Tang Jinzhao:4.29黄金一路飙升暗藏玄机？黄金原油操作策略分析

Article Summary:4.29goldGold and SilverT+D、crude oiltechnical analysis.4.29How to stir fry gold for beginnersTDCrude oil?4.29goldTDWhat to do with losses on crude oil investment?4.29Analysis of the Trend of Gold and Crude Oil.Recommendations for Operation of Gold Crude Oil.4.29goldTDCrude Oil Strategy.Investing in international gold, crude oil, and silverTDHow to analyze the market situation?4.29How to recover losses from investing in spot gold?4.29goldTDsilverTDHow to operate the short line?4.29What are the current gold resistance and support levels?4.29Novice investing in gold and silverTDHow should I make the order?? silverTDWill it still fall?4.29What recent news will affect gold and silverTDTrend?4.29What is the impact of the rise and fall of the US dollar on gold?

　　在黄金、原油这个市场博弈，讲究的是一个学习参与的过程和后期长期稳健获利的结果。一旦产生亏损，要及时总结原因出现在哪里，要让亏损的资金产生它的价值。我想，你每做一笔交易，有理有据的进场，且严格遵守这个市场的规则，在一个正确的引导之下，实现长期稳健获利的目标是很容易实现的。精准的走势分析，专业的团队技术分析，负责的指导老师，全程行情实时追踪，盈利离你还会远吗！机会总是留给有准备的人，但同样也留给会选择的人真实的实力给你展示，切实的利润让你开心！如果你在投资路上遇到了困扰，找不到方向长期处在亏损中，不妨可以和金召聊聊，成功不是靠运气，选择大于努力！愿你认识我始于文字，合于性格,陷于技术，久于善良，终于人品。在投资方面有操作上面的问题可以添加来笔者交流，态度决定一切，细节决定成败。文章只能给出一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点时机，请关注唐金召指导微信：（TJZ0168）Will be provided in real-time.

　　===Analysis of Gold Market Trend===

　　【黄金消息面】：北京时间周四(4month29day)2:00，美联储料将在为期两天的政策会议结束后，宣布维持现行货币政策不变。美联储主席鲍威尔将在半小时后举行记者会，可能帮助市场了解美联储对实现充分就业前景和通胀上升的可能反应。但最近几个月，美国经济不断传出好消息，美国3月零售销售跃升至创纪录高位，3Monthly consumer price index(CPI)创逾八年半最大升幅，随着企业重新开门营业，工作岗位加速增长，巩固了第一季度经济强劲增长的预期。而美联储至今对于经济进展是否足以让其缩减疫情期间对经济的支撑仍未给出任何讯号。

　　【黄金技术面】：黄金从日线级别来看；金价虽日线收阳，结束两日连跌的力度，不过仍处于上周的高位回撤趋势中，指标KDJas well asMACD趋于回落，5日均线本周也产生明显压力，故此目前仍偏向看空回撤为主，反弹再触及阻力位置仍可高空，下方初步关注10日均线支撑以及昨日低点附近，跌破将看至60日均线以及50%回撤线支撑力度。下方关注1770Near the US dollar, and1762美元附近支撑；上方关注1783Near the US dollar, and1789美元附近阻力；从黄金4小时级别来看，关键的66日均线逐步缓慢上移，而当前阻碍的则是中轨压力1788一线，只有突破站上它，则能转为震荡偏强上行冲击1790upper;1小时线级别来看，属于单阴连阳模式，暗示多头上涨还是偏强，重点关注1783-85区域的风水岭阻力，只有冲破且站上它，才能崛起第三轮的震荡上涨，而下方的通道支撑已经逐步上移至1772-73一线；综合分析，黄金今日操作上唐金召建议以回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注1800-1805Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1765Frontline support.

　　===Analysis of crude oil market trend===

　　【原油消息面】：周三(4month28day)New York intraday, Beijing time22:30, USAEIAAccording to the published data, as of4month23日当周美国除却战略储备的商业原油库存增幅小幅超预期，精炼油库存降幅大超预期，汽油库存增幅略少预期。EIA数据公布后美国原油价格短线小幅冲高0.3美元，并刷新日高。原本，JMMC就比原定4month28日的开会日期提前一天召开。昨日，负责审查油市基本面，并监督OPEC石油减产履约情况的OPEC+Joint Technical Committee（JTC）维持对今年全球原油需求增幅的乐观预期为近60010000 barrels/日不变，与OPEC最新石油月报一致。

　　OPEC+还预计，今年二季度末原油库存过剩问题几乎会消失，下半年商业石油库存将低于2015to2019年平均水平，全年库存可能会下降12010000 barrels/Japan, OECDOECD的今年库存将比平均水平低7000万桶，此前曾预估会比平均水平低2000万桶？但OPEC+显然注意到了印度、巴西和日本新冠疫情升温引发的市场疑虑，JTC称，尽管全球接种新冠疫苗已超过10亿剂，新增病例激增可能会打乱石油需求复苏的脚步。

　　【原油技术面】：隔夜原油延续涨势，当日涨幅超过2%，早盘开盘小幅回落，触及日内低点62.6后快速拉升，欧盘慢阳上行，美盘扩大涨幅，在EIA利多刺激下，一举突破64.3高位，最高触及64.5美元，最后收盘于64美元附近。从日线来看，周三行情延续上行且收阳线，油价出现了低开高走走势，高价破前高，低价没有破前低，出现了出头走势，收录一根大阳线，进一步突破前期震荡平台阻力位走高，ma10Upper dressingMA30形成金叉向上发散，行情再次站上前期调整箱体上方，整体表现多头趋势，短期油价有望延续上行。小时kThe line simultaneously steps on the middle track of the Bollinger belt and50均线上涨，大阳线一路强势拉升，布林带轨道明显的向上倾斜，开口继续加大，明显的向上倾斜，小时线呈明显的多头走势。整体来看，原油在周初的回踩确认底部之后，基本收复了上周的跌幅，目前呈双底上破走势，那么今日原油操作思路上唐金召建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注64.5-65.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below62.5-62.0Frontline support.

Tang Jinzhao's advice on making orders:

　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.

　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.

　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.

　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.

　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.

This article is written by Tang Jinzhao（VX：TJZ0168）Original submission, I interpret world economic news and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself!