Chen Yibo:4.23Gold, SilverTD，纸白银，还会涨吗？能做空吗

Message surface:



Friday(4month23day): Internationalgold开盘有所止跌回升，技术上，5日均线对其产生买盘支撑，基本面上，美元指数早盘走低以及隔夜的美国股市大跌对其产生利好影响。美债收益率虽有反弹，但仍趋跌，故此对金价压力较小。



不过整体看，短期金价仍有再度遇阻回落的风险，好于预期的经济数据，仍会降低黄金的避险吸引力，另外，晚间将关注美国4monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI初值、美国4monthMarkitService industryPMI初值、美国3Annualized total monthly sales of new homes(10000 households)等，整体预期上，仍偏向利空金价。故此日内仍然是等待反弹遇阻高空为主。



Gold trend analysis:



黄金昨日探高回落收低，探高不破高。在1798附近承压回落，最终收在低位，日线收成一根中阴线，日线伴随两连阳再配合小阴线的回踩走法，震荡上扬走法中，拉动均线指标拐头向上，节奏相对缓慢，并不是持续性的单边走势，今日周线收官之作，短线可能适当回吐一些周初上涨空间。以震荡拉锯收尾周线。至少目前日线的形态显示，暂时步入震荡格调。上方1798-1800附后小有压制，可能要拖到下周再去突破。从小双底的反弹延伸空间来看，上方依旧看上行1820-1830间，下方留意1770-1765一带的支撑，下探启稳后再择机多。



现货黄金目前的短线多空分界，分别在1800and1775两个位置，前者是上方重要阻力，破位后则会形成多头趋势，让行情延续极强式上涨，届时可以考虑追涨做多。下方是能否形成空头趋势的关键，若价格跌破1775，小时线周期形成空头趋势，下行空间就会打开，价格后期将朝向1760运行。日内短线有见顶迹象，只是空头趋势还未形成，今日价格依然要以震荡偏空思路布局。空仓者关注1790附近的轻仓空单，持仓空单的朋友，则带好跟踪止损，关注1775的多空得失，跌破1775后反弹加仓空，若不破1775，则要寻机止盈出局。



日内激进可先于1790附近轻仓搏短空，保守则可选择在1793-95附近再做参与，统一待站稳1795Manual stop loss above, target down1786/85先减仓改保本止损，跌破再看1780附近回踩测试。关于今日的操作，本人将会在线指导，准确率百分之九十以上，陈亦博指导(Every day, the Asian, European, and American markets provide timely analysis and direction)Online unlocking of multiple empty orders, free group entry guidance.



gold1775-1777There are many nearby, defense1770, Objective1783-1788-1798Break the position to see1808.



国内黄金TDSilverTDTrend:



goldTD：昨日现货上涨带动TDUp, actuallyTDCritical pressure location380Regional stability means that there will only be a greater upward trend in the later stage. Today, do not chase high and if there is an upward trend380Nearby direct short air383损中线持有博弈再次下跌。目前支撑上移365附近。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加陈亦博获得指导名额。





silverTD：技术面分析，月线级别来看，白银突破高点5300Afterwards, continue to break up to the moving averageMA5At pressure5460。 It should be noted thatMA5The moving average is flat without any signs of upward or downward pressure, and it is also the pressure point on the upper edge of the downward channel. This line is crucial for silver to break through the downward channel and successfully stand on itMA5Above the moving average, if you cannot stand up, the trend will still be running in the downward channel, and if the bulls digest it, it will fall at any time. The general trend can leave opportunities for central line layout. From the weekly perspective, it was sunny last week and the support was moved up5300/5320Today, every time you touch this support position, you can operate multiple orders. The pressure above the daily line is formed by5540/5560,今日操作上回调做多为主，高位不破轻仓做空为铺。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加陈亦博获得指导名额。



Paper and silver trends:



Paper silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, and there may be short-term setbacks within the day. The short-term operation maintains a much lower mentality, with the high point in the figure5.57-5.53Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0The yuan support has not been damaged, so Chen Yibo believes that paper and silver have risen again to5.32-5.57概率较大。纸白银大周期依然看涨，短线或有回踩，操作上依旧低多布局思路为主。行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，如若出现破位亦可咨询陈亦博了解最新行情，具体做单策略进场点位以陈亦博实盘指导为准!



黄金白银亏损原因：



1、到处看群做，看小周期做，来回追，来回损。自己主见很强，从来不单独信哪一个人的，看各个老师的分析，自己综合着做单。看对了的，自己因为没有信心，都没进场，看错了的，都做进去，亏了而且心里极度不爽，感觉天昏地暗的。



2、总是重仓做单而且总是看反，看对的时候，赚一点小钱就出了，看错的时候，就套单或者锁单，最后总是砍在最低点或者天地连环锁全砍。震荡行情做的还行，但是有一天重仓来回追来回砍了之后，对行情有了恐惧感，觉得每天都是单边，不敢做单，但实际上每天都是震荡;Suddenly one day, when I felt like it was oscillating, the result was unilateral.




3、等到单边行情，看对了，但是总是不到进场点，错过了，好不容易做上一单，结果先震荡一波，导致赚一点点就跑了，懊恼不已之时，博个回调就被套了。一被套就盘整，总觉得至少能回调或者小亏出场，虽然知道趋势已经很明显反了但是还是被温水煮青蛙越套越深，最后砍在最高点或者最低点。