Li Lianying:4.19黄金，原油最新行情走势分析操作建议附解一...

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   Analysis of gold market trend:



　　黄金连续两个交易日大涨后，在周五晚间运行高位横盘。市场要么继续延续极强式多头，要么转为高位震荡横盘，关键在于回调力度。若回调较浅，多头依旧占据主导，市场就会延续单边极强式上涨，并且逐步新高。若回调力度变强，多空就会陷入拉锯争夺，短线就会有高空机会。无论如何，在趋势延续过程中，不轻易猜顶，只有等市场见顶后才可以转为做空。目前的极强式拉涨，价格回调空间非常小，关键支撑守住不破，操作上就建议只多不空。若行情直接走强，甚至可以考虑追涨做多。



　　技术面，行情大小周期均是多头趋势延展行情，4小时周期从1677Going up, after1759-1723的回调，拉涨至1783，其多头趋势支撑处在1740附近。行情只要触及到1745-1750区间，便可考虑此支撑附近的止跌做多机会。4小时周期支撑较远，行情很难触及，临近支撑守住不破，行情会运行极强的多头趋势。从1723Going up, after1749-1732、1769-1759的两次回调，上涨至1783，其临近的多头趋势支撑在1770位置。价格只要守住1770-1767不破，会直接走强并且创出新高，届时关注追涨做多思路。若跌破1770-1767支撑，则考虑反弹1778附近先空，到达1755附近再反手做多。李联赢综上所述，黄金重点关注1770-1767的多空得失，守住不破看极强式拉涨，考虑追涨做多去看1785、1800；若跌破1770-1767区间，则考虑反弹后在1775-1778做空，到达1755附近再反手做多。


   =====Analysis of International Crude Oil Market Trends=====



　　国际油价上周大涨近6%，录得近一个月新高，原因是中国和美国经济复苏迹象暗示需求前景更趋强劲、美国库存下降、地缘局势不稳定，抵消了对其他主要经济体新冠感染增加的担忧。在美元走弱的进一步帮助下，油价正开始与强劲的股市重新建立联系。强劲的经济复苏以及石油输出国组织及其合作伙伴(OPEC+)继续限产，且美国石油生产商对油价上涨反应谨慎，合力支撑了市场。即使在考虑了利空风险之后，我们也认为，随着炼厂产能利用率未来几个月大幅上升，库存将明显下降。由于受到美国制裁，伊朗目前不受OPEC+减产协议的约束。但即便伊朗石油出口能完全恢复，今年下半年国际客运航空限制有望逐步放松，油价仍有望向上寻找新的平衡点。分析师称：“疫苗接种计划持续受挫，全球病例接近1月的高峰，短期内可能牢牢限制原油价格上涨。但与此同时，对美国复苏及全球即将摆脱新冠危机的乐观情绪，则给油价托底。”



　　原油从技术面来看，原油大阳线连续破位上扬，实体连续破前期阴线实体，明显的多头强势结构，多头即使回撤也是有限，激进者直接就是多进场，欧盘原油必然迎来爆发，多头最后上车的机会，你是继续等待？原油四小时k线连续大阳线撑高，一路北上，压根停不下来，多头惯性破位直接登顶的节奏，综合来看李联赢认为布林带轨道明显的向上倾斜，开口继续加大，丝毫没有缩减的迹象，50均线直接被大阳线带动上扬，均线支撑是铁的事实，回撤63直接多。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李联赢建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注63.8-64.3Resistance, short-term focus below60.5-61Frontline support.



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    This article is written by Li Lianyingyy57564As a contributor, I interpret global economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. My technical director, Li Lianying, provides online solutions and provides real-time guidance on WeChat for loss recovery. Due to the latency of online push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and the risk is borne by oneself. Please indicate the source when reprinting.