Wang Tianbao:4.21黄金晚间行情趋势分析及原油市场价格操作建议

　　操作上战略上要藐视市场，战术上要重视市场，对于目前的行情仍要保持清醒，市场没有永远的多头也没有永远空头，短线做波动，中线做波段，长线做趋势，我们在不断的寻找可重复赢利的再现交易。对于交易而言必须要明确多空信号，果断进场，交易要趋向于第一种走势，堤防于第二走势，如果错了就要注意第三种走势，金海踏浪、赢在节奏！现货市场是一个智者的游戏，勇者的乐园，踏准节奏，波段操作，安全第一，控制风险，稳定赚钱，持续赢利。

　　——goldPreface——

Wednesday（4month21日）现货黄金小幅上涨，逼近4month19Daily high1790，短线看好金价继续上涨，建议投资者继续做多。日线级别：周二金价触底反弹收涨，不过仍然受制于上方趋势线的压力，不过随着周三金价在亚洲时段继续上涨，日内有望突破去年八月以来的下行通道。

　　短线来看，MACD金叉，布林线中轨拐头向上，金价在双底打下的基础上快速上行，多头明显占据盘面优势，需警惕的是基本面避险情绪改善，导致多头高位获利离场。乐观地看，日内若能直接顶破4month19Daily high1790一线，金价有望重开新一轮涨势，中长线弱势的格局也有望得到扭转。若如此，上方可以继续关注1800一线的心理阻力位，然后是1676-1959section50%Retreat position1818一线的阻力，进一步关注1451-2075section38.2%Retreat position1837。下方初步支撑可以关注5Daily moving average1775Further attention4month8Daily high1758附近的支撑，以及1676-1959section23.6%Retreat position1743。

　　黄金从技术面看，日线级别周一金价冲高回落，一度达到1790关口，最终小幅收跌，这给多头的信心造成重大打击，可见市场对远期金价走势并不看好。这波行情自上周四突然启动后，连续大幅拉升，但基本面却并没有明显的利多因素支持，因此多头们选择获利一波后高位下车。这是几个月来首次挑战通道上轨的压力，结果显示上轨压力不容小觑。随着实体逐步缩小，上影线越来越长，投资者亦可明显感觉到多头再进一步困难很大。日内多头可能继续承压，短线并不看好金价能一举突破趋势线的压力，或转向震荡下行或横盘等待进一步的机会。如果承压下行，初步支撑关注11month30Daily low1764，进一步看向3month18Daily high1755and23.6%Retreat position1743。反之，多头如果再度发力推升金价，初步阻力可以关注38.2%Retreat position1784，进一步的心理关口1800也将提供部分阻力，强阻力可能在50%Retreat position1818附近。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王添宝建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1795-1790Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1748-1753Frontline support.

　　【纸白银走势】

Paper silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, and there may be short-term setbacks within the day. The short-term operation maintains a much lower mentality, with the high point in the figure5.57-5.65Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以王添宝认为纸白银重新上涨到5.57-5.65The probability is high. The paper silver cycle is still bullish, and there may be a rebound in the short term. In terms of operation, the main focus is still on low level layout.

Looking at the trend from the monthly line, silver breaks through the high point5300Afterwards, continue to break up to the moving averageMA5At pressure5460。 It should be noted thatMA5The moving average is flat without any signs of upward or downward pressure, and it is also the pressure point on the upper edge of the downward channel. This line is crucial for silver to break through the downward channel and successfully stand on itMA5Above the moving average, if you cannot stand up, the trend will still be running in the downward channel, and if the bulls digest it, it will fall at any time. The general trend can leave opportunities for central line layout. From the weekly perspective, it was sunny last week and the support was moved up5300/5320Today, every time you touch this support position, you can operate multiple orders. The pressure above the daily line is formed by5540/5560,Today, the main focus is on pullback and long trading, while the main focus is on short trading without breaking through light positions at high positions.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

Wednesday(4month21day)，国际油价连续第二日下跌，市场担心印度新冠病例激增将压低该国的燃料需求。不过欧美需求复苏迹象依然积极，技术面仍看涨，NYMEX原油后市上看64.07美元。北京时间14:12，NYMEXcrude oilfuturesfall0.59%to62.31dollar/Barrel;ICEBrent crude oil futures fell0.52%to66.22dollar/桶。印度周二(4month20day)报告新增新冠死亡病例创下单日最高，病患治疗所需的氧气供应也快要告罄。目前印度大部分地区因第二波疫情而处于封锁状态。分析师表示，尽管全球第三大石油进口国印度和全球第四大石油消费国日本病例快速增加令人担心，但美国、英国及欧洲的燃料需求复苏迹象仍然正面。原油小时上看，NYMEXCrude oil from64.37美元开启回调2浪走势。若2浪在61.50美元终结，并开启上行3浪走势，上方近期阻力位看向63.09USD and64.07美元，它们分别是3Wavelike23.6%and38.2%Target bit.3Waves are from57.63The upward trend of the US dollar opening(5)The sub waves of the waves.

　　原油从四小时来看，布林带开始向下开口，MACD金叉但是率色动能柱开始放量，KDJ随机指标三线向下，有继续回落迹象。综合来看，原油经过上周的大幅拉升之后，多次测试没能突破64.5一线关键阻力，加之消息面利空叠加，油价开始回吐涨幅，重新回到箱体震荡区间，预计日内将延续下行走势，所以今日操作思路上王添宝建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注63.5-64.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below61.5-61.0Frontline support.

　　没有清醒的判断，再好的单边也会踏空，没有谨慎的分析，再弱的震荡也会失手。人生中，唯一需要回头的就是看自己究竟走了多远。交易中，唯一需要复盘的是看自己到底踏准了几步。俗话说：走的最急的却是最美的景色，伤的最深的却是最真的感情。这种博弈的热情是不断需要自我肯定和激励，我们唯一需要突破的就是自己内心的障碍；所有目标的实现，都是潜意识的推动，所有成功都是来自于相信和自信！

　　做单经验：一、不求漂亮作单，只求落袋为安；二、宁可不挣钱，决不要赔钱；三、不可贪多嫌少，哪怕见好就收；四、按计划作单，不可擅改目标；五、不可长线短做，更不能短线长做；六、提高做单质量，控制做单数量。市场有风险，入市须谨慎！