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Yu Yue on Jin:3.25午夜黄金多头是否能延续上涨?后市黄金走...

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  goldLatest market analysis:



Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday(3month23日),金价上涨,因通胀失控和乌克兰危机加剧,刺激了对这种避险金属的需求,但美元走强和债券收益率高企限制了金价涨势。美市尾盘,多头突然加速猛攻,金价加速上涨。现货黄金收报1944.10dollar/Ounces, up22.85USD or1.19%The highest daily hit1948.33USD, lowest touch1915.51美元。随着乌克兰紧张局势升级,石油和小麦等大宗商品的价格已经攀升,这给本已高企的通胀带来了额外的上行压力,原因是供应链瓶颈。不断上升的通胀已导致包括美联储在内的许多央行采取加息等措施抑制物价。然而,黄金也可以从围绕战争的不确定性的避险流中受益。眼下,市场正密切关注美债收益率的倒挂。如果收益率曲线真的反转,这可能预示着一场衰退。而所有这一切发生的时候,由于美联储即将采取激进的货币紧缩政策,经济增长放缓看起来是不可避免的。



  黄金技术面分析:黄金从日线级别图中来看,黄金自2070开始下跌以来,经历了两波调整,一波是三角形整理,一波就是上周从1895开始的反弹,虽然经历了两波调整,但是黄金日线级别的MACD快慢线依然保持开口向下发散运行,这说明黄金日线级别的下行尚未结束,后市的主要方向依然是进行空单操作。而且日线快慢线保持开口发散向下运行也说明即使4小时级别有底部形态也不足以直接带动黄金大幅上行,4小时的底部形态只会延续下去,比如现在的4小时正在走底背离,那么这个底背离就会延续下去走出多次底背离形态,反映到行情上就是行情震荡下行,走出多个低点。上周整体属于一个探底回升偏延续调整的格局,日线来看整体震荡偏弱,但关键位置尚未完全失守,所以短线来说还有反复震荡需求,所以预计震荡来说日线或还有反复阴阳震荡循环契机,只有再度触发新一轮关键位置才会延续二次调整格局。



Gold4小时级别,黄金上周在1895见底之后开始上行,4Hour levelMACD快慢线在低位金叉之后跟随行情上行,反弹至1950之后,行情开始回落,上周五全天都维持下行,这段下行使得4Hour levelMACDThe fast and slow lines are on0轴下方萎缩黏合目前已经接近死叉了,只要走出死叉,黄金大概率就会出现新低,在4小时级别走出底背离形态。底背离形态是看涨的这大家都知道,但是鉴于日线级别MACD快慢线开口那么大,4小时级别的一次底背离很难彻底扭转日线的下行趋势,所以如果4小时级别出现一次底背离,那么大概率就会有二次甚至多次底背离形态出现,黄金低点也就会不断出现。黄金暂时还是处于通道内震荡,小时线整体处于反弹修正过程,鉴于关键位置并未完全失守。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上余越论金建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1975-1970Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1930-1935Frontline support.



  crude oilLatest market analysis:



Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday(3month24During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting116.14dollar/桶;油价周三上涨,美油上涨超5%,因美国原油库存下降,进一步发出看涨信号,而风暴破坏黑海一个重要出口码头也导致供应风险加剧。分析师表示,“能源市场正在看短期和中期形势,前景黯淡,你看到大幅波动的可能性上升,美原油130美元的近期高点可能突破不会太难。”因EIA报告显示美国上周原油库存下降,而风暴破坏黑海一个重要出口码头也导致供应风险加剧。不少分析师一再警告,由于原油产量增长有限以及炼油和出口需求强劲,未来几个月美国库欣地区库存将趋紧。而现在,正如华尔街多家看涨原油的银行所警告的那样,乌克兰冲突显然给供应带来了更大的风险。总体来看,美国原油库存下降,里海石油管线终端停止原油装载进一步增加供应担忧,油价或将进一步上涨;但伊核协议即将达成,以及日内将举行的北约峰会,就俄原油的制裁或无法达成一致,油价短线受此影响,或涨幅有限。



Technical analysis of crude oil: crude oil hit a high and fell back yesterday, closing slightly negativeK线,最高触及113.30一线承压回落,尾盘回测至107.0附近。最终收盘在中性位置108.80.日线小阴线暂时停顿震荡,多空暂时陷入争夺。日线结构来看,目前处于反弹摸高确认二次顶部。但确认的顶部位置可高可低,需要结合形态来确定。毕竟目前位置离前高点130还有较大距离。4小时探高回测至中轨附近收盘,暂时还是守住在中轨之上。没有完全走弱,使得目前的二次顶部确认不好过早确定,现在的位置还是相对中性,过早布局稍微再向上反弹一些容易洗掉止损位置。稳妥一点等待右侧交易,也就是形态成立之后再行布局,虽然不是最高点,但相对稳一点,避免被扫损之后再走既定方向。亚欧盘短线继续关注107.0的防守,守住中轨先反弹,下破则走弱,届时再看空也不迟。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路余越论金建议以回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注116.6-117.1Frontline resistance, short-term focus below113.3-112.8Frontline support.


Yu Yue on Jin:3.25午夜黄金多头是否能延续上涨?后市黄金走...214 / author:Yu Yue Tan Jin / PostsID:1607399

(Click on the avatar to view information and join the group. Apply for free and directly join the group to experience the experience. Order at the current price every day)3-5单)郑重承诺添加到余越论金的朋友,Just let me shout if you want me to,I can also tell you the correct single making techniques and mentality,Various solutions for lock orders. This is the key to turning your losses into profits!

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    This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.

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