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Xie Hongyuan:4.29黄金走势震荡,黄金今日操作建议及策略

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10年期美债收益率大幅飙升,给金价沉重压力,7年期美债标售结果出炉后,基准10年期美国国债收益率曾短线回落,降至1.60%下方,后很快继续攀升,一度升破1.62%刷新一周高位,日内整体涨幅超过5.5个基点,标售结果公布以来上扬约3个基点,较今年3month30日升破1.77%所创的14个月高位仍有距离。


从认购情况看,此次7年期国债标售也相当稳健。具有购买所有未能拍出国债以防止拍卖流产义务的一级交易商获配比例22.3%Create this year1月以来新低,远低于近期均值25.2%;包括外国央行在内的间接购买人获配比率57.1%,略低于上月的57.3%,低于最近六次均值57.7%,但明显高于2Of38.1%;包括美联储和其他美国联邦政府实体在内的直接购买人获配20.6%, higher than last month's18.0%和近期均值17.1%。


this year2month25日,美国财政部拍卖620Billion dollar7年期国债,得标利率为1.195%, creating2月以来最高的截标收益率,认购倍数仅为2.04,创历史新低。当时有评论称,这意味没有外国投资者想要美国国债了,这绝对堪称多年来7年期美债拍卖的最尴尬和最具灾难性的时刻。


7年期美债标售的结果公布后,2month25日当天美债盘中闪崩,美股、尤其是科技股重挫。


当日10年期美债收益率连续升破1.5%and1.6%两道关口,创去年2月以来盘中新高,一度日内飙升将近23个基点,到美股收盘时,10年期美债收益率的日内升幅收窄到15Basis points,5Year and7年期美债的收益率升幅还都超过20Basis points.


Gold Technology Analysis:


从金价走势来看,黄金仍位于最近的交易区间1800-1760区域内,变化不大,因为美联储利率决议公布之前美元走高、美债收益率守住最近涨势。该决议将导致金价测试1800美元关口还是测试1750美元关口?这是一个问题。


技术面来看,多头继续瞄准金价每次跌向21Daily moving average.100Daily moving average and21日均线分别位于1801USD and1753美元。金价走势取决于美联储利率决议,突破任何一方都将引发巨大波动。


从短期来看,黄金当前目标指向1762-1760美元的支持区域,一小时图技术指标仍看跌。一小时图显示金价跌破上升楔形,指向形态目标位1760Around the US dollar.21小时均线自上而下跌穿200and50小时均线形成熊叉后,空头得势。


butRSI进入超卖区域,表明金价的跌势将止步于1760美元。不过若继续下跌,1750美元的心理关口将进入视线。相反,若反弹,阻力位于看跌的21Hourly moving average1775美元,如破,强劲阻力位于100and200Hourly moving average1780美元。更上方,金价将再度测试周二高点1785USD.

Xie Hongyuan:4.29黄金走势震荡,黄金今日操作建议及策略916 / author:Xie Hongyuan / PostsID:1602914


goldTD:


Gold is retreating371Daily lineMa10Get support and rebound nearby, and break through again374Strong position, dailyKThe line represents a positive column, running inMa5/10Above the moving average,macdGolden cross operation, crossing the zero axis on the fast and slow lines, and increasing volume, overall in a bullish trend. Currently, gold is371-376区间呈现震荡偏强走势,操作上可在区间内高沽低渣操作。四小时,黄金冲高回落,测试中轨企稳反弹,下方支撑上移,macdGolden fork halo,KIn the upward channel of line operation, in the355After bottoming out nearby, there is a ladder upward trend, indicating that gold is breaking through and stabilizing370多空分界线后行情转强。谢鸿远建议回撤370Long nearby, stop loss367, look at the goal375/376Above378Short selling, stop loss379, look at the goal373/372.
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