因市场憧憬随着经济增长加快及封锁解除,石油需求将复苏,但对印度第二波疫情肆虐的担忧抑制涨幅。王添宝认为“油价连续第二日反弹,因低于预期的美国初请失业金人数提振了北美的能源需求前景。美国和中国的最新宏观数据令人鼓舞,反映出世界上两个最大经济体的强劲经济复苏,而OPEC+It is expected that the current production plan will remain unchanged at next week's meeting, which will help stabilize oil prices The improvement in Europe has also boosted market confidence, with France saying it will reopen schools on Monday. crude oilfuturesPrices were basically flat on Thursday. Concerns about the decline of Libyan crude oil production offset the expectation that the rise of COVID-19 cases in India and Japan would lead to a decline in energy demand. Libya stated that its oil production has decreased to approximately10010000 barrels/Due to budget issues, there may be a further decrease.
From a technical perspective, the recent trend direction of daily grade US crude oil is unclear, and overall, bears still hold the upper hand. since3month8Since the rise and fall of Japanese oil prices, bearish positions have been rampant, mainly due to the huge impact of the epidemic on the demand expectations of the oil market. However, in the context of monetary and fiscal easing, the expectation of economic recovery has gradually increased, and oil prices are at the forefront3In the second half of the month, there was a sharp rise and fall in the market. Although the bulls are4month14The daily effort has driven up oil prices, but the good times are not long, and the two large negative lines have exposed the weakness of the bulls. Given that oil prices have not broken through50%Retreat position62.62Under the pressure of short-term or renewed efforts by bears to hit oil prices, radicals can focus on opportunities to short at high levels. Preliminary downward support and direction38.2%Retreat position61.35Further attention4month22Daily low60.61and23.6%Retreat position59.78。 Preliminary resistance focus above62.62Further attention61.8%Retreat position63.89and4month20Daily high64.38的阻力。综合来看,原油下周短线操作思路上王添宝建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注63.5-64.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below60.5-60.0Frontline support.
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