Xiao Yizhou;2.28How to operate when the bullish gold gradually rebounds? Real time trading of gold in the US market...

　　goldMessage analysis: Monday（2month28After the opening of the Asian market in Japan, there were severe fluctuations in the financial market. Due to Russian President Putin's order for nuclear deterrence to enter a special state of readiness, market risk aversion has sharply intensified, with the US dollar index and spot gold rising significantly, oil prices soaring, and the USfuturesThen there will be a significant decline. The US dollar index is rising75Point, currently located in97.30Nearby. Spot gold prices surged more than40US dollars, currently gold prices have broken through1930dollar/Ounces. Spot silver rose as high as once to24.76dollar/Ounces, current report24.64dollar/Ounces, increase1.53%. Overall, the gold price has been affected by the recent situation in Russia and Ukraine, with significant fluctuations and a slightly bullish overall trend. However, the operational difficulty has also increased. It is recommended that investors enter with caution. This week, we will mainly focus on Friday's announcement of the United States2The monthly non-agricultural report, at the same time, the situation between Russia and Ukraine will continue to stir up international financial markets.

The US economic report will be released next Thursday in the second half of this weekISMService industryPMI,Non farm employment data will be released on Friday. More importantly, the Federal Open Market Committee（FOMC）It would be interesting for Chairman Powell to testify before the Banking Committees of both houses of the US House of Representatives to see how he answers questions about the potential impact of the Russia Ukraine war on policy prospects. Powell is likely to reiterate that their primary task is to control inflation. If Powell implies3Monthly interest rate hike50There is a possibility of one basis point that spot gold may start to decline. On the other hand, the current market expectation is that,3Monthly interest rate increase50The possibility of a point is very small, and if Powell opposes a significant interest rate hike, the selling of the US dollar should be limited.

Technical analysis of gold: From a weekly perspective, gold has a long upward shadow and a small downward shadow, currently operating above the short-term line,5Zhou and10The weekly moving average runs upwards, and the medium-term line forms a golden cross,MACDRun up,KDJHigh position downward with signs of dead cross, indicating weakness in the bulls. Gold surged last week due to the safe haven impact of the Ukraine Russia situation, breaking through at one point1916-1920and1960Pressure, but on the same day of trading, he jumped back and fell close100The US dollar has stabilized and rebounded, falling into high volatility. Currently, looking at last week's closing line indicates the pressure above. At the same time, recent safe haven buying is difficult to sustain, and can only maintain high volatility at most. It is expected to be difficult to reach new highs because the most tense period of the situation between Ukraine and Russia may have passed, and it will gradually become normalized. At the same time, negotiations may occur at any time. Once negotiations begin, the safe haven situation will significantly decrease, It will be difficult to support gold to operate at such a high level at that time, and there is a high probability of a sharp drop. At the same time, the approaching interest rate hike will create resonance and accelerate the decline, so the weekly trend will still be dominated by high altitude.

