Chen Yibo:4.19黄金为何暴跌？黄金，白银td走势分析策略

Mondaygold走势预测及操作建议—
做投资都是为了赚钱，而选择黄金白银则说明你很有战略眼光，看对了主流趋势。赚钱与否，也还要受很多因素的影响。市场上到处都是解套、技术、心态、行情的帖子，让人眼花缭乱，不厌其烦。但同时也验证了黄金白银投资绝非堵博，而是一个充满技术和智慧的理财产品，同时也是一场心理战。那么如何笑傲黄金白银市场，关键是你如何选择。思路决定出路，脑袋决定口袋。


　　从小时图级别看已经严重超买，且测压至短线趋势线1780上方，后市还是不去期待其进一步的上涨，因为上涨动能需要凭借市场情绪的影响，而市场偏激看涨情绪又要依赖美债收益率走低，以及美元持续走低，还是不要盲目的去看高。目前黄金短线涨幅较大，且在突破1780关口后涨势放缓并有所回落，随着KDJ进入超买区域，短线仍需警惕黄金震荡回落的风险，综合来看：下周一黄金操作思路上陈亦博个人建议以反弹做空为主，上方重点关注1783-1785Frontline resistance, focus on below1758-1760Frontline support



Reference idea one: Step back for the first time1758-1760Nearby, stop loss1754, Objective1765-1770-1775nearby



　　参考思路二：首次反弹1783-1785Near empty, stop loss1789, Objective1775-1770-1765nearby



Silvertd: Silver Detective5270Regional stabilization and rebound, daily medium track andMa10Obtain support at the bonding point of the moving average,Ma5/10Move up multi headed arrangement,macdThe expansion of the potential energy of the golden fork and the upward movement of the lower support indicate that the overall trend of silver is in a volatile and strong state, with a focus on attention5400Suppress the pass, see if you break through5500/5550Area. Follow Below5200Support the level, using this as the dividing line between long and short, and maintain a bullish mindset above this level. Four hours,KThe linear shape forms a head, shoulder, and top shape, with the current price station on the medium track strengthening, and various indicators maintaining a bullish arrangement,macdThe Golden Fork gradually increased its trading volume, and silver opened high and rose today, indicating a strong bullish position. It is recommended to buy on dips as the main trend in Changyun. SilvertdDaily delivery3After a continuous negative streak, there was an unexpected rebound last night, and the strength exceeded expectations,KThe line once again breaks through the Bollinger track upwards, above60If the line goes flat, the bullish volume can be released again, the volume and price are healthy, and the market is more conducive to bullish positions; silvertdbrace5220as well as5150element/Kilogram, pressure5400element/Kilograms and5500Area.



　　crude oilMessage surface parsing:



Friday（4month16日）美原油窄幅震荡，油价周四继续突破一个月来的交易区间，因有更多迹象显示美国正加速反弹。在一份新报告中表示，供应纪律和经济反弹将给油价突破近期区间提供机会，受短期需求复苏及供应中断影响，仍预计到2021年第三季布伦特原油futures将达到每桶80美元。总体来看，美国两大数据的利好，表明经济的复苏，为油价提供支撑，美伊关系的严峻也有利于提振油价，机构看好布伦特油价80dollar/桶，策略师表示，疫苗接种人数增多和人们对疫情的担忧减轻，给了市场稳步上涨的好机会。但是OPEC+Announce from5Starting from this month, gradually reducing production cuts may limit the potential for oil price increases, and relevant news still needs to be carefully monitored.



From4小时来看，原油持于高位横盘缓慢上涨，当前布林带处于开口期，MAMoving average three lines up,MACDThe golden fork, but the red kinetic energy column begins to shrink,KDJThe three lines of random indicators are downward,K线承压于布林带上轨，目前油价处于超买区域，有回落迹象，但涨势仍在有望继续拉升。综合来看，下周一操作思路上陈亦博老师个人建议以回调做多为主，上方关注63.8-64.0One line of resistance, pay attention below62.0-62.2Frontline support.



　　参考思路一：首次反弹63.8-64.0Near empty, stop loss64.4, Objective63.0-62.5-62.0nearby



　　参考思路二：首次回踩62.0-62.2Nearby, stop loss61.6, Objective62.8-63.3-63.8nearby



　　做单经验：一、不求漂亮作单，只求落袋为安；二、宁可不挣钱，决不要赔钱；三、不可贪多嫌少，哪怕见好就收；四、按计划作单，不可擅改目标；五、不可长线短做，更不能短线长做；六、提高做单质量，控制做单数量。市场有风险，入市须谨慎！



Wen/Chen Yibo(cyb5983)