5.12U.S.ACPI数据即将来袭，恐引发大行情，黄金原油多空策略

Wednesday(5month12day)亚市盘中，美元指数继续反弹，目前接近90.40； goods in stockgold短线大幅下跌，金价逼近1825dollar/盎司。金价周二剧烈波动，盘中最低触及1817.93dollar/盎司。随着美元指数回落并一度跌破90关口，金价强势反弹。现货黄金周二收报1837.10dollar/Ounces, up1.49USD or0.08%。周三亚市盘中美元持续走高，最高触及90.37，刷新日内高点。与此同时，金价短线持续走低，最低触及1825.87dollar/盎司。（联系方式文末添加）

In terms of fundamentals, the first focus is on the virtual currency bill passed by Texas in the United States. In the short term, it may seem unfavorable for gold prices, but in the long run, virtual currencies that are not under government regulatory systems will cause financial market disruption, increase the risk of collapse, and be beneficial for safe haven assets and gold. In addition, several senior Federal Reserve officials have released cutsQEA low probability signal indicates that the overheating of the US economy has become a problem, the risk of inflation is increasing, and gold hedging will also rise again.

　　香港时间周三20:30The United States will announce4Monthly consumer price index(CPI)数据，预计将对美元短期走势产生影响。权威媒体调查显示，美国4Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIAnnual expected growth3.6%This will be2011year9The largest increase since the month, previously3monthCPIAnnual growth rate2.6%。假如美国通胀数据较预期更加强劲，金价有望反弹。在政府大力刺激经济之际，黄金被认为是一种对冲潜在通胀的工具。分析师指出，周三美国公布CPI之前，1850dollar/盎司水平将暂时限制金价上涨空间。美国经济增长前景改善、基建计划和疫情相关刺激措施推升通胀预期，被视为对冲通胀工具的黄金重新受到关注，市场焦点仍是本周三美国CPI。除了经济数据之外，本周美联储官员将密集讲话，预计其言论也将影响金融市场走势。

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　　5.12Analysis of gold market trend:

　　黄金技术面分析：昨天金价日内最高到达我们预期1842一线后开启调整，最低杀到1817一线后再次拉高，价格到1832.5一线后走了一波在26上走高到38一线，基本符合预期。黄金从当前盘面来看，日图探底回升，单K再次收出十字，形态上形成了挫挫线，从这一点可以看出阶段性顶部已经不远，价格在下跌反弹拉高现在从结构上来看还差一次加速诱多形为，不管后市能不能去1870and1900这都是后话，市场没有只涨不跌的行情，也没有只跌不涨的行情，连续两天冲高回落说明多头已经开始在盘中获利逐步了结，技术面上均线系统还是多头排列，但是K线已经出现走弱信号，其二价格连续两天冲高加速线上方均失败收回，日内预期还有一跌，至于是冲高回落还是探底回升，从正常的结构来看最终演化应该还是探底回升，也就是说日内拉高向下后再次收回，从时间来看最终多空终极一战在周四五。

　　黄金从四小时图表来看，价格连续两天在通道上沿受阻回落，昨天靠近下线收复，暂时还没有跑同出这个区间，短期运行于加速线一线，小时图在昨天下破下线后快速收复，短期再次进入横向整理中，辅助指标MACD金叉向上，但价格处于中间位，早盘多看少动等亚盘拉高入场，所以日内坚持以守为攻，不宜追涨杀跌。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上陈鼎昭建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1842-1845Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1818-1813一线支撑。行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局单线陈鼎昭 cdz885Get it for free!

　　5.12Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:

Empty order strategy:

Gold rebound1841-1843Short nearby, stop loss5Points, target1830-1825Nearby, break down and take a look1820frontline;

Multiple order strategy:

Gold Callback1818-1820Long nearby, stop loss5Points, target1830-1835Nearby, break down and take a look1840frontline;

　　5.12crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　原油消息面解析：北京时间周三（5month12日）凌晨，美国石油协会（API）公布的数据显示，美国截至5month7Day and WeekAPIReduction in crude oil inventory253.3Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease225Ten thousand barrels; Increase in gasoline inventory564Ten thousand barrels; Reduced inventory of refined oil87.2Ten thousand barrels; After the data was released, the US oil company quickly fell in the short term and then rebounded in a volatile manner, closing the report65.45dollar/Barrel, increase0.82%。API汽油库存大幅增加，增幅为2020year4月最大，WTIcrude oilfutures在数据公布后下跌。本周的库存数据不会反映管道公司因网络攻击所受的影响。美国石油协会（API）公布数据显示，上周美国原油库存降幅超预期，汽油库存意外大增，精炼油库存降幅不及预期。

　　技术面来看，原油周二探底回升小幅收涨，最低点63.6, highest65.5, ultimately closing at65.4Nearby, the daily line takes in the shadow of Xiaoyang. On the market, based on the daily chart, after the oil price recorded four consecutive negative periods, the daily chart recorded a shadow of a small positive, with initial support below61.8%Retreat position63.8On the front line, this is also a divide between long and short periods. After overnight testing, the rapid rebound indicates that the support here is still effective, butKDJDead fork,MACDThe red column is shrinking and there is a possibility of forming a dead fork. Short term bears are temporarily strong, but the upward trend line is still stable, and the overall trend of the daily line is relatively strong.

　　4During the hour, crude oil briefly remained in the lower orbitMA20After hovering around the daily moving average, it rebounded and is currently operating above the middle track of the Bollinger band. The current Bollinger band is about to open,MAThe moving average has crossed its dead end,KDJThree lines of random indicators converge downwards,MACDThe green kinetic energy column of the indicator continues to increase, and the fast and slow lines have a dead fork downward,4小时周期短线走势偏弱。综合来看，今日原油操作上陈鼎昭建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注65.8-66.0Resistance, pay attention below64.0-63.8支撑。目前仓位上有单的朋友，由于笔者不知道你套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解-Set strategy, need to solve-套的可单线陈鼎昭【cdz885】

　　5.12Reference for crude oil operation strategy:

Empty order strategy:

　　原油早盘上方65.8-66.0Short nearby, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target64.5-64.0Nearby; Dislocation63.8Near.

Multi order strategy:

Below the crude oil correction63.8-64.0Long nearby, stop loss0.5USD, target64.5-65.0Nearby; Dislocation65.5Near.

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Wen/Chen Dingzhao (Guiding Weixin:cdz885）

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