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Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.
Investment itself has no risk, only out of control investments have risk
goldLatest trend analysis:
After the end of the first day of the fifth round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, the head of the Russian delegation, Mezinsky, stated that Russia has received a written proposal from Ukraine confirming its willingness to maintain neutrality and a nuclear-free status, including abandoning the production and deployment of all types of weapons of mass destruction. The situation in Russia and Ukraine has cooled down, and the safe haven sentiment of gold prices has eased.
United States2-10The Yield curve of one-year treasury bond bonds appears from2019For the first time since the beginning of the year. As Deutsche Bank analysts have pointed out, the Federal Reserve has never experienced such a significant directional deviation, possibly because it has never fallen behind the curve like it does today. Analysts believe that considering current inflation and unemployment, the Federal Reserve needs to raise the "absurd"1155A basis point is necessary to return to the "normal" level. Throughout history, the reversal of yield in each interest rate hike cycle has led to1-3During the recession of the year, "hard landing" is almost inevitable. This news is a huge blow to the US dollar economy, and the US dollar index responded by falling, boosting gold.
Technical aspect: From the daily chart of gold, gold will decline and then move forwardvReverse shape, hammer head closurekThe downward lead is deep and long, with a clear signal to stop the decline. Today's bullish thinking is the main trend. The gold price is also supported by the Bollinger Belt's downward trajectory, with two-way verification. Today's bullish signal is expected to close at the physical bullish line. Step back on the aggressive entry point1913-1918Multiple entry orders.
In the short term:4On the hourly chart, the rebound of gold prices after opening was hindered by1930One line, triple dip, bottoming out1890Back limit rebound to1919Nearby, showing a trendvThe trend of U-shaped reversal is optimistic for the continuation of bulls in the future. Pay attention to the middle track of the upper Bollinger belt1937Regional resistance, breaking point is expected to impact again1946Trendline. Looking at the hourly line, gold prices have since fallen1890The latter has continued to rise, and the current upward momentum has slowed down, but it is still in a broken positive pattern all the way. Pay attention to the hourly line and the Bollinger belt on the track1931A line of resistance suppresses. Overall, gold is bullish today, focusing on the upside1930-1937-1946Resistance level, hold below the limit.
Gold Today's Operation Strategy: Suggest a Fallback1913-1918Multiple entry targets1930-1936-1945; Stop loss1907Below; Break hold, multiple orders in1936Profit reduction, change to stop loss protection and look at the target1946-1960。
crude oilTrend analysis:
Crude oil fell and closed down yesterday, opening high and moving low. After breaking through the low point of last Friday, a wave of weakness and continuous negative decline formed. In terms of news, the hope that Russia and Ukraine may make progress in the peace talks starting in Türkiye on Tuesday put pressure on oil prices. Crude oil formed a wave of weak decline in volume and closed lower. From a daily perspective, it has preliminarily formedBWave high point. The previous rebound has also emphasized being among the confirmed highs. Once obstructed, it will unfoldCThe waves adjust downwards. However, the moving average indicator still forms some support at present. The daily trend is transitioning downwards, and during the conversion process, it requires a long period of seesaw oscillation.
4The hour is over, this wave of rebound, breakdown107.0The lower point of the step was converted into a weak downward trend, and the last high point in the late last night's backdraft was108.45.This position is today's short-term short selling defense point,4If the rebound is confirmed to have ended within hours, it will move towards a downward wave shape adjustment, with a lower low point93.30Defeat is unfoldingCThe reference point for the wave's decline is currently in a neutral position, undergoing a sawing and fluctuating transition to a decline, with the moving average index scattered in a disorderly manner. And the small cycle is slowly transitioning downwards. Considering yesterday's weakness, it is still appropriate to continue today. The resistance lies in105.30-105.60 106.30defense108.50.In terms of operation, the rebound is mainly selected from high altitude.
Specific strategy recommendations for crude oil: crude oil105.10-105.30Nearby empty, see you106.0-106.3Fill in the gaps, defend108.3, Objective101.50-100.0。
This article was submitted by Chen Zeqiang. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at your own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting.
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