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Yu Yue on Jin:3.19黄金操作策略分析解析!跟对人做对事!

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   跟对人做对事,一个好的团队首先考虑的不是如何让客户一夜暴富而是如何把风险控制在最低,然后是如何赚钱。(余越论金团队欢迎您进群监督wx  yylj10086)

  In the investment process, there are always external factors that we must overcome. We must endure loneliness, withstand temptation, see the pitfalls clearly, and seize opportunities. The ultimate victory will surely belong to us! The conclusions of predecessors and others must be verified through one's own practice before they can be used with confidence. It is difficult for one person's power to compete with the entire market in this market, if you have a strong and powerful team behind you as your backup! What will the result be? If you need help, I will always be there, but if you don't even reach out, how can I help you?

goldLatest market analysis:



Analysis of Gold News: Friday(3month18日)欧市盘中,美元指数温和上涨,目前位于98.40附近;现货黄金小幅反弹,金价现报1938dollar/盎司附近。日内触及1927Horizontal, falling close to daily highs20美元。欧洲交易时段,欧股在多日大涨后整理涨幅,市场情绪较为平静,投资者进一步等待俄乌谈判的新消息。金价随避险需求减弱而下滑,日内一度失守1930美元,周线料创近四个月来最大跌幅。由于俄罗斯全面袭击乌克兰推动的避险需求消退,金价今日下跌,或创下去年11月底以来最糟糕的一周。随着战争进入第四周,俄罗斯军队在乌克兰城市的推进似乎停滞。西方官员对媒体表示,乌克兰当地局势没有发生巨大变化,乌克兰抵抗俄罗斯的行动使局面陷入僵持。在俄罗斯和乌克兰谈判代表连续第四天进行会谈后,双方发出的信息表明,离达成协议仍有一定距离。



  就目前而言,尽管美联储的一系列操作以及数据的表现良好,令多头有所担忧,但地缘局势的不明朗使得市场的避险情绪依旧强烈,而且美元走弱,通胀预期居高不下,也有望给金价进一步震荡反弹提供机会;由于市场仍担心在美联储完成加息计划前,经济增长可能会有隐忧,实际利率和美元出现下滑。市场持续关注经济逆风给金价 带来的各种支持力量,包括俄乌冲突衍生的地缘政治风险、依然深陷负值的实质利率,以及投资者设法回避更高的利率和较差的债券回报率。一些大宗商品策略师预计,美联储升息实际上对黄金有利,因为此前的一些升息周期支撑了金价。余越论金认为,乌克兰局势短期内将持续支撑金价,但从2015Year to2016年的经验来看,美联储加息也有利于未来几个月的金价表现。在美联储表示将按照预期上调借贷成本后,同时承认通胀飙升带来的挑战,金价小幅反弹。



  黄金技术面分析:黄金昨日第二个交易日延续反弹走高,开盘即是日内低点,守住1920上方开盘后强势走强。受美元和美债收益率回落的支撑,配合技术结构上的止跌反弹。最高触及1949.60高位。最终收盘在1940附近。日线收成中阳线。日线已是第二个交易日收阳。今日日第三个交易日的时间节点,同时也是周线收盘的争夺。日线进入10Daily line and30日线的夹角区间震荡有待选择方向。中期的方向选择来决定短期这波反弹是修正还是反转,结合时间节点。



Gold4小时经过一波低位反弹空间得到释放,附图指标也得到消化修正。而空间上也遇到了一定阻力。连阳之后稍有停顿,短线进入重新选择的时间节点,也是多空转换的位置。而短期美元稍显弱势。一定程度还是支撑金价反弹。4小时的走势图之中,指标钝化,价格处于中轨道附近,这里上下都可以。上就是按照1960上下的位置做空,下就是按照短线上1928这里先短多;1小时短线上的顶底转换的反弹支撑点是1928一线的位置,昨日的反弹起涨点,BOLL的轨道支撑。因此,日内的短线上是1928这里短线做多的一个思路;综上所述,黄金下周操作思路上余越论金建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方重点关注1945-1950Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915一线支撑。文章只能给您一个暂时的方向和想法,至于具体的进场点和解的时机,请关注余越论金的实盘将实时给出。



 crude oilRelated information:





Friday(3month18day)本周美油价格势将连续两周回落。给油价带来压力的因素,包括供需两个方面的担忧都有所缓解。俄乌冲突缓和且疫情因素打压。不过,市场仍然认为若俄罗斯原油供应长期出现问题,油价后市前景仍然广泛看好。美国上月消费者价格指数已经达到7.9%, creating40年新高。美联储终于接受了现实——通货膨胀是根深蒂固的,而不是暂时性的。为了避免高物价带来的潜在衰退风险,必须通过提高利率来调整货币政策,短期对油价形成利空影响。考虑到年内国际油价最大上涨幅度超过40%,资金开始逐步获利了结。洲际交易所(ICE)数据显示,在截至3month8日的一周内,对冲基金和其他基金经理在六种最重要的石油相关futuresandoption合约中,抛售了相当于1.42亿桶的石油。首席市场分析师阿斯拉姆指出,石油市场的大幅波动是广泛平仓的一部分,比如布伦特原油走势是由2018年以来最大的看涨押注平仓推动的。





Analysis of International Crude Oil Trends:





Crude oil opened today at103.640dollar/桶,亚欧盘出现了先涨后跌走势,最高给到106.23水平遇阻,最低给到103.2附近徘徊。从日线走势图上看,日线收录大阳线,低价没有破前低,高价破前高,出现了出头走势,油价在触及布林带中轨后出现了企稳反弹,均线系统向上发散中。从四小时级别上看,原油在130.5附近二次触及后,出现了一波快速的下跌走势,进一步运行在93.5水平出现了企稳,随后震荡二次触及93.5-95.0后油价出现了一波加速上涨,就这波行情已经改变了之前油价偏空格局,后市调整结束后,将出现一波上涨走势。综上所述余越论金总结:原油探底后出现了一波强势上涨,后市维持在一个看涨思路,计算多空分水岭在101.2水平,该位置不下破将看好油价出现上涨浪的延续,今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主,上方关注105.5-106.8, take a break to see110水平,下方支撑关注102.2-101.2。


  The market has given you an opportunity to overturn, but if you fail to seize it, you will have to find a reason from yourself. It is important to change your mindset at any time when making transactions. If you are in the wrong direction, you must correct it in a timely manner. If you don't have confidence, let me give you confidence. I can't guarantee that you will make millions at once, it's all untrue. In short, if you win, I will accompany you to conquer the world. If you lose, I will accompany you to rise again. I am Yu Yue discussing gold, and I will speak for myself. My strength awaits you to experience.!


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    本文由余越论金,vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.

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