Tang Jinzhao:5.4黄金强势上涨何时下跌!黄金原油行情解析独家...

Article Summary:5.4goldGold and SilverT+D、crude oiltechnical analysis.5.4How to stir fry gold for beginnersTDCrude oil?5.4goldTDWhat to do with losses on crude oil investment?5.4Analysis of the Trend of Gold and Crude Oil.Recommendations for Operation of Gold Crude Oil.5.4goldTDCrude Oil Strategy.Investing in international gold, crude oil, and silverTDHow to analyze the market situation?5.4How to recover losses from investing in spot gold?5.4goldTDsilverTDHow to operate the short line?5.4What are the current gold resistance and support levels?5.4Novice investing in gold and silverTDHow should I make the order?? silverTDWill it still fall?5.4What recent news will affect gold and silverTDTrend?5.4What is the impact of the rise and fall of the US dollar on gold?

　　任何市场的交易风险第一位，利润才是第二，如果不能做好风控，一切都是枉然！这个市场永远不缺盲目胆大的。投资做的是技术和胜率，不是靠运气！一次或者十次你都能正确，然而在一次的失误中就能损失殆尽，甚至本金都血本无归。这是为什么？因为投资是细水长流，你用堵的心里做交易，没有做风控保护，恶习没有纠正和改变，看到行情不能自控。赚取财富容易，守财确难！知识+experience+风控才会等于“财富”。在投资方面有操作上面的问题可以添加来笔者交流，态度决定一切，细节决定成败。文章只能给出一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点时机，请关注唐金召指导QQ：45643168(WeChat account number) will be provided in real-time.

　　===Analysis of Gold Market Trend===

Monday（5month3日）黄金行情开盘回撤1766后震荡反弹走高，反弹行情越过1770一带之后，整体的连阳试探特性开始凸显，午间行情突破1775一带之后，小幅回踩1772确定支撑后直接拉盘冲击1781，波段略显强势。欧美盘中再次确定1777一带的支撑后再次形成上涨，截止写稿现在金价冲破了1790关口的阻力并有向1798上方阻力冲击的态势。

　　日线图上看，MA5andMA10均线死叉但方向混乱，MACD双线向上但0轴上方动能柱却变化不大，KDJ向上粘合，RSI指标处于超买区域，指标看金价偏上涨但需警惕冲高受阻的回落风险。1-4小时级别看，短期均线EMA5andEMA10The golden fork runs upwards,MACDDouble line upward, continuous release of kinetic energy column,KDJRun up,RSI指标处于严重超买，指标看涨。黄金自周一早间确定底部之后开启震荡上涨，目前已经连续破位前期几道阻力来到1800关口附近，但根据技术指标显示金价不能过度的去看涨需提防回调下跌。

　　金价周一上涨破位1798关口之后需警惕上方出现受阻回落，那么在接下来的行情走势当中上方先关注前高1798区域的阻力，其次是1800Gateway and1802；下方先关注1788-1790关口支撑，操作上看多不追多，需等待回落企稳之后才能进场多，综合来看，金价短线仍存在进一步走高的趋势，所以黄金今日操作思路上唐金召建议仍以回调低多为主，逢高做空为辅，上方短期关注1798-1800Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1785-1788Frontline support.

　　===Analysis of crude oil market trend===

　　油价一直是今年大多数投资者的兴趣之一，不仅是为了获得投资机会，而且还是追踪经济复苏的基准。目前距离疫情爆发已经超过一年，自2020年第二季度以来，市场的关注点一直放在经济复苏上，试图预测病毒何时会终止传播，以及全球经济能否复苏。新的变异病毒给复苏前景带来了不确定性，而疫苗的接种则推动着市场的乐观情绪。除了疫情与经济复苏之外，美国石油产量不断攀升、伊核协议谈判进展以及OPEC+的长期矛盾将是今年下半年最有可能对油价产生影响的因素。

Monday（5month3日）日线级别油价三连涨，MACD及布林带中轨仍呈现上升趋势，不过KDJ显示一定的超买风险，短线可能迎来回调行情。多头周四升至76.4%Retreat position65.45附近承压回落，多头并没能将价格稳定在65上方，这给空方留了可乘之机。日内行情恰好在3month18Daily high64.88附近遇阻下行，日内可能回踩61.8%Retreat position63.88，多头有望在这一水平附近获得支撑。若油价加速跌破这一线，可能形成看跌吞没形态，如此对多头十分不利。不过鉴于多头目前仍然占据上风，日内触底反弹的机会更大，投资者可以关注下跌后低位的进场机会。整体来看，原油在周初的回踩确认底部之后，基本收复了上周的跌幅，目前呈双底上破走势。所以综合分析操作上唐金召建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注65-65.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below62.5-62Frontline support.

