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goldLatest Market Analysis
上周周五(3month4day),现货黄金收报1970.15dollar/盎司,本周累计上涨81.15USD or4.30%, highest touch1970.55dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1890.71dollar/ounce.2month28Solstice3month4日当周,在俄乌战火继续燃烧、美联储主席鲍威尔听证会和美国非农就业报告这三大主要事件的推动下,黄金对本周风险情绪的变化做出了剧烈反应,最终创下了至少自2020year11月以来的最高单周收盘水平,成功站上1970美元。展望本周,除了定于本周四公布的2Monthly consumer price index(CPI)外,未来一周的经济数据相对较少。简而言之,除非投资者看到俄罗斯和乌克兰冲突出现令人信服的缓和迹象,否则本周黄金作为传统的避险资产应该会继续受到需求提振。如果参与者在通胀数据公布后将注意力转向美联储的政策前景,黄金与美国国债收益率的负相关关系可能会限制黄金的上行空间。
Technical analysis of gold:
黄金从日线级别来看,周五日内黄金也表现偏强,虽然早盘测压1950There is a repair after the first line, but the retreat below is only limited to1930Nearby, it quickly picked up, and then the market remained basically stable1930The market is fluctuating above, and the European market has strengthened again during the trading period. Currently, the market is undergoing further testing1970frontline. Technically, it has already broken through1960Above the front line, currently in4Hourly rise channel1970There is a certain degree of*Functional,4The technical indicators of the time chart also show that the current market is somewhat overbought, and after the release of non agricultural data, it also met my expectations of a bearish trend. Subsequently, it walked out of the line of breaking the limit and rising. This trend of gold undoubtedly increases the uncertainty of the data market, and the current situation in Russia and Ukraine is also controlling the trend of gold. So, at the beginning of today's trading, focus on the short-term first1958If the competition is not broken, there is still a tendency to see it undergo some revision, but currently4There are gradually stronger expectations in the time chart structure, and now gold has broken through1970, retest the initial height1974It is highly possible above. If short-term gold withdraws1958-50Find support again in the area, if it falls, support or lower it1936Near.
Gold from4From the hourly chart, it can be seen that gold is still operating within the upward bullish channel. Although the technical indicators show overbought and top deviation in the current market, the emotional buying brought by fundamentals to the market continues to provide momentum for gold. Today, we will continue to focus on the gold market1974Pressure, as a dense area for early trading, has transformed into a key technical pressure, and the market fluctuated and rose on Friday, although it did not break the limit1974Above, the current market is hovering around1970The first line of oscillation has been confirmed again1974作为技术压力的重要性,同时非农利空也给黄金压力。那么乌俄局势缓解,非农利好,美联储加息有更大的动机。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上萧毅舟议回撤顺势跟多为主,高空低多为辅,上方重点关注1995-2000Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1955-1950Frontline support.
美油价格大幅度攀升,当周油价有望上涨20%。油价本周油价飙升,主要因制裁导致的供应中断,同时伊朗核谈判也陷入停滞,虽然IEA释放的原油储备,但仍然无法改变当前市场供不应求的局面。对于原油的后市前景,分析师和众多机构普遍看涨。俄罗斯和乌克兰的冲突升级,西方对俄罗斯实施制裁,扰乱和航空和海上运输,威胁到原材料商品的贸易。与此同时,原油价格也一路蹿升。分析师表示,乌克兰的局势依然脆弱,西方对俄罗斯金融和能源实施制裁,将导致能源危机持续发酵,短期内原油价格将会升至远高于每桶100美元的位置,如果冲突进一步升级,甚至会上涨得更高。受俄乌冲突和西方对俄严厉制裁影响,国际油价升至每桶100美元上方。为给油价降温,国际能源署3month1日召开临时部长级会议,决定联合释放6000万桶原油储备。虽然市场对上述消息已有预期,但当日早盘国际油价仍大幅上涨。国际能源署公布释放原油储备的消息后,涨幅仅小幅收窄。随后的交易中,国际油价继续冲高。当前国际原油市场供不应求局面尚存,在需求增量较为确定的背景下,供应增量持续受限,导致油价有望继续维持高位,且短期并未看到基本面紧缺缓解的趋势。另一方面,地缘政治冲突预计将持续演绎并有望提升原油风险溢价,进一步推动油价上涨。
Technical analysis of crude oil:
日线上周五原油依托MA5日均线展开上涨,并突破上轨,录得实体大阳,日线上,原油再次上涨,但在没有突破前期高点短期仍有横盘可能性;4小时上,周五原油在早盘短线失守中轨位置后回升,并走震荡上行走势,同时在尾盘触及上轨位置后小幅回落,当前布林带即将开口,MAThe moving average walks out of the golden cross,KDJRandom indicator three lines up, reaching overbought,MACD指标底背离,快慢线有金叉向上需求,综上所述萧毅舟总结:原油高开高走,油价大刀阔斧最高触及130美元水平,周五看好原油上涨的五浪,现在符合预期,今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主,上方关注130-135dollar/Bucket, lower support attention120-115Horizontal support.
【新手该如何正确投资黄金】
1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
2Starting with small-scale trading - For beginners in the market, it is necessary to start with small-scale trading, gradually grasp trading patterns and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities, and bear heavier risks based on the opposite market trend and personal wishes.
4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial. How is your profit from investing so far?
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