4.24International gold price trend next Monday, comprehensive strategy analysis of crude oil, gold unwinding...

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　　goldMarket trend analysis:

　　黄金快讯：周五(4month23day)欧洲时段盘中，现货金价维持震荡走高的态势。市场对新冠疫情的担忧情绪继续升温，同时拜登的加税计划增加了一些避险情绪支持了金价。不过，近期美G的强势表现，市场预期美国长期国债收益率走高，限制了金价上行。由于有消息称美国政府拟大幅提高资本利得税税率，纽约股市三大stock market index22日早盘窄幅盘整，午后快速下跌，当日跌幅均超过0.9%。多家媒体当天报道，拜登政府正计划大幅提高高收入群体税率。美国克雷塞特资本公司首席投资官杰克·埃布林表示，加税计划拟把年收入超过100万美元人群的资本利得税税率加倍，极大增加了长期投资者的成本，或将引发股票市场的抛售潮，同时资金流入债市，避险黄金市场也受到一些资金流入的支撑。美国中长债国债收益率周四（4month22日）普遍下跌，因拜登考虑将资本利得税率上调近一倍，打压了市场风险偏好，美Gcreate3月中旬以来最大跌幅。避险资金涌入美债，令收益率曲线进一步趋平。

　　黄金技术面：日线收成一根中阴线，日线伴随两连阳再配合小阴线的回踩走法，震荡上扬走法中，拉动均线指标拐头向上，节奏相对缓慢，并不是持续性的单边走势，今日周线收官之作，短线可能适当回吐一些周初上涨空间。以震荡拉锯收尾周线。至少目前日线的形态显示，暂时步入震荡格调。上方1798-1800附后小有压制，可能要拖到下周再去突破。就趋势而言来看，上方依旧看上行1820-1830间，上升通道的趋势线支撑由此前的1755Move up to1770.短线可能先回踩确认上升通道趋势线，确认支撑后启稳再反弹收在中性位置。下周再蓄力完成突破。短线更考验持仓耐力。今日短线可能会先惯性的延续回踩，下方留意1770-1765一带的支撑，下探启稳后再择机多.

　　{1}1790-1793Empty, defensive1796.5, Objective1780-1770.

　　{2}Below1770-1773There are many nearby, defense1763, Objective1783-1788-1798Break the position to see1808.

GoldTDMarket trend analysis;

Gold is retreating370Daily lineMa10Get support and rebound nearby, and break through again374Strong position, dailyKThe line represents a positive column, running inMa5/10Above the moving average,macdGolden cross operation, crossing the zero axis on the fast and slow lines, and increasing volume, overall in a bullish trend. Currently, gold is371-376The range shows a strong trend of oscillation, and the operation can be high selling and low slag operation within the range.4小时，黄金冲高回落，测试中轨企稳反弹，下方支撑上移，macdGolden fork halo,KIn the upward channel of line operation, in the355After bottoming out nearby, there is a ladder upward trend, indicating that gold is breaking through and stabilizing370The market has strengthened after the long short boundary. Suggest withdrawal370Long nearby, stop loss367, look at the goal375/376Above378Short selling, stop loss379, look at the goal373/372.

SilverTDMarket trend analysis:

Silvertd保持持续阶梯式上涨至5495回落，说明上方依然有较强的阻力压制，短线于Ma10The moving average has gained support, and all indicators remain bullish overall,macd金叉运行，行情依然处于修正反弹走势中，短期关注区间破位，在未破位前可在区间内高沽低渣操作。建议回撤5250/30Long nearby, stop loss5200, look at the goal5430/5450Test above5495Short selling, stop loss5540, look at the goal5370/5340。

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　原油快讯：因市场憧憬随着经济增长加快及封锁解除，石油需求将复苏，但对印度第二波疫情肆虐的担忧抑制涨幅。大宾认为“油价连续第二日反弹，因低于预期的美国初请失业金人数提振了北美的能源需求前景.美国和中国的最新宏观数据令人鼓舞，反映出世界上两个最大经济体的强劲经济复苏，而OPEC+预计将在下周的会议上维持目前的生产计划不变，都有助于稳定油价。”欧洲情况好转也振奋市场信心,法国说周一将重新开放学校。原油futures价格周四基本持平,对利比亚原油产量下降的担忧,抵消了印度和日本新冠病例上升将导致能源需求下降的预期。利比亚表示,其石油产量最近几天降至约10010000 barrels/day,由于预算问题可能进一步下降。

　　原油技术面来：隔夜油价扩大跌幅，最低触及60.8美元一线。原油昨日开盘即慢性，惯性探高64.36After the first line of pressure, it fell back, and during the late trading period, it was measured back to61.50Low, breaking the previous low point of horizontal consolidation62.60.At the same time, closing at a low level, the daily yield was mid negativeKLine. There is a large amount of space for the hour chart to retract, and it is broken down62.6后收盘在此位之下，使得小周期上行量能不足，回踩后没能快速收复；4On the hour chart,2A large Yin pillar directly passes from the upper rail to the lower rail of the Bollinger Belt, driving it to turn downwards. CurrentlyK线阴阳循环，但是高点不断下移，MACD绿色能量柱二次放量，预计空头还将延续。经过2个交易日的大幅回撤，多头严重削弱，今日短线可能会先延续一波回落，依托62.5做阻力先走回落，所以下周原油操作思路上李潇翰建议先以高空为主！上方关注62.8-62.5One line of resistance, pay attention below60.8-60.5Frontline support.

Only with the correct philosophy, strong technical skills, strict discipline, correct fund management, and a good mindset can one stand firm in the gold market,The market speaks for itself,The market is always right,Those who underestimate market power,It's just like a praying mantis riding a chariot, ultimately only going to suffer a big loss, so many times we maintain our reverence for the market and will always followK线逻辑运行，对待行情我们要顺势而为，而不是凭经验做为进出的理由与依据，策略上我们要赚多赔少，即小亏大赚，用小资金去获利大利润，而不是用大资金去获利小利润。所以止损是必须把握的生命线。让盈利成为常态，坚持稳定盈利！

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