For beginners entering the investment market, in addition to learning basic market knowledge and mastering basic methods of analysis and operation, Jin Zhao believes that shaping a successful trading psychology is of greater significance.The ancients said: Kung Fu is beyond poetry. In fact, psychological factors are often the key to becoming a winning general in the investment market. The psychology of successful trading includes the following aspects.

　　1Victory is not arrogant, defeat is not discouraged, and investing is a long-term process. In this process, victory and failure always coexist and coexist. There are many opportunities in the investment market,Especially in the market, we can experience multiple successes and failures every day. Maintaining a calm mindset during continuous success and failure is a crucial aspect of a successful trading mindset, as winning without pride and failing without discouragement.

Easier said than done. Jin Zhao summarized that many investors who first make money but later lose money often lose their composure. Investors who achieve long-term stable profits often develop a sense of normalcy. Especially when facing failure, a calm mind becomes even more important. Maintaining a calm mind is a huge challenge. Investment is a long-term process, and maintaining a calm mindset in a short period of time is far from enough. The important thing is persistence.

　　2Not afraid of mistakes, but afraid of procrastination. It is crucial to admit mistakes in a timely manner. The self-esteem of ordinary people does not allow them to admit mistakes. Wrong, it's the instinctive reaction of most beginners to persist to the end. For an experienced trader with a successful trading mindset, admitting mistakes is as natural as breathing. Jesse. Livormer said:"If a person doesn't make mistakes, they can have the whole world in a month."The person who owns the entire world has not yet appeared, so there is no one who does not make mistakes. In the spot market, only those who dare to admit their mistakes and admit them in a timely manner can have the last laugh.

Someone once made a statistic that among the majority of people who lose money, the actual number of times they make money is greater than the number of times they lose money. However, because making money often involves making small amounts of money, losing money often involves losing large amounts of money. One loss offsets many profitable transactions, which means that the final loss is often caused by one or two large losses, which is the main reason for most people's losses.

The main reason for major losses is that after being caught, one does not admit their mistakes in a timely manner, carries them on to the end, and even continuously increases and spreads them out, ultimately resulting in losses that are beyond repair. Therefore, not afraid of mistakes, but afraid of procrastination. Delaying and admitting mistakes is the root cause of losses, and timely admitting mistakes can help oneself get rid of passivity. This is another important aspect of successful trading psychology. The loss order should not stay overnight, and some people use this principle to**Admit your mistakes promptly.

　　3Not only dare to lose, but also dare to win, only by balancing profits and losses can one make money. Investing in the spot market reduces the stock marketfuturesThe disadvantages of insider trading and false information in the market make the trading environment more in line with the principles of fairness, impartiality, and openness. Profit and loss depend more on the operational level of investors, making it the most suitable place for individual investors to profit.

But even in the investment market, the phenomenon of losing money is not uncommon compared to the stock or futures markets. The reason for this is still due to the poor operational level of investors. Statistics show that most investors who suffer losses dare not win, winning small or losing large amounts of money. Ultimately, after the profits and losses are balanced, they suffer losses. Successful investors, on the other hand, lose small amounts of money and win large amounts of money, ultimately resulting in profits after offsetting their losses.

This is a psychological issue with trading. Successful investors need to be both willing to lose and willing to win. They should not be afraid to operate due to losses, nor should they make small profits and fall into the trap. Only in this way can they have a successful trading mentality. In fact, trading is very simple, but the complexity lies in human nature. When an investor has developed a successful trading mentality after long-term practice, making money in investment trading becomes an easy journey.

This article is written by Tang Jinzhao【QQ：45643168（微信同号）】原创供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究。由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，建议仅供参考，据此操作风险自负！