ATFXEarly review0830：鲍威尔承诺年内缩减购债，但并未透露具体月份

1Central bank information from various countries:
Federal Reserve        在刚刚结束的杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上，央行行长们围绕“不平衡经济中的宏观经济政策”的主题展开研讨。美联储主席鲍威尔表示年内缩减资产负债表，但加息不会在近期考虑。
European Central Bank        欧央行行长拉加德：欧洲央行专注于前瞻指引和经济评估，中期通胀前景远低于欧洲央行的目标，要想加息，通胀率不能低于2%.
OPEC        本周三将会举行第20届欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议。



EURUSD

chart1，EURUSD  H4level
Last Friday, at the Jackson Hole Central Bank's annual meeting, Powell confirmed that he would start reducing bond purchases within the year, but did not disclose the specific month. fromEURUSD的表现来看，市场将该消息解读为鸽派。不过，从金融学的角度看，缩窄对美元指数利多，对EURUSD利空。这其间或存在市场资金的误判。
MA5-MA10处于零轴之上，且柱线不断放大，最新值接近0.001，后市看上涨；
结构上看，EURUSD触及中长期支撑位1.1663之后开启反弹，叠加消息面利多影响，反弹幅度超预期。图中短期上涨趋势线依旧有效，后市看反弹延续。
Comprehensive view: Continuing rebound, recent support level1.1741


XAUUSD

chart2，XAUUSD  H4level
U.S.ACPIStill at a high level, sentiment of avoiding inflation risks has boostedgold；
The news that the Federal Reserve has reduced its monthly bond purchases during the year has created a bearish outlook for gold, but the buying sentiment in the market remains strong;
Short term technical aspects:
MA5-MA10Above zero axis, latest value5.9，柱线不断放大，后市看强多头；
Structurally, last Friday saw a single day increase30The highest point of the rebound in the US dollar is close to the early resistance intensive zone, and the upward selling pressure will become increasingly heavy, with the possibility of being hindered and falling back.
Comprehensive perspective: cautious and supportive below1779


USOIL

chart3，USOIL 2021year10Monthly contract  H4cycle
中国大庆地区发现超12亿吨页岩油储量，对国际油价形成小幅利空；
德尔塔病毒在北美蔓延，对crude oil需求形成利空影响；
有消息称，美国原油总产量已经创出2020year3月以来新高，这对油价形成实质性利空。
Technical aspect:
MA5-MA10Latest value0.222，柱线不断缩小，后市看弱多头；
结构上看，多头趋势明显，但已经出现顶部特征，多头力量不断衰竭，预计将开启中小幅度回调。
Comprehensive perspective: There is pressure for a pullback


NAS100

chart4，NAS100  H4level
美联储计划年内缩减每月购债，对纳指形成利空压制；但由于上市公司中报业绩相对较好，且市场做多的惯性存在，加息预期对纳指的利空作用受到削弱；中国对互联网概念股的政策打压，对纳斯达克指数的影响较小。
Short term technical aspects:
MA5-MA10穿越零轴，空转多，最新值25.4，后市看上涨。
Structurally, the Nasdaq has a good long-term bullish trend, with all previous pullbacks being buying opportunities and maintaining a bullish outlook in the future
Comprehensive perspective: Rising

Disclaimer:
1The above analysis only represents the analyst's viewpoint.
2、ATFXWe will not be responsible for any profit or loss that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on this information.