Yu Yue on Jin:3.23黄金原油走势分析新低跌破趋势关口操作建议

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Precious metal related information:

　　goldMessage analysis: Wednesday（3month23日）因美联储主席鲍威尔此前暗示将在今年大幅加息，以遏制飙升的通货膨胀，推高了美国国债收益率，这令金价承压下跌近1%，至近一周低点。美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1921.25dollar/Ounces, down14.54USD or0.75%The highest daily hit1938.31USD, lowest touch1910.32美元。鲍威尔周一表示，随着通胀升温，决策者需要“迅速采取行动，他上调了升息50个基点的可能性。鲍威尔的强硬立场引发债券市场大幅抛售，并将基准10年期国债收益率推高至2019year5月以来的最高水平。交易员目前预计，美联储将在5月的下次会议上加息50个基点。上周，美联储三年来首次加息25个基点。黄金对美国利率上升高度敏感，因为美国利率上升会增加持有无收益黄金的机会成本。



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Analysis of International Gold Trends:

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金昨日下探回升收阳，先行下探1917.80一线启稳回升，美盘时段触及1941后再承压，尾盘收盘在1930附近。日线收成一根中阳线。整体维持在上周五的区间内运行，高低点未破，区间内拉锯震荡。日线震荡稍有放缓。4小时经过昨日的拉锯震荡，布林道开始收缩，下轨在1918.On the track1940-1942.空间开始收敛，短线需要重新选择方向，是多头启稳回升还是修正之后继续延续跌势？目前的K线结构正处于酝酿当中，此前小时图经过C浪下跌空间释放后。重新抉择。横向拉锯需要时间，而均线指标凌乱发散当中。今日短线还是收缩震荡对待。短线卡区间高抛低吸，破位再定方向。空间收敛之后，会维持在区间内来回拉锯。综上所述余越论金总结：黄金冲高回撤，上方阻力位在1930美元，强弱分界线在1933美元，防守在1938USD, lower support1911, take a break to see1908USD.

　　周二实盘，早盘在1930布局多单，获利1934-35，随后在1934-1932的多单，止损在1927,Europa1925多单获利在1929。随后转变思路1930空单获利1924,1925空单获利1919。

　　今日布局策略：反弹做空为主，阻力位关注1930-1938USD, below support attention1911-1908, take a break to see1900，破位下看。

　　crude oilRelated information:

Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday（3month23During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting108.90dollar/桶；油价周二震荡中走低，美油下跌近2%，因欧盟讨论是否禁止进口俄罗斯原油，但一些主要成员国仍然反对；且有迹象显示交易员一直在减少futures持仓，以规避价格的剧烈波动。因欧盟讨论是否禁止进口俄罗斯原油，但一些主要成员国仍然反对。分析师：石油市场供应减少了约200-25010000 barrels/日的俄罗斯原油和成品油，柴油市场吃紧将特别令拉丁美洲和非洲难以承受。原油产量大致下降了10010000 barrels/日，成品油产量下降了10010000 barrels/日，可能还会更多。柴油市场非常吃紧，我们可能会出现缺货，欧洲可能负担得起。问题是在非洲和拉丁美洲会发生什么，我们非常担心严重依赖柴油发电的非洲将出现缺货。总体来看，油价因欧盟讨论是否禁止进口俄罗斯原油，但一些主要成员国仍然反对影响，且乌克兰准备讨论不寻求加入北约的承诺，油价短线或震荡偏空；但美国对俄新一轮制裁或避免不了，且美国库存减少，对供应担忧犹存；日内关注晚间EIAdata



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Analysis of International Crude Oil Trends:

　　原油技术面分析：原油周二先涨后跌，上涨到113.3后震荡下行，最低到达107，随后处于107上方震荡，日线收阴于108.6，从日线看形态还是呈上涨趋势，今上方重点关注113.5一线的突破情况，破位上看115-117，从四小时线看，油价昨上涨后未能延续，从四小时线看MA5AndMA10死叉向下，今113不上，油价将继续下跌，另消息面对油价无特别利好消息，从小时线看，布林轨向下呈下跌势头，下方先看117，此位破位下看115附近，目前油价是多头趋势，但有回调势头，故看多不追多，上方以113.5为分水岭，下方以107为分水岭，破位看顺延。综上所述余越论金总结：原油冲高回撤，预期上涨已经结束，后市将出现下跌浪走势，今日操作上考虑反弹做空思路，上方关注111.3-112.5dollar/Bucket, lower support attention107.5-107.0dollar/Bucket.

　　周二策略：昨日预期原油上涨目标在113.0附近，因此亚盘按兵没动，欧盘下破后，美盘前在109.9空单获利109.0，美盘在110.2-110.3-110.8-111.1分批布局空单，给出分析111.1不会上破，在109.7减仓，后市止盈在107.0

　　今日策略：反弹做空为主，上方阻力位111.3-112.5Below support attention107-104.7。

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    This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.