5.14黄金触底反弹是诱多还是行情修复？最新行情解读及操...

　　多空的快速转换，总是让人措手不及，方向的转换往往只在那一瞬之间，多少人冒着风险成为了市场的炮灰。每一笔交易都是心中多空抗衡后的结果，入场前对于市场而言，多空似乎都有理有据，只是每个人看待问题的角度不同而已，而决定自己入场方向的理由需要首先说服自己，同时入场前首要考虑的应该是自己能够承受的风险而非利润，关键点位一旦失守需要果断离场斩断亏损的魄力！能接受亏损才能享受利润！这条路上心态很重要，失败并不可怕，可怕的是你不愿意总结，如果你始终是一成不变，那你才是真正的失败！不管你现在处于什么样的状态，陈鼎昭希望这些文字能给你带来一些帮助！如果你在投资路上遇到了困扰；找不到方向；长期处在亏损中，或许可以和鼎昭谈谈。能不能合作暂且不谈，能够解开你的心结，这才是最重要的。因为专业，所以领先、没有尔虞我诈，只有一颗真诚的心；只有稳定的盈利；不做马后炮，让每一个盈利都真切并真实的让你感受并为之受益。（联系方式文末添加）

　　goldMessage surface:

Thursday（5month13日），金价在美国早盘下跌，因为在亚洲和欧洲市场继续遭到抛售，但成功守住了1800美元水平的支撑，随着通胀压力开始上升，黄金市场正艰难寻找上行动力。美市盘中，现货黄金延续反弹势头，刷新日高至1827.06dollar/盎司，较日低高出逾18美元，日内涨幅扩大至0.6%。

　　昨天公布的4Monthly Producer Price Index(ppi)relatively3Monthly increase0.6%，是此前预期的0.3%Twice.4monthCPI同比上涨超过6%。然而，这一乐观的数据并没有给美元多头留下什么印象，也没有为包括黄金在内的以美元计价的大宗商品提供任何有意义的推动力。美元艰难地维持盘中涨幅，但在美国国债收益率走低的背景下，在更高的水平上出现了一些抛售，美元多头不敢大举押注。这又被视为支撑黄金的关键因素。

　　但在PPI报告发布之前，周三发布了备受关注的消费者价格指数。越来越多的证据表明，美国经济甚至全球其他主要经济体将不得不在未来某个时候对抗不必要的通胀压力，引发了人们对美联储比预期更早实施紧缩政策的猜测。这被视为一个关键因素，阻止了黄金的任何有意义的上行。因此，谨慎的做法是等待金价出现一些强劲的后续买盘。美国4月消费者物价急升后美债收益率大涨，带动美元走高，这给黄金走势带来严重压力。分析称，金价昨日受到实际收益率飙升和美元升值的冲击。不过，通胀上升和货币政策依然宽松的环境对黄金来说是个好消息，在美联储真正退出量化宽松之前，金价可能会继续上扬。

　　当我们回顾黄金昨日的走势，基本上就一句话，跌多少张多少。原本非常流畅的跌势，最后生生来了个V型反转。昨日进价早盘自1822遇阻下跌，盘中一度跌至1808，跌幅空间高达15美金。然而美盘盘中，受到消息面的刺激，金价强势反弹突破1822，上演V型反转，最高报1828。

　　导致金价跌势被打断的原因，笔者认为是因为美联储理事沃勒认为，至少有6个因素会暂时推高通胀，但不会持续。如果每个月都看到4%的通货膨胀率，会非常担心。在通胀长期高于目标之前，美联储不会加息。市场处于对美国通货膨胀的担忧，避险情绪升温，金价应声而涨。同时耶路撒冷两国互相扔飞弹，中东地缘政治局势紧张，也是金价强势的原因。

　　从盘面上看，金价日K线阳线收官，4hourK线在均线MA60之上止跌，强势反弹，盘中突破早盘高点1822，看涨吞没形态，做多信号。然而今天对于交易者而言，困难的是，上方阻力同样存在，1832-35一线阻力一样强劲。所以，今日点位节奏一旦没有卡准，很容易左右甩耳光。

　　对于笔者而言，我会选择回落1820现行敢对，强势的行情，即便上方有阻力，惯性之下也必然有一段上涨。上方金价若不破1835，笔者会考虑反手空。所以，今天的行情节奏点位非常重要。

　　具体交易策略：回落1820上先行干多，止损1812, look at the goal1832-35.

Trading is like warfare, where both offense and defense are necessary. Defense is based on retreat, while offense is based on advance. When risk outweighs profit, a perfect retreat is far more significant than a partial victory. The highest level of trading is short positions. Only short positions can calm down, only meditation can observe battles, and only observation can serve as a referee, thus distinguishing between strong and weak trends. As long as one stands in line with the strong and weak teams, profit is just a passing act. Therefore, the first thing a trader needs to learn is to spend most of their time observing, rather than participating. They don't need to participate every time, they only want to turn the tide of trading once. There is no one in this world who lives easier than anyone else, but the strong. Even if they fall, they must smile, never cry out for pain when they fall, or turn on the light when they are afraid of the dark. The strong are not born, they have only experienced more setbacks.

Wen/Chen Dingzhao (Guiding Weixin:cdz885）

This article is exclusively planned by Chen Dingzhao. Please indicate the source for reprinting! Due to the delay in online audit push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestion is for reference only. It does not constitute a specific operation, and based on this operation, one is responsible for their own profits and losses. Investment is risky, and entering the market requires caution.

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