Liu Yuming:2.28黄金原油交易分析，晚间操作建议分析 摘...

Summarygold走势分析。黄金操作建议，黄金今日策略，crude oil走势分析。原油操作建议，原油今日策略

　　消息面关注重心落在两点：一是俄乌谈判情况，如果有谈判，那么市场避险情绪势必会有所降温，如果没有谈判，俄方也不会放弃攻占，最终达到俄方目的，且可能时间周期不会拖延，这样的状态也会逐步降低市场的避险情绪；二是如果有进一步的对俄制裁，以及西方伸手对乌支援，那么事件升级，市场避险情绪再起，黄金也就可能继续回升。总之未来消息面的变化对于市场避险情绪依旧是起主导作用的，这对于操作上无疑是会增加很大难度的，故近期操作上也务必优先考虑基本面情况，参考技术走势，再做出合理的策略规划。

　　2.28Analysis of gold market trend:

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金技术面来看，上周因俄乌局势升级，市场避险情绪急剧升温，黄金大幅回升摸高至1974，但随后因美对俄制裁未达预期，黄金回吐消息面带来的避险涨幅空间，其中也有大量的前期多头在事件落实后进行获利抛售可能，下方低点回撤至1880附近，而周末期间，因俄被踢出SWIFT支付系统，引发市场避险情绪再度升温，导致今日黄金高开。日线结构上，上周四冲高回落带有极长上影线阴线，周五同样冲高回落收得阴线，在基本面已经爆发的状态下，黄金连续两日阴线状态，说明当前市场已经开始对既有的多头进行获利减筹，技术层面依然没有过多的 看涨预期，而后期行情能否进一步回升，完全还是要依托消息面的影响，重点依然是俄乌局势。

　　根据日线以及小时图结构，本周初黄金跳空高开，但在1930再度承压，所以目前主要压力依旧可锁定1930、1950，如果本周因消息面站上1950上方，则后期走势不确定性更大，需结合实际情况再做调整。周内下方则关注1900Integer level, 目前此位也是5日线附近，周内下方主要支撑依旧关注10Daily line1890以及上周四五低点1880附近测试。操作上，周初保守者选择观望，避开消息面带来的无法预判的风险。激进则尝试进行短线区间交易，但务必保持极轻仓状态，带好保护止损，以防消息面再带来意外走势风险。综上所述，今日黄金操作上金晟富建议短线建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注1925-1930Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1895-1890Frontline support. I will prompt you on the specific operation strategy in the disk and pay attention to it in a timely manner. The recent market turbulence has been significant, with opportunities and risks coexisting. Control risks and increase profits.

　　2.28Reference for Golden Aftermarket Operation Strategy:

Empty order strategy:

Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1925-1928Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1910-1900Nearby, break down and take a look1890frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

Multiple order strategy:

Strategy 2: Gold Callback1890-1895Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1910-1920Nearby, break down and take a look1930frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;

Monday（2month28日）亚洲时段，美原油大幅上涨，一度逼近100美元大关，普京将核.Wei.慑力量置于高度警戒状态，核威慑警戒和银行支付限制加剧了人们对世界第二大产油国俄罗斯的石油供应可能中断的担忧。另外，OPEC+最新报告降低对2022年油市供应过剩的预测。根据上周日一份技术委员会报告中描述的基本情况，石油输出国组织和以俄罗斯为首的盟国(OPEC+)将其对2022年石油市场供应过剩的预测下调了大约2010000 barrels/Day, to11010000 barrels/日。联合技术委员会为OPEC+部长们准备的报告中还显示，到今年年底，发达国家的石油库存将比2015to2019年的平均水平低6200万桶。在之前的预测中，它曾预测到那时的库存将达到比同一平均水平高2000Ten thousand barrels.OPEC+的石油部长们将于3month2日举行会议，决定4月是否将产量增加4010000 barrels/日。总体来看，伊核谈判短期是否达成协议存不确定性，俄乌引发的地缘政治紧张局势有可能进一步升级，油价维持看多基调；投资者将聚焦周一地缘局势进展，日内交易波动或较大，需谨慎。

　　原油从技术面来看，原油上周探高回落收平，周线收成十字KLine, breaking new highs in recent times100.50.But the daily line failed to stand firm, leaving suspense in the short term. The weekly chart still needs to focus on breaking through the high and low points of this cross line this week to determine the continuation of long and short positions. The daily chart has been crossed for five consecutive trading daysKLine closing, although constantly reaching new highs, does not close high. Each time it is accompanied by a probing high and a closing low. Of course, the high rise is stimulated by the news. From a technical structure perspective, repeatedly hitting high and falling back at the closing cross is not conducive to short-term gains. Be careful not to hit high and fall back. 4Exploring multiple times during the hour89.0-90.0The Belt and Road Initiative has achieved stability and recovery, providing an important support platform in the short term. This is also a short-term bullish turning point, determining the bullish and bearish turning points of this trend. At present, it is temporarily maintaining stability above the support point, with a bullish outlook in the short term. Of course, the news has greatly boosted it. The important thing is the direction of the news after it fades away. At present, there is a differentiation in the technical structure, with daily and weekly anti impact measures falling back high.4Maintain short-term hours at89.0上方震荡多头不改。日内短线暂时以短线图为准，日线和周线的周期性收盘略长。综合来看，今日短线操作思路刘煜铭建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注98.5-99.0Resistance, short-term focus below93.5-93.0Frontline support