周旺金：黄金多头涨势如虹，下周重点关注两大央行决议。

Investment is like playing chess. Those with high chess skills can see five, seven, or even more than ten steps, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps. High players consider the overall situation and plan for the big picture, not focusing on one piece or one place, with the ultimate goal of winning the game. Low players compete for every inch of land, only for temporary needs, resulting in frequent difficulties. Trends must have a long-term perspective, investments must have long-term planning, and layout skills are the key to success. When investing, if your abilities are not enough to support your current situation, then you need a military strategist to help you control the overall situation. One choice is a turning point! One attempt is an opportunity!

　　本周行情解析：

Gold price on Friday(4month16day)得益于美国国债收益率的持续下跌，gold延续了此前的涨幅，升至七周高位，并料录得去年12月中以来最大单周涨幅，美市盘中，现货金现上涨0.8%Trading in1778dollar/盎司一线，稍早曾触及2month25日以来最高水准1783.78dollar/盎司，较日低拉升逾24美元。本周迄今为止，现货黄金上涨了2%。由于美元、美债收益率的下跌，以及周四美国制裁俄罗斯，打击俄罗斯经济的所有领域，引发避险情绪升温，再加上黄金技术面的破位，这些都提振了金价这一波的反弹！

　　10年期美国国债的收益率一直低于1.60%，这使得黄金更具吸引力。foreign exchange市场上美元的贬值和本周crude oil价格的飙升也给了金属市场多头信心。因此，黄金多头似乎正在抬头，引发了新的投资兴趣。

　　尽管美国公布的数据显示零售销售强劲，上周初请失业金人数大幅下降，且中国第一季经济增长创下纪录，GDPYear-on-year growth18.3%，3月份零售额增长34%，但金价仍上涨。因为市场相信美联储会在更长时间内保持较低利率，即使通胀率在几周或几个月内跳升至2%以上，央行也不会立即缩减购债规模。

　　下周重点关注资讯：

　　下周，欧洲央行和加拿大央行的利率决议将备受关注。美联储将于4month27Solstice28日召开货币政策会议。“欧洲央行将淡化总体通胀的任何暂时上升，不会容忍债券收益率的大幅波动，除非这是增长前景改善的结果。”荷兰国际集团策略师表示，“央行在上次会议上决定提前购买资产，是为了限制收益率的上升。收益率一直跟随美国国债的走势。”市场还将关注下周四公布的美国初请失业金人数和成屋销售数据，以及下周五公布的美国制造业PMI和新屋销售数据。由于下周的宏观经济数据将比往常温和，分析师们也在密切关注美国总统拜登基础设施计划的进展情况。

　　黄金从技术面看：

　　黄金周五强势放量反弹，经过来回拉锯蓄势，反复的下探回升蓄势向上突破，并且冲高1768-70一线高点后打开空间。同时收盘在1770upper,4小时连阳上升突破区间，连阳释放空间后回调修正，修正的空间较小，属于强势整理修正手法。小时图构造上升通道当中，破位后顶底转换为支撑。从小时看，布林带朝上运行，K线运行与布林上轨下方附近，KDJ三线粘合运行，行情多头趋势比较强，所以综合分析操作思路上周旺金老师下周开盘建议回落做多为主，上方关注1783-1785One line of resistance, pay attention below1768-1772Frontline support;

Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:

Gold rebound1783-1785Short on the front line, stop loss5Points, target1775-1770frontline;

　　黄金回踩1768-1772Long on the front line, stop loss5Points, target1786-1788frontline;

GoldTDTrend analysis:

Thursday（4month15Japanese goldT+DCurrently stabilizing367element/Near K, short-term gold prices have slightly declined, while daily gold continues to be under pressure and the market is consolidating within the range. goldTDMorning high hit368.50element/After the top of the gram, the short line fell back, and the lowest point fell back to365element/Above, the upper suppression is still in the378element/Gram position, supported by the short line below365element/Strong support near K362-360element/克位置，整体仍然是震荡调整的思路不变，周旺金建议下周黄金策略逢低做多为主，若进场的注意减仓后持有。

SilverTDTrend analysis:

Silvertd: Silver Detective5270Regional stabilization and rebound, daily medium track andMa10Obtain support at the bonding point of the moving average,Ma5/10Move up multi headed arrangement,macdThe expansion of the potential energy of the golden fork and the upward movement of the lower support indicate that the overall trend of silver is in a volatile and strong state, with a focus on attention5400Suppress the pass, see if you break through5500/5550Area. Follow Below5200Support the level, using this as the dividing line between long and short, and maintain a bullish mindset above this level. Four hours,KThe linear shape forms a head, shoulder, and top shape, with the current price station on the medium track strengthening, and various indicators maintaining a bullish arrangement,macd金叉逐渐放量，白银今天开盘高开高走，说明多头强势，周旺金建议逢低买入为主，白银tdDaily delivery3After a continuous negative streak, there was an unexpected rebound last night, and the strength exceeded expectations,KThe line once again breaks through the Bollinger track upwards, above60If the line goes flat, the bullish volume can be released again, the volume and price are healthy, and the market is more conducive to bullish positions; silvertdbrace5220as well as5150element/Kilogram, pressure5480element/Kilograms and5500Area.

　　每个周末都是一次冷静期的延伸，让你休整之后更好的面对新的机遇与挑战。真正的盈利来自于清醒，最大的浮亏来自于放肆。有人总是上涨的时候拿着低位的空，下跌的时候拿着高位的多，交易有得有失是正常现象，可是每一次总是不设止损，期待有个意外发生，还奢望着频繁被救活，这就好比被雷击的概率是一样的，别为炒黄金白银亏损的自己造成的损失找太多的借口，每一次入场前想清楚，你的止损、目标位置在哪里，出现意外如何应对，出现获利何时走人，想清楚了再入场。

　　本文由周旺金供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对黄金、白银、原油、等大宗商品等有深入的研究，网络发布存在延迟，盘中行情多变，以上分析不做具体进场点位，建议仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。