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Liu Yuming:2.22Analysis of Gold Today's Trend

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 俄罗斯总统普京:我签署了关于承认“卢甘斯克人民共和国”和“顿涅茨克人民共和国”的法令,霸气牛B,目前市场焦点仍然是乌克兰局势的变化,其实这些都不重要了,重要是俄想稳,老美想乱,本质上,就是白宫配合美联储加息。美联储加息预期越是威猛,白宫炒作乌克兰危机越是疯狂。用大规模的资金回流直接对冲美联储加息缩表后的市场流动性缺口,从而实现全局性的稳定,如今的欧洲既想要继续享受身为当下,当内皿煮的既得利益者的好处,又不想长期被美国人榨干,所以,产业升级也就成了其忽左忽右的关键一步,这点老美看的很明白,吃惯福利的美国人会接受?搞乱我们太难,可搞乱欧洲太容易!更何况,脱欧后的英国经济压力巨大,也想通过搞乱欧洲来把欧洲的资源导流进英国帮忙救市,所以现在是一石二鸟,当年的欧元正牛B一场战争给打蔫了,所以现在俄不想打老美再加上英给你创造机会,只要持续制造乌克兰危机,10年美债收益率就会因为避险情绪被压低,正好对冲美联储要加息的风险。这不,周五拜登眼见俄罗斯撤兵不打了,直接急了,马上自己跳大绳说俄罗斯几天内就要进攻了。然后,就是10年美债收益率快速下行,因此,乌克兰危机美国绝对不会轻易放过,必须反复炒作,来实现自己抽干其它地区储蓄的重大经济战略目标。所以眼下最关键的还是乌,市场避险仍将继续,一旦乌自醒和俄缓和,二是俄美的谈判,市场降温金价可想而知,而老美的一切为了三月份的加息作准备。



  技术面上:尾盘在快收盘前价格猛拉到1905一线,早盘踏空高空拉升到1914一线,从整个运行来看,节奏上符合我们的预期,趋势还是多,但是价格目前强压力在1920一线,在破20之前追多随时遇雷自爆,就是破了20上方空间也有限,上周五和昨天套路一样,早盘冲高回落,欧盘择机买入,晚间震荡凌晨拉升,对应今天的局面也一样,看多不追多,亚盘待拉高空,这种节奏有点回归到2020年了,凌晨拉高早盘冲高回落,节奏就是一试二冲三上行,三不上行四暴跌,对于多放到欧美盘介入。



In terms of operation:1920-21之间空单进场,意外给1827-28.5加空,统一防守1834,激进在1914-17这里轻仓分批布局,当然再激进哪就损高直接干,这就是仓位的控制了,目标不设,下边短线支撑04-00,再往下方支撑92-87Break the position to see78一线,今天如果多只在1878一线参与这里比较保守,防守四块都够了,其它点位待定。具体操作到位根据盘面变化临行提示。



Analysis of silver trend:



Current pressure24.8After a continuous decline, stabilization, and rebound in the region, the current rebound is still relatively strong, but24.8上压力明显,不能突破随时调整,有一点后期白银工业需求限制下跌空间,当gold企稳时候,还是率先做多白银,目前关税调整,我们也是顺势反弹参与做空即可,如果继续反弹那24Nearby, there can be empty layouts waiting for adjustments, as for silverTDJust follow the trend of spot buying and selling, of course, the pressure is concentrated now5080If encountering a direct short entry game and adjusting again, try not to participate in other positions as much as possible, and now switch between top and bottom4950reach5000Regional pressure continues to short5080Loss is sufficient. Directly encountering4600Multiple regional batches, available in stock22Try a shorter layout nearby.



  以上文章由刘煜铭团队撰写



Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.


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