Xiao Yizhou;2.28黄金原油晚间分析策略

Monday(2month28day)亚市盘中，因俄乌战火进一步升级，市场避险情绪升温，goldfutures维持大涨走势，日内大涨逾40美元。但已经较日内高点显著回落。目前交投在1908dollar/盎司附近，受市场避险情绪影响，现货黄金周一亚市大幅跳空高开，开盘位于1918dollar/盎司附近，最高一度触及1931.47dollar/盎司。总的来看，金价近期受到俄乌局势的影响，波动幅度较大，整体略微偏向多头，但操作上难度也有所加大，建议投资者谨慎入场。本周主要关注周五公布的美国2The monthly non-agricultural report, at the same time, the situation between Russia and Ukraine will continue to stir up international financial markets.

　　消息面关注重心落在两点：一是俄乌谈判情况，如果有谈判，那么市场避险情绪势必会有所降温，如果没有谈判，俄方也不会放弃攻占，最终达到俄方目的，且可能时间周期不会拖延，这样的状态也会逐步降低市场的避险情绪；二是如果有进一步的对俄制裁，以及西方伸手对乌支援，那么事件升级，市场避险情绪再起，黄金也就可能继续回升。总之未来消息面的变化对于市场避险情绪依旧是起主导作用的，这对于操作上无疑是会增加很大难度的，故近期操作上也务必优先考虑基本面情况，参考技术走势，再做出合理的策略规划。

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金技术面来看，上周因俄乌局势升级，市场避险情绪急剧升温，黄金大幅回升摸高至1974，但随后因美对俄制裁未达预期，黄金回吐消息面带来的避险涨幅空间，其中也有大量的前期多头在事件落实后进行获利抛售可能，下方低点回撤至1880附近，而周末期间，因俄被踢出SWIFT支付系统，引发市场避险情绪再度升温，导致今日黄金高开。日线结构上，上周四冲高回落带有极长上影线阴线，周五同样冲高回落收得阴线，在基本面已经爆发的状态下，黄金连续两日阴线状态，说明当前市场已经开始对既有的多头进行获利减筹，技术层面依然没有过多的 看涨预期，而后期行情能否进一步回升，完全还是要依托消息面的影响，重点依然是俄乌局势。

　　根据日线以及小时图结构，本周初黄金跳空高开，但在1930再度承压，所以目前主要压力依旧可锁定1930、1950，如果本周因消息面站上1950上方，则后期走势不确定性更大，需结合实际情况再做调整。周内下方则关注1900Integer level, 目前此位也是5日线附近，周内下方主要支撑依旧关注10Daily line1890以及上周四五低点1880附近测试。操作上，周初保守者选择观望，避开消息面带来的无法预判的风险。激进则尝试进行短线区间交易，但务必保持极轻仓状态，带好保护止损，以防消息面再带来意外走势风险。综上所述，今日黄金操作上建议短线建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注1925-1930Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1895-1890Frontline support. I will prompt you on the specific operation strategy in the disk and pay attention to it in a timely manner. The recent market turbulence has been significant, with opportunities and risks coexisting. Control risks and increase profits.vx：wyz3351

Reference for gold aftermarket operation strategy:

　　1.Gold rebound1925-1928Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1910-1900nearby

　　2.Gold Callback1890-1895Batch long nearby, stop loss5Points, target1910-1920nearby

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（2month28During the Asian period, US crude oil rose by more than7%, up to98.15dollar/Barrel, currently falling back to96.12dollar/Barrel; Due to the continued escalation of Western sanctions against Russia, the US, UK, and Europe imposing sanctions on Russian President Putin himself, Putin ordered strategic nuclear forces to enter a high level of readiness, further escalating geopolitical tensions, and traders welcomed "Crazy Monday". Analysts say that the direction of geopolitical confrontation is "stagflation," referring to an environment of high inflation and low growth. Oil and other commodity prices have risen to multi-year highs last week, adding new impetus to inflation. He said that higher costs will "lower demand and expenditure levels, as rising prices will weaken purchasing power.". Despite months of poor performance in confidence data, consumer spending remains strong. A report earlier last Friday showed that,1Consumer spending adjusted for menstrual inflation hit a record high10The largest increase in months. Overall, there is uncertainty about whether the Iran nuclear talks will reach an agreement in the short term. The geopolitical tensions caused by Russia and Ukraine have further escalated over the weekend, and oil prices remain bullish; Investors will focus on the progress of Monday's geopolitical situation, and intraday trading fluctuations may be significant. Investors need to be cautious.

Technical analysis of crude oil: crude oil hit a high point last week, fell back and leveled off, and the weekly trend closed in a cross patternKLine, breaking new highs in recent times100.50.But the daily line failed to stand firm, leaving suspense in the short term. The weekly chart still needs to focus on breaking through the high and low points of this cross line this week to determine the continuation of long and short positions. The daily chart has been crossed for five consecutive trading daysKLine closing, although constantly reaching new highs, does not close high. Each time it is accompanied by a probing high and a closing low. Of course, the high rise is stimulated by the news. From a technical structure perspective, repeatedly hitting high and falling back at the closing cross is not conducive to short-term gains. Be careful not to hit high and fall back.

Crude oil4Exploring multiple times during the hour89.0-90.0The Belt and Road Initiative has achieved stability and recovery, providing an important support platform in the short term. This is also a short-term bullish turning point, determining the bullish and bearish turning points of this trend. At present, it is temporarily maintaining stability above the support point, with a bullish outlook in the short term. Of course, the news has greatly boosted it. The important thing is the direction of the news after it fades away. At present, there is a differentiation in the technical structure, with daily and weekly anti impact measures falling back high.4Maintain short-term hours at89.0The upper oscillating bulls remain unchanged. The short-term chart for the day is temporarily used as the basis, and the cyclical closing of the daily and weekly lines is slightly longer. Overall, in terms of crude oil trading strategy today, Xiao Yizhou suggests that the main focus should be on rebounding and short selling, supplemented by a pullback and long selling. The short-term focus should be on the upper part97.8-98.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below94.4-93.9Frontline support

　　文章建议和思路仅能为你提供一个暂时的方向。