Yu Yue on Jin:3.25黄金晚间最新行情策略分析及实时在线解套...

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　　【goldAnalysis of the Latest Market Trends



Friday（3month25日）亚洲时段，现货黄金徘徊于1962附近；现货黄金连续第二天上涨，盘中一度涨逾1%, refresh3month14The highest point since the beginning of the day1966.03dollar/盎司，尾盘回落至1957美元附近，投资者权衡了美国对俄罗斯新制裁措施的影响以及经济增长前景。乌克兰境内的战争和随之而来的制裁提升了大宗商品价格并推高了通胀率，导致一些央行加快收紧货币政策，同时也威胁到经济增长。美联储的鹰派基调和美债收益率走高正在给无息黄金带来压力，但黄金也受益于避险保值需求。分析师在一份报告中写道，高企的通胀数据和地缘政治不确定性应会推动金价温和走高，预计第二季度金价将达到每盎司2000美元。乌克兰境内的战争和随之而来的制裁提升了大宗商品价格并推高了通胀率，导致一些央行加快收紧货币政策，同时也威胁到经济增长。美联储的鹰派基调和美债收益率走高正在给无息黄金带来压力，但黄金也受益于避险保值需求。



　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金昨日连续第二个交易日录得上涨收高，亚欧盘回踩1937.23一线启稳整理，美盘放量破位。站上1950之后打开上行空间，最高触及1966.30.如昨日日评预期一致，由于前一日形成了下探回升收高，使得昨日短线震荡偏多，并有站上1950之势，昨日1940-1938做多，几乎是日内低点。而空间看至1960-1968间也基本到位。日线双连阳反弹收高，拉动5日线金叉勾头向上。短线偏多。周线处于摸高确认当中。中期方向有待重新选择，是摸高后构造二次回落还是强势收复继续走强有待观察。留意周线的形态转换。4小时一波连阳上涨之后拉动均线指标拐头向上形成支撑，昨日探高后收盘在高位，日内短线琮会适当延续，而突破口1950形成支撑，昨晚尾盘时段探高后形成了一波拉锯回测至1942二次启稳，此处是多头临界点，经过洗盘整理之后的启稳，短线相对偏强，而布林道顶开上轨后收盘在高位，短线还有延续之势。亚欧盘先尝试短多，探高后及时落袋追高。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上余越论金建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1978-1980Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1938-1940Frontline support.



　　【crude oilAnalysis of the Latest Market Trends



Friday（3month25During the Asian period, American Oil hovered around111.6dollar/桶附近；油价周四下跌，因拜登联合盟国加大对莫斯科的压力，但各国存分歧；且CPC里海石油管道码头的原油出口可能部分恢复，美国及其盟国正在讨论可能进一步协调从储备中释放更多石油，令油价承压走低。欧盟还担心石油禁令不会对俄罗斯总统普京伤筋动骨，因为制裁措施会抬高油价，其他国家也会取而代之购买俄石油。分析师表示，如果没有欧盟对俄罗斯石油的禁运，制裁不太可能对石油市场产生重大影响。 虽然许多买家回避俄罗斯原油，特别是以前的欧洲买家，但亚洲用户可能会以折扣价购买。分析师表示，“总体风险仍然异常高，流动性仍然很低，原油交易震荡，我们等待今天北约会议的进一步细节，看看欧洲制裁俄罗斯能源的红线在哪里。”总体来看，虽然美国加大了对俄的制裁力度，但就能源的制裁欧洲各国还存分歧，CPC里海石油管道部分恢复，油价短线或偏空；但若俄就美国的新制裁采取回应措施，地缘紧张风险上升，油价或还存上涨可能。



From a technical perspective, crude oil, 原油昨日探高小阴线回落收低，日线虽有回落，但实体K线不算太大，更倾向于震荡拉锯，最高触及116.60承压，最低回测至111.10.且收盘在低位。日线小阴线。从日线结构来看，三连阳之后伴随一阴一阳的循环拉锯震荡，由于空间稍有收敛，且收盘在相对高位，使得日内短线依旧强弱不明，目前在进行B浪反弹确认，昨日的收盘不太好确定已经形成B浪高点。还要留意今天的收盘强弱。单从空间来看，B浪的反弹空间略大，已至0.618上方有受阻之迹象，观察接下来能否收低回落。4小时昨日惯性探高后收低在中轨之下，短线打破了此前的依托中轨强势上涨结构，短线开始转为拉锯震荡，能否转换回落，需要空间配合，暂时进入拉锯震荡，多空延续不足，要重新拐头向下，还需要下行空间的配合，由于这波反抽空间略大，使得短线要进行日线c浪下行，需要跌至低点附近或下破低点确认，目前还有较远的距离。短线需要留意形态转换，目前有回落之势。看周尾收官空间上如何释放。综合来看，今日短线操作思路余越论金建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注117.8-118Resistance, short-term focus below105.8-106Frontline support.



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    This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.