Chen Zeqiang:3.2Analysis of the Latest Market Trends and Operational Suggestions for Gold and Crude Oil

Wednesday ( 3 month 2 day ) At the beginning of the Asian market, in stockgoldVolatile and slightly lower, currently trading in 1935 美元附近，美元相对强势，金市迎来了短线调整。隔夜金价大涨，一度触及 1950 关口，因投资者权衡制裁对俄罗斯的影响，俄罗斯袭击乌克兰造成的不确定性正在引发大规模转向避险金属。一些机构认为，金价后市有望进一步涨向 2000 关口。对供应中断、意想不到的经济后果以及更成问题的通胀的担忧正在将贵金属价格推至数月以来的新高，而俄罗斯则加大了对乌克兰的攻击力度。市场被俄罗斯全面入侵乌克兰吓坏了，地缘政治局势日益恶化。地缘局势升温、全球央行收紧货币政策或放缓，都有利于金价继续震荡上攻，不过，美元相对强势，1950 and 1974 附近阻力依然很强，短线多空博弈加剧或迎来宽幅震荡，需要予以警惕。

　　技术面：黄金昨日先围绕在 1900 附近窄幅震荡，随后行情走高测压至 1925 附近，晚间行情回撤 1910 附近，美盘行情再度回升走高，最终高点落在预期的 1950 压力位，日线收得实体饱和大阳线。日线结构上，若单以技术角度来看，在前三日均冲高回落收阴的结构下，昨日收大阳线是很难理解的，但目前行情并非技术走势主导的，地缘风险带来的不确定性推动着价格一步步走高，不过美联储近期的鹰派态度在一定程度上限制了黄金的涨幅。

　　日线级别，布林带开口向上，价格经历了两天的回调调整之后，再度向高点发起冲击，短线走势震荡偏多。上方的压力则是昨日反弹的 1950 高点压力，如果今日行情能够冲破此压，则上方或可再看前期高点 1967-1974 一带压力测试。而下方的支撑就是 1930-1928 位置，按照目前小时图有顶部背离的特征，日内行情跌回 1930 以下也是有可能的，但是目前结构重心已经抬升，若 1930 跌破，下方也允许有一定的缓冲，可以再关注 1920-1918 Nearby support.

　　4 小时，布林带开口，价格短暂突破上轨后小幅回调，暂时在高位保持整理态势，目前地缘形势复杂，价格上下波动较大，预期日内会有小幅回调，但回调力度并不会太大，大方向还是以看多为主。综合来看，黄金今日操作上陈泽强  建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅。上方关注 1948-1950 One line of resistance, pay attention below 1930-1928 Frontline support.

Suggestions for Gold Today's Operations:

　　1Touching below 1930-1928 Long nearby, stop loss 1925On the target 1945-1950 Near.

　　2Touching from above 1947-1950 Short nearby, stop loss 1955Look at the target below 1935-1930 Near.

　　crude oilAnalysis of the latest market trend:

Wednesday（3month2During the Asian session, oil prices continued to rise, with US oil prices briefly rising by over3%, up to107.55dollar/Bucket, due to morningAPIThe data shows that inventory has decreased, and the scale of crude oil reserves released by the United States in conjunction with multiple countries has disappointed the market, exacerbating concerns about insufficient supply and increasing long positions in crude oil. Market analysts said, 'Releasing oil reserves is worth paying attention to, but as we did last year,...'11As seen by Yue, this is not considered a way to change the rules of the game at all. The political risk premium of a crisis involving one of the world's largest oil producing countries is simply too high. ”Banks including Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase have raised their oil price forecasts, anticipating a possible supply disruption. consulting firmOilXThe possibility of disruptions in the supply of crude oil and refined oil products from Russia's offshore is increasing, which could push oil prices above a barrel level150The US dollar. Overall, there is no sign of easing geopolitical tensions, and the scale of crude oil reserves released by countries such as the United States has greatly disappointed the marketAPIThe data shows a decrease in inventory, intensifying concerns about supply and increasing long positions, further stimulating the rise in oil prices; eveningEIAIf the data further shows a decrease in inventory, oil prices are expected to soar in the short term110dollar/Bucket; Additionally, within the dayOPEC+Due to the impact of overlapping data in the meeting, oil prices may fluctuate significantly, and trading needs to be cautious.

　　原油从技术面来看，原油昨日强势大阳线放量上涨，日线连续十字KAfter accumulating momentum through line consolidation, the high level continued to rise again, and the bullish line broke the recent consolidationKLine deadlock. The daily bullish trend is full, and there will still be further inertia to see bulls hitting new highs in the short term. The news of the United States and major economies jointly releasing emergency oil reserves has not deterred investors' concerns about severe global supply disruptions. Instead, it has exacerbated concerns about energy shortages. The upward trend of crude oil volume is strong.4The hourly chart shows a wave of high levels, explosive volume, and consecutive gains, breaking through100.50After reaching a high point, an acceleration is formed, and the acceleration in the middle of the rise drives a new high. Combined with the daily closing. The almost bald and barefoot display shows that the short-term trend will continue to rise with inertia. And the early opening of the morning session also released a high point in advance. In the short term of the Asian session, there will be a retracement correction first, and the volatility base will increase. It is necessary to find a stable support point based on the form, and pay attention to the first support point102.50.Next is the resistance point that was previously broken through100.50转换成支撑。短线维持回调看多思路不变。综合来看，今日短线操作思路陈泽强建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注109.5-110Resistance, short-term focus below99.8-100Frontline support.


Wen/陈泽强，专业国际市场点评，针对实际市场参与者，考虑到部分市场窗口对于实盘交易具有一定的时效性可关注笔者，从而能够选择合适的策略进行操作。对黄金、原油、白银等大宗商品有深入的研究，如果你做单不顺或投资经常资金缩水，那么你可以关注陈泽强本人。