Xiao Qiansheng:5.10黄金白银早盘分析操作策略

I don't have fancy language here, only tangible trading and clear operations. The market has only one direction, not long or short, but the right direction. Reasonable risk control+Good investment returns allow every individual investor to find the true joy of investing, rather than constantly increasing losses due to their daily hard trading. I have always believed that choice is more important than effort. A good mentor and technical team should not only bring profits to customers, but also be responsible to them. Individual investors, relying solely on their own efforts to face the market, are prone to being caught off guard when faced with a sharp rise or fall. However, if someone can see the situation clearly outside the circle and provide direction, they can do even better!

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Gold trend analysis:

　　黄金：上周金价探底回升，盘中最低1766Up to1843, closing with a large positive line1831，，周五非农爆出大冷门，美国就业人数只有26万人，触发金价进一步拉高到1843一线回落到1825.6，符合我们预期。

　　从趋势的角度来看，周图大阳收盘，从力度来还有上冲空间，但是从趋势的定义来看价格仍昨然运行于2075下跌以来的下降趋势线下方，本周是对这根趋势线的确认，破位进一步上扬，不天破开启冲高回落复制左侧行情，而目前的现实是多头仍然强势，周图的大阳直接限制了本周调整的幅度，但是辅标指标KDJ已经出现高位超买，所以一旦靠近下降趋势线一线后多头要谨慎。

　　从日图来看上周四的大阳对多头进一步垫定了信心，震荡二周终于打破了这个平衡，单K大阳，均线系统向上排列，辅助指标MACD二次开口向上，四维图表日图强势破上线，但收盘于加速目线下方，从趋势来看多头没发生明显的转变，但是短期已经进入上涨尾声阶段，盲目追多已经不所合适，二是从波幅来看1677上涨以来幅度也接近了140块，所以调整从时间上来推就在这本周，如果是时间来算就在今明两天，但是这毕竟是推演，而市场确实是多头，也就是操作上看多不追多而已，回落仍然继续多，但是进入1840以上不再建议追多。

　　从四小时图表来看，价格周五与我们预期的一样最高上冲到通道上沿，这也是我们两次在1741-41.8做空的原因，而当下来看，虽然到顶线，但是还是没有明显的反转下跌信号，只是第一次到达正常回落，下方重点是1722ofH2位子和加速线1717一线，而上方日内关注1748-60-65Frontline suppression.

　　综上所述得出结论如下：周图大阳进一步看涨限制了下跌空间，日图进入加速冲顶阶段，注意反转信号，四小时第一次冲通道上沿下跌18块，哪二次三次呢，所以进入冲顶阶段看多不追多，短线价格运行于日图上规上方，与小时图加速线和39分钟底线形成共振，所以亚盘仍需先多，重点盯重着1828一线，破底25出局，二是时间是先上去还是先下，假设冲高回落下方就要重点关注位放到1822-17First line, focus on the top48-60-65Suppression.

In terms of operation:1.Fallback1722-17Many, broken15出局（保守）激进1728多破25出局，上方关注48-60-65.

　　2.价格以1825-28拉升第一次见60-65尝试波段空，而早盘直接拉高到1848-52压制空单直接进场，激进周五的次高点1841一线破高出局布局，具体到位实时提示为准。

　　　白银前期两次上攻30关口都迎来大幅回撤，最低触及23.8低位。月线收官也是连阴下行，上方有形成M顶迹象，只不过短期处于周线布林三轨28-23区间运行。现在白银跟随黄金出现了猛烈拉升，直接就突破了27关口，多头涨势汹汹。此波上涨由25.7位置起涨，根据蝴蝶AB＝CD的论证，那么C点回调26位置符合ABadjustment61.8%需求，最好D也符合BC调整位的1.27%，故此可以预判27.4已经达到此波涨势的尾声，后市有望回调。根据波浪理论而言，25.7Up to27为一浪，27fall to26为二浪，那么现在26to27.4已经三浪形成，后续的就是回调四浪了，彼此印证。

　　目前白银触及23.8低位后跟随黄金迎来强势反弹至27.5高位，MA5-MA10短期均线保持金叉粘合运行26.8Location,MACD红柱能放量，大阳拉升从而打开布林上轨空间，现在布林中上轨开始向上运行，形态上代表多头强势。不过灵动指标STO处于超买区，并且没有跟随价格出现新高，当前而是顶背离状态，需谨慎！四小时量化指标也处于超买区，技术面有回调的需求，所以27.4-27.5Direct empty, stop loss27.8即可，下看26.8-26.5Near.

Pressure:27.6——28.3     Support:26.6——26

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