in Russia and Ukraine.



Technical analysis of crude oil: Yesterday, crude oil experienced a downward trend, rebounded, and closed higher, with a significant sawing range, followed by a rebound first107.80Under pressure in the region, the US market quickly fell to98.50.Stable recovery in the late trading session, with the daily line closing at a small crossKLine.VA roller coaster style saw shake. The oscillating saw walked out of the space of the band. Opportunities accompany risks. The daily line has leveled off and partially returned to a neutral position with oscillations,4Hourly double negative decline accompanied by double positive rebound and recovery, with a partial decline and recovery before closing at a neutral position, currently off the high point116.0.And low points93.30They all have a certain distance,93.30The low point is the continuation boundary point of the wave shaped space, and if this position is missed, it will enter the daily level adjustment. Of course, the current position still has a long distance, coupled with the uncertainty of the news surface, which increases the frequency of short-term tug of war. and4小时均线指标依旧凌乱发散当中，并没有形成单边压制。短线暂时还是维持震荡思路对待，先确定日内大概区间，再定操作位置。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上余越论金建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注107.8-108.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102.6-102.1Frontline support.



   The market has given you an opportunity to overturn, but if you fail to seize it, you will have to find a reason from yourself. It is important to change your mindset at any time when making transactions. If you are in the wrong direction, you must correct it in a timely manner. If you don't have confidence, let me give you confidence. I can't guarantee that you will make millions at once, it's all untrue. In short, if you win, I will accompany you to conquer the world. If you lose, I will accompany you to rise again. I am Yu Yue discussing gold, and I will speak for myself. My strength awaits you to experience.!


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    This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.