From a daily perspective, gold has a bullish candlestick and a bearish candlestick, currently operating near and above the short-term candlestick,5Japan and Japan10The daily moving average is flat, while the medium-term line is moving upwards,MACDRun up,KDJMoving downwards, there is no clear direction for the indicators. Gold has been affected by the situation in Ukraine and Russia recently, with a sharp rise and fall. The safe haven market is like this, which seems to fluctuate greatly as if there is an opportunity, but the risk is greater. If the risk is not grasped well, it is easy to sell out. At present, the situation between Ukraine and Russia seems to be continuing, but the most serious period has passed and negotiations may begin at any time. Once negotiations begin, the risk aversion will significantly decrease, and a large number of bulls will further profit and run away, making the market prone to a sharp decline. Therefore, in the near future, when buying at a high level, it is necessary to pay attention to carrying stop losses. Of course, if there is no negotiation before, the market may still fluctuate within a high range, So in the short term, it is also possible to sell high and buy low within the range. The daily technical chart also shows that there is volatility near and above the short-term line, so a breakthrough in the near future is also possible1878-1950Before the interval, it is still possible to sell high and buy low, but this interval is too large, so it is difficult to grasp the point. Those who want to short can wait for a wave of intraday gains, even within the hourly line4If there is a blocking signal at the hourly level, then go short. Pay attention to it above1930And pressure, follow below1900-1890Support and stabilization can be much lower. In summary, Xiao Yizhou suggests that the trading strategy for gold today should mainly focus on a pullback to the low position, supplemented by a rebound to the high position, with a focus on the upper level1918-1926Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1892-1880Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（2month28During the Asian period, US crude oil rose by more than7%, up to98.15dollar/Barrel, currently falling back to96.12dollar/Barrel; Due to the continued escalation of Western sanctions against Russia, the US, UK, and Europe imposing sanctions on Russian President Putin himself, Putin ordered strategic nuclear forces to enter a high level of readiness, further escalating geopolitical tensions, and traders welcomed "Crazy Monday". Analysts say that the direction of geopolitical confrontation is "stagflation," referring to an environment of high inflation and low growth. Oil and other commodity prices have risen to multi-year highs last week, adding new impetus to inflation. He said that higher costs will "lower demand and expenditure levels, as rising prices will weaken purchasing power.". Despite months of poor performance in confidence data, consumer spending remains strong. A report earlier last Friday showed that,1Consumer spending adjusted for menstrual inflation hit a record high10The largest increase in months. Overall, there is uncertainty about whether the Iran nuclear talks will reach an agreement in the short term. The geopolitical tensions caused by Russia and Ukraine have further escalated over the weekend, and oil prices remain bullish; Investors will focus on the progress of Monday's geopolitical situation, and intraday trading fluctuations may be significant. Investors need to be cautious.

Technical analysis of crude oil: crude oil hit a high point last week, fell back and leveled off, and the weekly trend closed in a cross patternKLine, breaking new highs in recent times100.50.But the daily line failed to stand firm, leaving suspense in the short term. The weekly chart still needs to focus on breaking through the high and low points of this cross line this week to determine the continuation of long and short positions. The daily chart has been crossed for five consecutive trading daysKLine closing, although constantly reaching new highs, does not close high. Each time it is accompanied by a probing high and a closing low. Of course, the high rise is stimulated by the news. From a technical structure perspective, repeatedly hitting high and falling back at the closing cross is not conducive to short-term gains. Be careful not to hit high and fall back.

Crude oil4Exploring multiple times during the hour89.0-90.0The Belt and Road Initiative has achieved stability and recovery, providing an important support platform in the short term. This is also a short-term bullish turning point, determining the bullish and bearish turning points of this trend. At present, it is temporarily maintaining stability above the support point, with a bullish outlook in the short term. Of course, the news has greatly boosted it. The important thing is the direction of the news after it fades away. At present, there is a differentiation in the technical structure, with daily and weekly anti impact measures falling back high.4Maintain short-term hours at89.0The upper oscillating bulls remain unchanged. The short-term chart for the day is temporarily used as the basis, and the cyclical closing of the daily and weekly lines is slightly longer. Overall, in terms of crude oil trading strategy today, Xiao Yizhou suggests that the main focus should be on rebounding and short selling, supplemented by a pullback and long selling. The short-term focus should be on the upper part97.8-98.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below95.0-94.5Frontline support.

The investment market is vast and profound, and the market is constantly changing. When the market changes, the operational strategy will also change accordingly, especially in the recent situation. This suggestion is for reference only. Friends who want to keep up with the operation, please follow the guidance of Xiao Yizhou's actual situation! Analyzing strategies can only provide you with strategic advice. When encountering sudden market trends, you cannot provide real-time guidance on the market. If you cannot adapt to the ever-changing market alone, you can apply to join the real trading membership of Teacher Yizhou.

So whenever an opportunity arises, whether you are proactive or passive, perhaps only you know best. You resent the market for not giving you the opportunity, so no matter what you do, it will be of no use. All daily market analysis is publicly available, providing the clearest operational ideas and committed to solving investor trading difficulties. We will work even harder! Dedicated and responsible!

This article is an original submission by National Registered Analyst Xiao Yizhou, interpreting economic news, analyzing market sentiment changes, analyzing investment trends, and conveying valuable investment concepts. It provides in-depth and unique insights into major global financial markets such as gold and crude oil. The above content is a personal suggestion from Yizhou. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the content of the article is for reference only. There are risks in investment, so please do a good job in risk control.