Chen Zeqiang:3.21黄金原油今日行情多空涨跌分析及操作策略布局

Trading is a process of patiently waiting for opportunities to emerge, not because one is at a loss, but because one has a plan in mind,95%The profit always comes from5%Trading, waiting for the rabbit, is a trading strategy. Sometimes taking the initiative will only scare the rabbit away, patiently waiting for the arrival of a certain signal to avoid blind investment in ambiguous stages. The market is a place where experienced people gain more money, and those with money gain more experience. Every novice will learn from the lessons of failure, while smart people will profit from the help of professional teams. The market is a magnifying glass that wirelessly magnifies your shortcomings. The real loss comes from not correcting or admitting mistakes that are already obvious, and continuing them. There is a strange phenomenon in the investment market, which is that those who make money are always making money, while those who are deeply invested are always deeply invested. They do not know their own tolerance limit, nor do they know their profit target. They are either trapped or on the path of being trapped. Not every transaction will yield good returns, and it is necessary to be prepared to bear the pain of losses, so as not to affect one's mentality. There is no winner in the market. If you are not prepared to lose, you should not have the intention of winning. Any investment carries risks. The path of cultivation is long, and time will accumulate the necessary experience and heal all wounds. Without accumulating small streams, there will be no river or sea. Investment will also go through the process of accumulating funds.

Investment itself has no risk, only out of control investments have risk

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday（3month21At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1923dollar/盎司附近；因避险降温且美联储加息，美联储官员鹰派讲话给美元提供支撑，上周黄金创下6月以来最大周跌幅；但地缘局势担忧挥之不去，通胀预期居高不下，给金价提供逢低买盘支撑，分析师和散户仍倾向于看涨黄金后市。盛宝银行大宗商品策略主管Ole Hansen表示，他仍然看好黄金，因为随着全球增长放缓，通胀率可能会保持在高位。这可能最终迫使央行，尤其是美联储放弃进一步加息，转而启动新的刺激措施。本周需要继续关注俄罗斯乌克兰局势的相关消息，俄乌新一轮谈判将于北京时间21日下午开始；此外，美国总统拜登将于本周访问欧洲，参加将于3month24日在比利时布鲁塞尔举行的北约峰会，并敲定一系列针对俄乌冲突的新措施。还需要提醒的是，本周美联储主席鲍威尔在内的多位美联储官员将发表讲话，投资者需要重点关注。

　　黄金从技术面来看，日图来看，金价上周五震荡下跌，开盘即是日内高点，承压于1945.25下方，晚间反弹一度触及1940关口，但未能站上该位置，因俄乌和平谈判取得进展的希望以及美国加息的影响打击了对黄金的避险需求。最终收盘在1921.41，日线在连续两个交易日收涨之后录得一根小阴线。金价跌破自2月初以来的上行趋势线，且连续3个交易日收盘20日均线下方，表明短线走势转为看跌，金价将面临进一步的回调。下方支撑首先关注3month15Daily low point1907，若跌破该位置，金价可能会直接下破1900关口，向3month16Daily low point1895寻求支撑。

Gold4小时来看，布林带收口后趋于水平运行，金价运行在中轨下方，短线有进一步回踩下轨1908附近支撑的迹象，若坚守该位置则仍有震荡反弹的机会，上方初步阻力关注中轨1928.9，若金价收复中轨则短线看空压力将得到缓解，依旧还是空头，连续收线大阴线，阴线实体直接全方位覆盖震荡区间，这是强势的空头，50均线明显的向下运行，30均线也是必然的向下倾斜，两条均线明显的死叉，直接摁着k线在地板上摩擦，整体趋势空头不改，1932承压，阻力位不断的下行，周初关注延续情况。经过凌晨时段一轮虚破行情过后，目前MACD指标双线也出现了低位金叉的信号，表示价格正式步入阶段性的调整过程当中，不过目前整体仍表现的非常弱势，需要时刻留意MA5andMA10两道均线的支撑有效性。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上陈泽强建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1940-1945Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1915-1910一线支撑。文章只能给您一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点和解的时机，请关注陈泽强的实盘将实时给出。

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（3month21日）亚洲时段，美油微涨，因国际能源署表示，石油市场处于“紧急状态”，俄乌地缘局势还存不确定性，将开启新一轮谈判，乌克兰总统泽连斯基称不接受妥协，地缘政治风险继续主导市场。乌克兰总统办公室主任顾问波多利亚克当地时间3month20日说，俄罗斯和乌克兰代表团新一轮谈判将于当地时间21日上午开始。此前各工作小组进行了密集的准备工作。乌克兰谈判代表在接受采访时表示，与俄罗斯谈判的关键问题包括：乌克兰的安全保障，执行停火，俄罗斯撤军和政。治解决有争议领土。据英国《独立报》，一名高级谈判参与者表示，伊朗核问题国际协议可能在48小时内达成。重启核协议将为结束对伊朗的制裁铺平道路，使伊朗能够增加对西方国家的石油出口，西方国家正寻求停止对俄罗斯的能源供应依赖。总体来看，地缘局势将继续主导油价走势，日内油价走势关注俄乌新一轮谈判，目前致力于双方和谈，但乌方称不接受妥协，矛盾依旧存在，油价或震荡偏多；本周油价关注伊核协议或将达成，伊朗增加出口量，或为高油价降温，限制油价涨幅；另外，关注本周将举行的北约峰会。

　　原油技术面分析：原油上周五强势低位反弹收高，守住前一日低点上方整理，欧盘走强，短线图走出一波强势连阳上升收复失地，且回撤空间较小。日线最终收盘中阳线，形成启明星止跌。单从日线来看，短线止跌回升今日还有延续。4Hours from94.23After stabilizing at a low point, we emerged from a strong consecutive positive trend and recovered99.20A small level of reverse recovery is formed after the resistance point.4Hour walking is relatively strong, and there is no YinK线回撤。这使得短线切入点不好寻找，毕竟是由空转多的反弹，而非单边多头，一波三折的回撤才能有力度，而昨日直接单向上涨，使得今日加大了震荡拉锯的频率。短线震荡向上，但会伴随冲高回踩的走法，修正昨日的上涨空间。同时也是作为周线震荡收尾。原油触及93.4水平后出现了一波连续性上涨，预期有望出现五波结构，周五在102.2水平形成了支撑平台走高。综合来看：原油今日操作思路上陈泽强建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注109.0-109.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below104.0-103.5Frontline support.

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

This article was submitted by Chen Zeqiang. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at your own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting.