Li Lianying:4.15Will gold continue to rise? goldTD、纸白银行情分析操作...

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Analysis of the Latest Gold Market



Wednesday(4month14day)，国际金价日内窄幅震荡不足20USD. Although rising inflation in the United States has led to a weak US dollar10The rebound in one-year US Treasury yields has limited the appeal of gold in fighting inflation. USD Index Creation3month19Recently, it has reached a new low91.679, USA10The yield of one-year treasury bond bonds rebounded more than1Bps to1.628%。李联赢表示：尽管美元今天走软，但美国10年期国债收益率小幅反弹，正在压抑黄金的上行走势。接下来投资者等待的重要事情就是周四的零售销售数据，如果优于预期，将令金价承受一定压力。”她补充说，由于金价在1680构成双底，下档可能有限。美国3Monthly Consumer Price Index(CPI)创下逾八年半以来最大涨幅，因疫苗接种推进和大规模财政刺激释放了被压抑的需求，开启了多数经济学家预计的短暂通胀上升期。受疫苗接种推进和强有力的财政援助的提振，美国经济今年可能增长5-6%左右，但美联储仍不会撤回支持。哈克表示，从长期来看，美联储希望通胀高于2%的目标，以弥补长期未能达到这一目标的情况。美联储主席鲍威尔和许多经济学家认为，通胀上升是暂时的，供应链预计将作出相应的调整，变得更有效率。供应限制主要反映了在疫情期间需求从服务转向商品，目前疫情已进入第二年。



　　黄金技术面分析：黄金日内两度回弹测压1749一线，均未能突破，随后也均出现回修，美盘开盘持续回落最低已至1732一线，目前探底回升至1738一线，日线方面，昨天一根带有下影线的中阳线，企稳在了1725平台支撑，K线形态方面以阳包阴收录，收线刚好收在了1745附近，对于现在日线依旧是反弹的思路，但是需要注意一点的是，虽然昨天阳包阴，但是需要重点关注今天行情能否延续涨势，因为毕竟现在还没有完全脱离震荡区间1745-1725；



　　今天后半夜的风险事件较多，所以对于今天日线的思路是看延续上涨，但不看好突破，今天若能延续收录阳线，明天则有机会看到1760的突破，今天若以阴线收录，说明行情还没有摆脱震荡区间，千万不能看见大阴线就着急追空，而是关注支撑附近低吸做多，一方面是多空趋势均终结，价格震荡无趋势；另一方面是时间点上，22点之后价格往往会陷入区间震荡横盘中，因此重点寻找支撑进行低吸做多，综合来看，今日黄金操作思路上李联赢老师个人建议以回调做多为主，上方重点关注1750-1755Frontline resistance, focus on below1720-1726Frontline support.


   TDGold Technology Analysis:



　　现货调整带动TD震荡下行继续考验360Support,TD走势当然跟随现货黄金就好，毕竟是一个不同报价而已走势基本一样，前期连续上涨中线支撑上移360区域，压力集中373位置，日线收阴同时现货没有不宜追多，当然直接369reach371Regional Short Space373损带好。也即是说回落继续358附近多损356target360reach365Area.


   Analysis of Paper Silver Market:



Paper silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, and there may be short-term setbacks within the day. The short-term operation maintains a much lower mentality, with the high point in the figure5.57-5.53Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以李联赢认为纸白银重新上涨到5.32-5.57概率较大。纸白银大周期依然看涨，短线或有回踩，操作上李联赢建议依旧低多布局思路为主。


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    This article is written by Li Lianyingyy57564As a contributor, I interpret global economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. My technical director, Li Lianying, provides online solutions and provides real-time guidance on WeChat for loss recovery. Due to the latency of online push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and the risk is borne by oneself. Please indicate the source when reprinting.