Chen Zeqiang:3.4黄金原油走势预测及短线操作思路分析！

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday（3month2日），亚洲时段，现货黄金小幅走低。周二黄金延续涨势，纽市尾盘现货黄金一度涨逾2%Breach1950At the critical juncture, investors are concerned that global economic growth is facing increasing risks due to sanctions against Russia. US treasury bond bonds climbed, and traders gave up raising interest rates of the Federal Reserve this month50A one basis point bet. The price of gold is2Monthly Acquisition2016年以来最佳同期表现，因黄金的保值需求攀升。金价上涨凸显了投资者的担忧，在通胀飙升的同时，俄乌战争令经济前景笼罩阴影。分析师表示，乌克兰引发的避险需求令金价得到支撑，债券收益率下降也给金价提供了进一步的支持； RazaqzadaInvestors are lowering their expectations for a significant tightening of policies by the central bank. The sanctions against Russia and the intensification of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine have driven down bond yields. In this uncertain period, gold is considered a safe means of storing value and a tool to hedge against rising inflation. Boosting the continued high strength of gold prices.

　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金昨日大阳线收高，守住区间下轨走反弹收复，突破中性值1922A strong upward trend emerged after the first line. Highest to1950dollar|ounce. The daily line passes through a double crossKAfter the correction and consolidation of the line, it turned to a bullish trend to regain lost ground. Still unable to lower the range, while regaining the lost ground from the previous upper shadow line, some short-term positions have returned to bullish positions, and the breakthrough point has been reached1922Then it will be converted into support, which is also the critical point for short-term strength and weakness within the day. Above this level, the strong trend will continue. 4After two rounds of probing, the rebound stabilized and the second time did not break through1877Constructing platform support, while the previous sharp decline was only a wave of correction and correction, without sustainability, and the trend did not change. Holding the low point again and recovering, the short-term trend turned bullish again. And the critical point of the mid-term upward wave is at1877One area. As a wave shaped adjustment low point, it will not break through in the future market. It will rely on the low point of the wave shape to continue rising. Breakthrough last night1922Neutral value retest1911Starting a stable upward trend again, the second lowest point of the previous day is the critical point for today's bulls, and the breakthrough point is1926-1922做为支撑回踩看多。

　　综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上陈泽强建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1950-1955Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1927-1922Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday（3month2During the Asian session, oil prices continued to rise, with US oil prices briefly rising by over3%, up to107.55dollar/Bucket, due to morningAPIThe data shows that inventory has decreased, and the scale of crude oil reserves released by the United States in conjunction with multiple countries has disappointed the market, exacerbating concerns about insufficient supply and increasing long positions in crude oil. Market analysts said, 'Releasing oil reserves is worth paying attention to, but as we did last year,...'11As seen by Yue, this is not considered a way to change the rules of the game at all. The political risk premium of a crisis involving one of the world's largest oil producing countries is simply too high. ”Banks including Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase have raised their oil price forecasts, anticipating a possible supply disruption. consulting firmOilXThe possibility of disruptions in the supply of crude oil and refined oil products from Russia's offshore is increasing, which could push oil prices above a barrel level150The US dollar. Overall, there is no sign of easing geopolitical tensions, and the scale of crude oil reserves released by countries such as the United States has greatly disappointed the marketAPIThe data shows a decrease in inventory, intensifying concerns about supply and increasing long positions, further stimulating the rise in oil prices; eveningEIAIf the data further shows a decrease in inventory, oil prices are expected to soar in the short term110dollar/Bucket; Additionally, within the dayOPEC+Due to the impact of overlapping data in the meeting, oil prices may fluctuate significantly, and trading needs to be cautious.

　　原油从技术面来看，原油昨日强势大阳线放量上涨，日线连续十字KAfter accumulating momentum through line consolidation, the high level continued to rise again, and the bullish line broke the recent consolidationKLine deadlock. The daily bullish trend is full, and there will still be further inertia to see bulls hitting new highs in the short term. The news of the United States and major economies jointly releasing emergency oil reserves has not deterred investors' concerns about severe global supply disruptions. Instead, it has exacerbated concerns about energy shortages. The upward trend of crude oil volume is strong.4The hourly chart shows a wave of high levels, explosive volume, and consecutive gains, breaking through100.50After reaching a high point, an acceleration is formed, and the acceleration in the middle of the rise drives a new high. Combined with the daily closing. The almost bald and barefoot display shows that the short-term trend will continue to rise with inertia. And the early opening of the morning session also released a high point in advance. In the short term of the Asian session, there will be a retracement correction first, and the volatility base will increase. It is necessary to find a stable support point based on the form, and pay attention to the first support point102.50.Next is the resistance point that was previously broken through100.50转换成支撑，短线维持回调看多思路不变。

　　综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路陈泽强建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注112.3-112.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below105.5-105.0Frontline support.

Wen/Chen Zeqiang